NCAAF Solids

[JayDr3am]

i have the same high expectations for toledo this year as i did last year.. Toledo is one those teams where you will see me fade or follow week in and week out. im not too worried about toledo's offense cause they will score but TOLEDO'S DEFENSE is what im big on. i dont see arkansas states running game REALLY thriving against toledo's defensive line.. awesome D-line. and if the red wolves decide to air out, toledo's secondary is JUST AS talented if not better.. & the addition of Brian george (defensive coordinator) coming over from kent state is a mastermind coordinator. last season he coordinated a defense that was ranked top 3 of SCORING defenses so its only fitting that he will bring that same flare to toledo.. this will be a low scoring battle in the trenches but i have a good feeling im on the right side of the 3.

week 5 addition:

Toledo +4.5 -120

*recycled write up from my week 1 pick on toledo. love it when they are dogs of +3 or higher.

[JayDr3am]

week 5 addition:

Louisville ML -120
*Lamar jackson

Tennessee -3 -120
*Nick chubb, georgia RB just went down with ankle injury
*Georgia has been barely slipping by with wins. W/L record is a little deceiving.
* Tennessee = resilience! came back from 21 pt deficit against florida last week
* Dobbs has awaken

Wake Forest +10.5 -110
*National leaders in red zone defense & pass defense
* ranked atleast top 10 in passing yards allowed
*what does NC state do? PASS THE BALL.
* DC mike elko doesnt get enough credit. defensive AND secondary coach
* elko huge defensive guru
*defense wins game. expect the deacons to stick around till the end of the game

[Capybara]

Thanks for continuing to back up your plays with the writeups, Jay. Better luck this week! You deserve it!

[reigle9]

Also like Louisville (got the +3' -120) AND Tennessee.

[kj8210]

Gonna wait till Clemson +3...Villes back to back road games and first road game against a solid defense. Think Lamar Jackson's highlight reel ends here. Good luck.

[JayDr3am]

Gonna wait till Clemson +3...Villes back to back road games and first road game against a solid defense. Think Lamar Jackson's highlight reel ends here. Good luck.

thats what everyone said about FSU's defense... we'll see. & one thing you should never try and do is guess when a hot team loses... it'll be a good one though for sure. BOL

[Aye J Mac]

Damn LV moved to -2 . Damn I should've just grab that +2.5 LV on Sunday night

[JayDr3am]

Damn LV moved to -2 . Damn I should've just grab that +2.5 LV on Sunday night

yep. the opening line has been important the last 3 weeks in these important games. Louisville still has value even at -3 on the road IMO

[JayDr3am]

may have one additional ticket for saturdays card posted by tonight

[Capybara]

So you're on Washington and Toledo tonight, right? Hmm...

[JayDr3am]

So you're on Washington and Toledo tonight, right? Hmm...

for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.

[fecgp40]

for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.

Jay... don't have much of an opinion on this game, but curious whether you think Toledo ML is worth a shot. 5dimes has the Rockets at + 3.5 now.

[JayDr3am]

Jay... don't have much of an opinion on this game, but curious whether you think Toledo ML is worth a shot. 5dimes has the Rockets at + 3.5 now.

its definitely worth a sprinkle but nothing too outrageous. a light sprinkle. i would not be surprised at all if toledo sneaks away with this one outright.

[mkracier]

Jay- public is all over Stanford and sharps on Washington- 61% of bets on Stanford , yet the line moved up to 3.5 and is currently -3.5 -111 at pinnacle , the sharpest book. They are begging for Cardinal money

[Capybara]

for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.

Nah, you're good, public betting Stanford but number getting higher on Washington. Good sign.

[JayDr3am]

Jay- public is all over Stanford and sharps on Washington- 61% of bets on Stanford , yet the line moved up to 3.5 and is currently -3.5 -111 at pinnacle , the sharpest book. They are begging for Cardinal money

this was one of the toughest games to cap on my card, & yeah im watching how pinnacle is moving its a little strange. no doubt they are the sharpest. they've got some masterminds over there

[JayDr3am]

Nah, you're good, public betting Stanford but number getting higher on Washington. Good sign.

tonight should be interesting to say the least, BOL on your selections capy!!

[Capybara]

Washington -2.5 -120 x1.2u
*Stanford is very ONE dimensional with mccaffrey
*Teams are starting to catch on how to slow him down
*you cant stop mccaffrey, but you can contain him which is washingtons goal here
* i have UCLA to thank for kind of exploiting how to stop stanford & mcaffrey
*Stanfords QB worries me, can he make big, down the field plays?
* Washingtons offense especially WR core is super talented
*Big arm Washington QB, expect a +7pt win by washington.

JayDawg knockin' em down.

[JayDr3am]

JayDawg knockin' em down.

lets see what toledo is going to do here in the 2H..

[Kingsy]

Clemson ML +110 is the play.

FSU was without 2 5* defenders that game.. Josh Sweat, one of the best edge setters and run stoppers in the nation, and Derwin James, probably the best safety in the nation. One was hurt the week before, and the other was injured on the last snap of practice before traveling to Louisville. Also, FSU could not have played any worse on offense, defense, or special teams. Clemson has been solid, and Lamar Jackson isn't accurate if kept in the pocket. Going against the home dog in an 8pm game isn't too profitable overall.

[JayDr3am]

Clemson ML +110 is the play.

FSU was without 2 5* defenders that game.. Josh Sweat, one of the best edge setters and run stoppers in the nation, and Derwin James, probably the best safety in the nation. One was hurt the week before, and the other was injured on the last snap of practice before traveling to Louisville. Also, FSU could not have played any worse on offense, defense, or special teams. Clemson has been solid, and Lamar Jackson isn't accurate if kept in the pocket. Going against the home dog in an 8pm game isn't too profitable overall.

Goodluck kingsy! will be interesting thats for sure!

[Aye J Mac]

Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??

[JayDr3am]

Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??

well if you already played it, what i think doesnt matter lol.. but what i think about OKSU isnt pleasant! i was on OKSU last week getting damn near double digit dogs and they fail to cover the number against a baylor team, who themselves struggled to put away a trash ass rice team so its fukk OKSU & baylor right now lol the cowboys have all the components to be good but the QB still makes little league mistakes, & OKSU cant defend the run worth shit & not forgetting their mediocre secondary. if texas gets their running game going, and the longhorns "QB by committee" approach even slighty works OKSU could easily get another loss here

[JayDr3am]

Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??

but hey, what do i know lol BOL on your action j mac

[rgrant2214]

Thanks for the W's last night!

[JayDr3am]

Thanks for the W's last night!

lets see if i can do it again today. BOL on your action grant

[mkracier]

this was one of the toughest games to cap on my card, & yeah im watching how pinnacle is moving its a little strange. no doubt they are the sharpest. they've got some masterminds over there

great work Jay! Played it big myself and was never worried for one second

[JayDr3am]

great work Jay! Played it big myself and was never worried for one second

[Aye J Mac]

well if you already played it, what i think doesnt matter lol.. but what i think about OKSU isnt pleasant! i was on OKSU last week getting damn near double digit dogs and they fail to cover the number against a baylor team, who themselves struggled to put away a trash ass rice team so its fukk OKSU & baylor right now lol the cowboys have all the components to be good but the QB still makes little league mistakes, & OKSU cant defend the run worth shit & not forgetting their mediocre secondary. if texas gets their running game going, and the longhorns "QB by committee" approach even slighty works OKSU could easily get another loss here

Thanks for your input jay! Wish me luck on OKstate!!

[Aye J Mac]

but hey, what do i know lol BOL on your action j mac

Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now

[reigle9]

Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now

GL. Have them in some futures. Looking good so far, but Big 12.

[Aye J Mac]

GL. Have them in some futures. Looking good so far, but Big 12.

LOUISVILLE might just be my last play today. Win big or go broke

[JayDr3am]

Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now

looks like you're good to go! nice call! but you see what i mean about baylor? they are currently struggling to put away Iowa state right now lol baylor is doubling them in passing yards and its tied.. baylor should be blowing these assholes out

[JayDr3am]

week 5 addition:

TCU +4 -117
*OU is in shambles
*Not a big mayfield fan. Hes part of the problem why OU sucks
*Bad decision after bad decision has cost him games
*TCU front 7 should force him into making those bad decisions
*expect an outright win from TCU but take the points for good measure

Memphis +15.5 -110
*ole miss is good but they are going to have trouble here
*Memphis offense is very underrated
*lockdown defense
*Memphis running game is very solid
*Expect Memphis to hang around with ole miss

[JayDr3am]

week 5 addition:

Utah/Cal u65 -117
*strangely low for a cal home game
*the usual line has always been 80 or higher
* this tells me to Expect utah's defense to keep the bears tamed
*Utah is one of the slower starting offenses
*41-21 at worst