new way to look at stats

[usernametaken]

I have looked at games in a different way and it seems to hit around 60%.These are the games that qualify.
Central Florida
Ball state
massachusetts
Michigan state
North Texas
Old dominion

[Tboonepickem]

wow that was a very in depth analysis of your system

[House]

so how did you do it before compared to now ? ..............

[usernametaken]

I picked in a more traditional manner looking at all the stats that we all looked at. Now for the games on October 31, I picked these 7 games.

Auburn+7.5
Old Dominion+24
Utep+25.5
Florida Atl+2.5
Georgia +2
Kansas+ 39.5
Oregon state+26

[usernametaken]

This week's picks.
missouri, central florida,charlotte,colorado,arizona state,old dominion

[sshz]

A very thorough and incitefull review of your new system......thanks!

[shopbar picks]

Wow some bottom of the barrel teams

[Smutbucket]

i really want to know what possible statistical edge points to ucf so consistently....I was under the impression their was none......enlighten me....

[usernametaken]

yes for UCf and the others, I am hoping for an over reaction from the books. I mean maybe these teams are not as bad as we think and we are getting bonus points on the point spread.

[SquareBetNoMore]

User I understand what you are saying and you might get better effort one week, but not consistently. Yes, UCF isn't as bad (less talented) as they are playing as of late. There's just no reason to hope for them not to lay down right now... Same can be said for Kansas... But I understand what you're saying with the overreaction from Vegas, it's hard for them not to set the line high enough 😔

[Smutbucket]

sounds like a contrarian methodology instead of a statistical one...

[usernametaken]

yeah, you guys got what I was trying to get.