Lots of big line moves already. What do you think of them?

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  • Ralphie Halves
    SBR MVP
    • 12-13-09
    • 4507

    #1
    Lots of big line moves already. What do you think of them?
    I'll list the ones that have already moved 4 or more off the opener. Home team at bottom.

    NC
    GT -12.5 to -7.5

    I don't want to bet GTech ever this year. More inconsistent that usual, and that's saying a lot.

    Wyo
    AppSt -16 to -25

    I lost betting Appy vs Clemson. Thought they were for real and could cover. Now they're juggernauts all of a sudden. Okay.

    Purdue
    MichSt -27 to -22

    I liked em at -27!

    Texas
    TCU -18.5 to -14.5

    Texas could win this

    Hou
    Tulsa +9.5 to +5.5

    Who's been loading up on Tulsa?

    Ore
    Colo +12 to +8

    You would have to think Oregon's worthless now to like this move. I need more than a game to decide that.

    Wazzu
    Cal -12.5 to -18.5

    Barf

    UNLV
    Nev -12 to -6.5

    Both teams trending upward. UNLV a ten point fave last week against Idaho St and won 80-8. That doesn't ever happen to this program, no matter how shitty the opponent. Get your popcorn ready.

    And the biggest mover is....

    UTSA
    UTEP -7.5 to +3.5

    Stumped.
  • Renegades
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-11
    • 5290

    #2
    Unlv, cal, and app st are all dr bob plays and moved 2-3 pts after his release. Very surprising since he is 50-50 the last 5 yrs or so
    Comment
    • funnyb25
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-09-09
      • 39663

      #3
      Goergia Tech bounces back at home and rolls over UNC IMO...BOL
      Comment
      • Buffalo Nickle
        SBR MVP
        • 11-12-14
        • 3228

        #4
        UTEP open is a misprint or error. They opened +2 at BOL and -1 Bookmaker. Have a feeling RAS hit that one.

        Oregon doesn't stand much chance of stopping Colorado which has a better offense than Utah. Just a question of how much you think Oregon can outscore them by. CU has the better defense. OU couldn't stop Tulsa so UH probably will not either. Cal seems a little overdone but WSU stinks this year. They could get something together against Cal.

        Michigan State is overrated and has not covered this year.

        App State is pretty good for a glorified !-AA and Wyoming pretty bad but that is a lot of points against a team that will probably be pretty scrappy..
        Comment
        • Justin_sane
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-07-12
          • 160

          #5
          I think Colorado gets throttled. The only meaningful game they have played was CSU on neutral site and I believe CSU at best is middle of the road mountain west team this year. Expect Oregon to clean things up a bit and not get embarrassed 2 weeks in a row. Lay the points and get a burrito.
          Comment
          • Justin_sane
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-07-12
            • 160

            #6
            And Purdue is the right side. Don't know about playing it anymore with the move but seems like both Ohio State and Michigan State are going through the motions. Michigan State just isn't that good, they might get upset before the big matchup.
            Comment
            • Cougsky17
              SBR High Roller
              • 05-26-10
              • 135

              #7
              See my thread on the Wazzu Cal game.

              Also, I believe Oregon is another team that is given a way bigger home advantage at the oddsmakers, and consistently loses ATS at Autzen, but also has a pretty good road record ATS.

              Ive been looking at recent historical trends and I believe Houston is the best road dog covering since 2012. Ill dig in deeper tomorrow on this one.

              But certainly Im heavy on Wazzu, and Oregon a strong lean for a bounce back on the road. The talent differential with Colorado is still huge.
              Comment
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