Best bet to upset week 4…….

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  • recon1
    SBR MVP
    • 08-13-12
    • 2579

    #1
    Best bet to upset week 4…….
    Either big or small dog doesn't matter.

    Cincinnati, BYU, *Southern Mississippi*, Ohio University, *Texas Tech*

    A few games still don't have lines out as of yet and i'm interested in the Utah Oregon line. I do think Utah will be the dog and i would like them if they are. Slim week, but i think potential is in several of the games mentioned. what's your take?
  • Vegas39
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-22-11
    • 30686

    #2
    Pretty sure no line in Oregon game as unsure if Adams will be back at QB this week
    Comment
    • Ralphie Halves
      SBR MVP
      • 12-13-09
      • 4507

      #3
      I've hit one every week so far. Let's make it three!

      BYU (+5.5) - Love BYU too here recon. Well put together team. They kept it close the whole time at UCLA, which tells me that pound for pound, they're right about equal. What would the line be in this same matchup vs Michigan? UCLA -10? Bad line here boys, take advantage. Wrong team favored.

      UCONN (+6.5) - There's a reason this line got hammered down to where it is now, and it's still good for a ML play. Books haven't caught up to how much improved Diaco has this team in a very short amount of time. You never know what you're getting when you pay an option school, but it's worth a ML play for sure. Maybe not wrong team favored, but good ML value.

      Deep sleeper

      Miami Ohio (+21) -- Came out of nowhere to scare Cincy at home. WKU has been sketchy, even though they're undefeated. On a shitty card for week 3, this is the best possibility I could find for a longshot.
      Comment
      • recon1
        SBR MVP
        • 08-13-12
        • 2579

        #4
        Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
        I've hit one every week so far. Let's make it three!

        BYU (+5.5) - Love BYU too here recon. Well put together team. They kept it close the whole time at UCLA, which tells me that pound for pound, they're right about equal. What would the line be in this same matchup vs Michigan? UCLA -10? Bad line here boys, take advantage. Wrong team favored.

        UCONN (+6.5) - There's a reason this line got hammered down to where it is now, and it's still good for a ML play. Books haven't caught up to how much improved Diaco has this team in a very short amount of time. You never know what you're getting when you pay an option school, but it's worth a ML play for sure. Maybe not wrong team favored, but good ML value.

        Deep sleeper

        Miami Ohio (+21) -- Came out of nowhere to scare Cincy at home. WKU has been sketchy, even though they're undefeated. On a shitty card for week 3, this is the best possibility I could find for a longshot.
        I like the first two, but i'm always skeptical of the service academy schools, but i do like Navy in this spot.

        I think Western Kentucky hasn't piqued yet. Interesting and something to run numbers on nonetheless.
        Comment
        • Vegas39
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-22-11
          • 30686

          #5
          Originally posted by recon1
          Either big or small dog doesn't matter.

          Cincinnati, BYU, *Southern Mississippi*, Ohio University, *Texas Tech*

          A few games still don't have lines out as of yet and i'm interested in the Utah Oregon line. I do think Utah will be the dog and i would like them if they are. Slim week, but i think potential is in several of the games mentioned. what's your take?
          Bookmaker has Oregon -13.5
          Comment
          • SquareBetNoMore
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-06-15
            • 286

            #6
            Mizzou and its inept offense are due to crank up... They have a chance to pull the small upset.
            Comment
            • recon1
              SBR MVP
              • 08-13-12
              • 2579

              #7
              Originally posted by Vegas39
              Bookmaker has Oregon -13.5
              Interesting.

              Ran #'s and looks like Oregon will have a high probability to win, but VERY high probablity not to cover.

              I'll play Utah +, but will scratch as a possibile ML Utah win.
              Comment
              • Memento
                SBR MVP
                • 01-28-15
                • 1192

                #8
                I wouldn't bet on Oregon to cover anything with their defense.
                Comment
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