My Weekly Favorites Play, Week 4.

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  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #1
    My Weekly Favorites Play, Week 4.
    With Florida State winning in week 3, the play is now 3-0. I see that many of you people in here who are perpetual losers still do not get it, so for those of you in here who my have "special needs" (which is about half of you), I will explain the system again. Try to pay attention or take notes.

    The object of the game is to find an away favorite and wager the Money Line (ML) and take them. Npw I will tell you what you look for and why you ALWAYS go with an away favorite, instead of a home favorite.

    The first thing you want to do is to find an away team that should win the game outright. The better the chnces of the visitor winning outright, the better your chances of winning.

    Step 2. Play as little as possible to win your wager. Losing a wager at -300 is a lot easier to make up than losing a wager at -900. This is just one part of the puzzle.


    Next. Always wager on an AWAY favorite. Normally they will get a break on the legitimate line. So if the legitimate line should be -400, you may get them at -300 because they are on the road. You also take away teams because the away teams have a tendency to stick to business, while the home teams have a tendency to screw around until it is too late. Right Alabama, Arkansas, and USC?

    Finally, play an away team that is in a "must" situation. Now this can mean a lot and will change as the season goes on. Right now, undefeated teams are in "must" win situations if they want to stay alive for the playoffs. Can they get in with one loss. Sure, but two losses is the death knell for them.The more teams that lose, the easier it becomes for the undefeated teams to get to the promised land (in the Power 5 Conferences). Later on in the season, the reasoning might change. A team may be playing to win and get into a Big 6 Bowl game. Maybe win a Conference Championship to improve their chances.

    Now that you know what to look for, here is this weeks play: TCU-325 @ Texas Tech. This line is much lower than it should be because Texas Tech defeated a terrible Arkansas team last week in Arkansas. There are still some crazies in here that believe that the EC is the all mighty when it comes to football, and to defeat an SEC team is a miracle. TCU knows full well that the Big 12 ranks 5 out of 5 when it comes to rating the Power 5 Conferences because they do not have a CC game. One loss and it could be bye-bye for TCU as far as playoff hopes are concerned.
  • Killer_Demo
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-08
    • 8409

    #2
    35 cent bets lol
    Comment
    • Vegas39
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-22-11
      • 30686

      #3
      this broke retarded fukk acting like he has money to bet
      Comment
      • GoBlue77
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-20-11
        • 9166

        #4
        sweet play on Auburn last week.

        I own bifdaddydummy
        Comment
        • Isaiah
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-12
          • 1013

          #5
          I always appreciate thoughtful posters who take the time to explain their picks. Quite a refreshing change from 98% of the wannabee amateurs who post.

          For example, one punk that goes by the name of BigDofDA posted his late night Saturday degenerate $10 CS-Davis play versus Hawaii and got lucky and won. A complete garbage pick that covered the +21 by kicking a field goal with 3:00 minutes left in the game making the final 47-27 after trailing 47-17 in the 4th quarter. Okay cash your ticket big spender, shut up and move on. But no, he keeps his thread alive by taking bows for the win and doing curtain calls in his lame arse thread . It would be comical were it not so pathetic.

          So say what you will about BigDaddyqh but you don't see such bush league garbage from him. At least he constructively contributes to this forum.
          Comment
          • SquareBetNoMore
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-06-15
            • 286

            #6
            Hawaii was only up 3 at half. Hard to say that he was on the complete wrong side. Hawaii rattled off several scores in the 4th including a punt block for a TD. Plenty of folks hit back door covers on big dogs. You sound more upset that you were on the wrong side of that game than mad at some dude for being happy he hit a bet. And BigDaddy is picking big road favorites laying between -300 or more, that sounds like a lot of skill is involved, NOT! And you are hating on the cat who actually bet a reg juiced game? Stop clowning bro!
            Comment
            • Isaiah
              SBR MVP
              • 11-06-12
              • 1013

              #7
              Originally posted by SquareBetNoMore
              Hawaii was only up 3 at half. Hard to say that he was on the complete wrong side. Hawaii rattled off several scores in the 4th including a punt block for a TD. Plenty of folks hit back door covers on big dogs. You sound more upset that you were on the wrong side of that game than mad at some dude for being happy he hit a bet. And BigDaddy is picking big road favorites laying between -300 or more, that sounds like a lot of skill is involved, NOT! And you are hating on the cat who actually bet a reg juiced game? Stop clowning bro!
              Didn't have any action on the Hawaii game. Yeah I'm hating on a jerk who didn't offer any rationale for his play, got lucky with it and then returned to gloat about it.

              Sounds like you have something against BigDaddyqh. Got worked over by him once or twice eh? You probably deserved it so get over it.
              Comment
              • SquareBetNoMore
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-06-15
                • 286

                #8
                Hahaha someone gloating over their picks? Sounds about like the guy bragging about winning while laying -300 juice... 36 cents to win 12cents?
                Comment
                • Isaiah
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-12
                  • 1013

                  #9
                  Originally posted by SquareBetNoMore
                  Hahaha someone gloating over their picks? Sounds about like the guy bragging about winning while laying -300 juice... 36 cents to win 12cents?
                  Lord help you when BigDaddyqh see this! It isn't going to be pretty!!!
                  Comment
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