Washington has been good ATS after a bye and USC has Notre Dame next. IMO, 17.5 is asking a lot from USC in this spot. Washington played Boise tough and faced a good QB vs California. I think they have the defense to stay within the #.
-
Comment -
»» Tennessee +3
»» Kansas St +10
»» Missouri +4
»» California +7½
____________________________
Considering: San Diego St, Middle Tennessee St, Northwestern, Arkansas, Washington St
Possible Teases: Navy, Iowa, Indiana, Utah St
Other Leans: Miami FL, Minnesota, New Mexico StComment -
»» Northwestern +10
»» Navy +14
»» Washington State +17
»» Miami Florida +7½
»» San Diego State +2½
____________________________
I wish I had a play for noon, but can't quit pull the trigger on Middle Tenn, Indiana, or New Mex St. Any insight on those games would be appreciated?Comment -
7-3 total week #6
6-3 saturday
36-21 seasonComment -
Tuesday 10/13
»» Arkansas State -3½Comment -
»» UCLA +7
_______________
Season = 37-21Comment -
I'm on UCLA tonight as well FUqer, well done so far, keep grinding!Comment -
NCAA WEEK #7 Season = (37-22)
»» UNLV -4½
»» Iowa -2
»» Louisville +7½
»» Air Force -3
»» Texas A&M +4½
»» Michigan State +7
»» Oregon +3Comment -
Lost last night with UNLV but at least hit a 8 team parlay.
000000000-1 10/16/15 4:18pm $0.50 $82.87 $83.37 Win 8 Team Parlay Win 10/16/15 8:00pm College Football 111 Cincinnati U/BYU Under 67½ -110* Win 10/16/15 9:00pm College Football 113 Houston U/Tulane Under 58 -110* Win 10/16/15 9:00pm College Football 115 Boise State/Utah State Over 51 -110* Win 10/16/15 10:30pm College Football 117 UNLV/Fresno State Over 49½ -110* Win 10/16/15 7:05pm NHL Hockey 53 San Jose Sharks/New Jersey Devils Under 5 -120* Win 10/16/15 7:35pm NHL Hockey 55 Carolina Hurricanes/Detroit Red Wings Over 5 -125* Win 10/16/15 10:05pm NHL Hockey 61 St. Louis Blues/Vancouver Canucks Over 5 -130* Win 10/16/15 10:35pm NHL Hockey 63 Minnesota Wild/Los Angeles Kings Under 5 +115* Comment -
»» Florida +6Comment -
Good enough day in NCAA at 5-4. Hitting at over 60% in NCAA & NFL with over 100 total plays.Comment -
»» Georgia Southern +7
__________________________
NCAA = 42-27
Georgia Southern won 34-14 at Home vs Appalachian last season as 17 pt favs. Georgia Southern rushed 60 times for 408 yards, and only gave up 74 yds on 22 attempts in last years game. App. St. QB Tyler Lamb was picked off twice in last years' game and had no TD passes. App. St. have a lot of defensive players back and have continued to improve since mid season of last year. Last year was both schools first year in the FBS, Georgia Southern went undefeated in the Sun Belt and played some good non conference teams very close.
Despite being an improved and experienced defense, I don't see App St. containing that monster rush attack, the points are an added bonus, in what should be a close game, that I think Georgia Southern can win SU.
I'm also putting a small amount on the ML at +235
_________________________
Georgia Southern 13-2 SU L15 games overall.
Georgia Southern 16-7-1 ATS since Sept. 11th 2010.
Georgia Southern 8-4 ATS and 1-11 SU as an Away dog.
Georgia Southern leads nation in Rushing at 2394 yds., 300 more yds than 2nd.
Georgia Southern 2nd to last in nation in Passing offense.
Georgia Southern RB leads the Sun Belt with 875 yds, 10.3 YPC and 11 TDs
Georgia Southern 29 rushing TD's this season.
Georgia Southern 4 RBs in top 13 in Conf.
Georgia Southern is 2nd in the Sun Belt on Defense, giving up 25.2 PPG, 368 YPG.
Georgia Southern 29/70 passing 1 TD, 6 INTS
Appalachian State 11-1 SU L12, only loss was at Clemson.
Appalachian State 8-3-1 ATS L12 games overall.
Appalachian State has the advantage at QB for App St., highest QB rating in the Sun Belt.
Appalachian State RB tied for 2nd in the Sun Belt at YPC 5.9
Appalachian State has the best defense in the Sun Belt, giving up just 11.8 PPG, (5th best of all FBS teams) 281 YPG (9th best of all FBS teams) .
Appalachian State is 13th best out of all FBS teams in Rush yards given up at 654 Total yds.Comment -
»» East Carolina -2½
»» Georgia Southern +7
»» California +3½Comment -
0-3 on Thursday, Season 42-30.
»» Clemson/Miami Florida Under 55½
»» Kansas State +7
»» Rice -6½
»» Indiana +16½
»» Nevada -7
»» Florida State -5½
»» Western Kentucky +16
»» Utah +6½Comment -
Thursday:
»» Buffalo -7
»» Arizona St -2½
____________________
Friday:
»» Rice +13Comment -
»» Central Michigan -2½
»» NC State +10½
»» Georgia +2Comment -
1-2 today, I been in a slump the last week for sure, I'm down to 45-40 on the season after a hot start. This last week has been tough to swallow, I made some mistakes but suffered some really bad beats and BS calls. As a result my confidence was shaken and I swore to go full contrarian. I only played 3 games today because of the change in philosophy left me unprepared. Of course all the games I researched and would of normally played, won. I realize, I just need to stay the course and not over-react after a bad week and just do a better job of staying away from potential trap games.Comment -
»» Toledo -6½Comment -
»» Kansas State +17
»» Kent State -1Comment -
»» Penn State ML
»» Oklahoma State +5
»» Washington -1
»» LSU +7½Comment -
BOWLING GREEN @ W.MICHIGAN
»» SOS ADV = Bowling Green = +1.4
»» Defense ADV = Bowling Green = +9.24
»» Offense ADV = W.Michigan = +3.87
»» Model Projection = 36.74 - 32.65 = -4.09 Total = 69.39
»» ATS Value = Bowling Green = 0.59
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» TRENDS and STATS:
W.Michigan 12-4 ATS vs Bowling Green
W.Michigan 4-0 SUATS L4 vs Bowling Green
W.Michigan 7-21 SU and 10-17-1 ATS as a Home dog vs Conf.
W.Michigan 0-8 SU L8 as a Home dog in a Conf game, 2-5-1 ATS
W.Michigan 4-9 ATS L13 at Home vs Conf.
W.Michigan 0-6 SU L6 as a Home dog, 4-20 SU since 2000
W.Michigan 2-4 ATS L6 as a Home dog, 7-16-1 ATS since 2000
W.Michigan 1-3 ATS L4 games at Home.
W.Michigan 5-1 SUATS after winning 5 str8.
W.Michigan has N.Illinois and Toledo up next on the Road.
W.Michigan last home game vs Bowling Green.
UNDER 8-1-1 when W.Michigan is a Home dog in a Conf. game.
UNDER 5-0 L5 games when Bowling Green is on the Road vs the Conf., 9-2-1 L12
BG 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS vs Conf. this season
BG 10-1 SU L11 on the Road vs the Conf., 9-2 ATS.
BG 19-1 SU L20 as a Road favorite vs the Conf.
BG 14-3 ATS L17 as a Road favorite vs the Conf.
BG 6-2-1 ATS on the season.
BG 15-5 ATS L20 as a Road favorite in all games
Bowling Green lost in Week 1 to Tennessee 30-59 on Neutral field
Bowling Green lost in Week 3 to Memphis 41-44 at Home
W.Michigan lost in Week 1 to Michigan St 24-37 at Home
W.Michigan lost in Week 2 to Georgia Southern 17-43 on the Road
W.Michigan lost in Week 4 to Ohio State 12-38 on the Road
»» Bowling Green leads Conf. in Total Pass Yards by over 1200 yards.
»» W.Michigan leads Conf. in Total Rushing yards and average per rush
»» Bowling Green 7th in the Conf. in Rush Yards allowed.
»» W.Michigan is 6th in the Conf. in Pass Yards allowed.
»» 3rd Down % Bowling Green = 52.1 (1st in Conf.)
»» 3rd Down % W.Michigan = 50.0 (2nd in Conf.)
»» Penalties Bowling Green = 83 (Most in Conf.)
»» Penalties W.Michigan = 53 (Tied for 2nd fewest in Conf.)
»» Penalty Yards Bowling Green = 786 (Most in Conf.)
»» Penalty Yards W.Michigan = 475 (3rd fewest in Conf.)
»» Time of Possesion Bowling Green = +6.39 (4th lowest in Conf.)
»» Time of Possesion W.Michigan = +16.11 (Best in Conf.)
»» Injuries = No recent injuries for either team
»» Common Opponents = OHIO
BG = 62-24 at Home
WM = 49-14 on Road
»» Bowling Green keys to winning
Cut down on the penalities.
Stop the run.
»» W.Michigan keys to winning
Control the clock with the run game.
Slow down the passing attack of BGComment -
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo
»» SOS ADV = N.Illinois = +6.5
»» Defense ADV = N.Illinois = +4.67
»» Offense ADV = N.Illinois = +2.75
Model Projection = 36.11 - 25.90 = -10.21 Total = 62.01
»» ATS Value = N.Illinois = 4.21
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % N.Illinois = 42.6
»» 3rd Down % Buffalo = 35.0
»» Penalties N.Illinois = 53
»» Penalties Buffalo = 68
»» Penalty Yards N.Illinois = 473
»» Penalty Yards Buffalo = 632
»» Time of Possesion N.Illinois = +13:07
»» Time of Possesion Buffalo = +11:03
»» Injuries
N.Illinois QB Drew Hare was injured last game and is out for the season.
Ryan Graham a Redshirt Freshman will start.
“We won’t run the offense any different,” said head coach Rod Carey. “His skill sets match what we like to do. Ryan certainly has a good arm and good accuracy. There are differences, but the offense won’t change.”
N.Illinois 2nd leading WR is questionable with a knee injury last game
Buffalo has a Senior and Sophomore OL that are questionable.
»» Too many variables with N.Illinois losing their QB and WR. They will be missed against the Buffalo front 7. I will look for better games.Comment -
VIRGINIA TECH @ GEORGIA TECH
»» SOS ADV = Georgia Tech +4.8
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = Virginia Tech = +1.16
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Georgia Tech = +3.67
Model Projection = 27.32 - 33.37 = +6.05 Total = 60.69
»» ATS Value = Georgia Tech 2.55
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Virginia Tech = 38.3
»» 3rd Down % Georgia Tech = 33.9
»» Penalties Virginia Tech = 74
»» Penalties Georgia Tech = 32
»» Penalty Yards Virginia Tech = 630
»» Penalty Yards Georgia Tech = 285
»» Time of Possesion Virginia Tech = +4:18
»» Time of Possesion Georgia Tech = +9:01
»» Injuries =
Virgina Tech Senior DT, Corey Marshall is questionable wtih a hamstring injury
Georgia Tech has 7 players questionable for Thursdays' game, 6 are on defense.
»» Common Opponents = Pittsburgh and Duke
Virginia Tech lost to Pittsburgh by 3 at home.
Georgia Tech lost to Pittsburgh by 4 at home.
Virginia Tech lost to Duke by 14 on the road.
Georgia Tech lost to Duke by 2 at home.
»» TRENDS and STATS:
Georgia Tech 1-4 SU L5 vs V.Tech, 4-8 SU since 1990
Georgia Tech 5-2 ATS L7 vs V.Tech
Georgia Tech 3-3 SUATS L6 at Home vs Conf.
Georgia Tech 1-5 SUATS L6 games vs Conf.
Georgia Tech 5-2 ATS L7 at Home.
UNDER 10-3 L13 games in Georgia Tech Home Conf. games.
UNDER 7-0 L7 Virginia Tech Conf. Road games after a win.
Virginia Tech 5-9 ATS L14 in Road Conf. games.
Virginia Tech 0-3 SUATS L3 in Road Conf. games after a win.
Virginia Tech 2-4 SUATS L6 games overall
Virginia Tech 4-1 SUATS L5 games overall as a Road dogComment -
UTEP @ OLD DOMINION
»» SOS ADV = Old Dominion +0.6
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = Old Dominion +1.19
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Old Dominion +0.69
Model Projection = 27.49 - 29.03 = +1.54 Total = 56.52
»» ATS Value = UTEP = 1.96
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % UTEP = 40.9%
»» 3rd Down % Old Dominion = 36.6%
»» Penalties UTEP = 48
»» Penalties Old Dominion = 36
»» Penalty Yards UTEP = 432
»» Penalty Yards Old Dominion = 306
»» Time of Possesion UTEP = +16:00
»» Time of Possesion Old Dominion = +4:04
»» Injuries =
UTEP - LaQuintus Dowell DB Leg ?
Old Dominion - Ricky Segers K Knee ?
Justice Davila S Undisclosed ?
Nick England WR Concussion ?
»» Common Opponents = UTSA and Florida INT
UTEP lost to UTSA by 19 at Home
Old Dominion beat UTSA by 5 on the Road
UTEP lost to Florida INT by 40 on the Road
Old Dominion lost to Florida INT by 29 on the Road.
»» TRENDS and STATS:
UTEP won at Home last year 42-35
UTEP 3-0 ATS L3 games overall
UTEP 3-26 SU L29 Conf. road games
UTEP 3-12-1 ATS L16 Conf. road games
Old Dominion 1-3 SUATS L4 vs the Conf., 4-8 ATS all time vs Conf.
Old Dominion 1-8 ATS L9 games overall, 3-14 ATS L17
UNDER 5-1 L6 UTEP games
UNDER 10-1 L11 in UTEP games vs the Conf.
LEAN - UNDER + Old DominionComment -
UTAH ST @ AIR FORCE
»» SOS ADV = Utah St +4.9
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = Air Force +0.23
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Air Force +9.24
Model Projection = 28.68 - 28.51 = -0.17 Total = 57.19
»» ATS Value = Utah St 0.17
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Utah St = 32.8
»» 3rd Down % Air Force = 45.5
»» Penalties Utah St = 62
»» Penalties Air Force = 38
»» Penalty Yards Utah St = 585
»» Penalty Yards Air Force = 388
»» Time of Possesion Utah St = +14:26
»» Time of Possesion Air Force = +13:39
»» Common Opponents = Colroado St, Fresno St, and Wyoming
Utah St beat Colorado St by 15 at Home
Air Force lost to Colorado St by 15 on the Road
Utah St beat Fresno St by 42 on the Road
Air Force beat Fresno St by 28 at Home
Utah St beat Wyoming by 31 at Home
Air Force beat Wyoming by 14 at Home
»» TRENDS and STATS:
Utah St 2-0 SUATS vs Air Force, by an average score of 43-18
Air Force 9-2 ATS L11 Home games, 11-0 SU
Air Force 5-2 ATS L7 Home Conf. games, 7-0 SUComment -
ARKANSAS @ LSU
»» SOS ADV = LSU +1.8
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = LSU +10.22
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Arkansas +2.95
Model Projection = 28.97 - 34.41 = +5.44 Total = 63.38
»» ATS Value = Arkansas 3.06
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Arkansas = 46.4%
»» 3rd Down % LSU = 42.4%
»» Penalties Arkansas = 49
»» Penalties LSU = 59
»» Penalty Yards Arkansas = 423
»» Penalty Yards LSU = 492
»» Time of Possesion Arkansas = +8:44
»» Time of Possesion LSU = +10:53
»» Common Opponents = Alabama and Auburn
Arkansas lost to Alabama by 13 on the Road
LSU lost to Alabama by 14 on the Road
Arkansas beat Auburn by 8 at Home
LSU beat Auburn by 24 at Home
»» TRENDS and STATS:
Arkansas 6-2 ATS L8 Road Conf. games
Arkansas 5-1 ATS L6 Road games overall
Arkansas 7-1 ATS L8 as a Road dog
LSU 1-7 ATS L8 vs Arkansas, 1-4 ATS L5 at Home vs Arkansas
LSU 1-5 ATS vs Arkansas after a loss
OVER 4-0 L4 when LSU plays at Home vs ArkansasComment -
TOLEDO @ C.MICHIGAN
»» SOS ADV = C.Michigan +4.3
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = C.Michigan +0.44
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Toledo +12.43
Model Projection = 28.11 - 26.42 = -1.69
»» ATS Value = C.Michigan 2.81
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Toledo = 47.7%
»» 3rd Down % C.Michigan = 43.9%
»» Penalties Toledo = 67
»» Penalties C.Michigan = 60
»» Penalty Yards Toledo = 571
»» Penalty Yards C.Michigan = 485
»» Time of Possesion Toledo = +13:15
»» Time of Possesion C.Michigan = +13:46
»» Common Opponents = Ball St and N.Illinois
Toledo beat Ball St by 14 on the Road
C.Michigan beat Ball St by 2 on the Road
Toledo lost to N.Illinois by 5 at Home
C.Michigan beat N.Illinois by 10 at Home
»» TRENDS and STATS:
C.Michigan 0-5 SUATS L5 vs Toledo
C.Michigan 1-6 SUATS L7 as a Home dog vs the Conference
C.Michigan 17-7 SUATS L24 games vs the Conf.
Toledo 2-8 ATS L10 Tuesday games
Toledo 7-1 ATS L8 vs the Conf.Comment -
KENT STATE @ OHIO
»» SOS ADV = Ohio +1.9
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = Kent State +0.91
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = Ohio +12.65
Model Projection = 20.83 - 28.60 = +7.77 Total = 49.43
»» ATS Value = Ohio 0.77
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Kent State = 24.0%
»» 3rd Down % Ohio = 44.4%
»» Penalties Kent State = 77
»» Penalties Ohio = 69
»» Penalty Yards Kent State = 724
»» Penalty Yards Ohio = 678
»» Time of Possesion Kent State = +3:40
»» Time of Possesion Ohio = +6:18
»» Injuries =
»» Common Opponents = Minnesota, Marshall, Miami OH, Bowling Green, and Buffalo
Kent State lost by 3 to Minnesota on the Road
Ohio lost by 3 to Minnesota on the Road
Kent State lost by 7 to Marshall at Home
Ohio beat Marshall by 11 at Home
Kent State beat Miami OH by 6 at Home
Ohio beat Miami OH by 31 at Home
Kent State lost by 48 to Bowling Green at Home
Ohio lost by 38 to Bowling Green by 38 on the Road
Kent State lost by 1 to Buffalo at Home
Ohio loss by 24 to Buffalo on the Road
»» TRENDS and STATS:
Kent State 5-1 ATS L6 vs Ohio
Ohio 0-3 SUATS L3 Conf. games
UNDER 6-1 L7 games between Kent St and Ohio
UNDER 5-1 L6 Ohio Home Conf. gamesComment -
Texas +7½ at West Virginia
Texas 14.15 YPPO
West Virginia 14.23 YPPO
Defense Total Yards Divided by Opponents YPPO
Texas = 30.02
W.Virginia = 30.51
Texas 14.97 YPPD
West Virginia 14.90 YPPD
Offense Total Yards Divided by Oppoents YPPD
Texas = 24.13
W.Virginia = 30.80
»» SOS ADV = W.Virginia +4.0
»» Defense vs Offense ADV = W.Virginia +0.49
»» Offense vs Defense ADV = W.Virginia +6.67
Model Projection = 27.07 - 34.65 = +7.58 Total = 61.72
»» ATS Value = W.Virginia +0.08
»» O/U Value = Unknown
»» 3rd Down % Texas = 35.7%
»» 3rd Down % W.Virginia = 40.8%
»» Penalties Texas = 55
»» Penalties W.Virginia = 64
»» Penalty Yards Texas = 530
»» Penalty Yards W.Virginia = 671
»» Time of Possesion Texas = +14:00
»» Time of Possesion W.Virginia = +6:03
»» Common Opponents = Oklahoma St, TCU, and Oklahoma
Texas lost to Oklahoma St by 3 at Home
W.Virginia lost to Oklahoma St by 7 at Home
Texas lost to TCU by 43 on the Road
W.Virginia lost to TCU by 30 on the Road
Texas beat Oklahoma by 7 on neutral field
W.Virginia lost by 20 to Oklahoma on the Road
»» TRENDS and STATS:
W.Virginia 0-5 ATS L5 games overall
team=WVA
W.Virginia 2-8 ATS L10 at Home vs the Conf.
team=WVA and H and o:C
W.Virginia 1-10 ATS L11 as a Home favorite vs the Conf.
team=WVA and HF and o:C
Texas 0-3 ATS L3 games as a Road dog vs the Conf. Under 3-0.
team=TEX and AD and o:C
Texas 12-1 ATS L13 games as a Road dog of +8.5 or less vs the Conf.
Texas is 9-1 SU L10 games as a Road dog of +8.5 or less vs the Conf.
team=TEX and AD and o:C and line<=8.5
Texas 13-3 ATS L16 games as a Road dog vs the Conf. and after a win.
team=TEX and AD and o:C and p:W
Away dogs after a win are 88-59-2 ATS this season.
AD and p:W and season=2015
UNDER 7-0 L7 games where WVU were Home favorite of -8.5 or more.
team=WVA and HF and line<=-8.5
UNDER 5-1 L6 WVU games when they are a Home favorites after a win.
team=WVA and HF and p:W
UNDER 5-1 L6 Texas games overall
team=TEX
UNDER 9-2 L11 Texas games vs the Conf.
team=TEX and o:C
UNDER 7-0 in Texas Road games vs the Conf.
team=TEX and A and o:C
UNDER 4-0 L4 Texas games when they were a Road dog vs the Conf. and after a win.
team=TEX and AD and o:C and p:WComment
»» Arkansas State -3½
»» NC State +10½