terrortwylight - NCAAF 2015

[terrortwylight]

8/29 Sat

ND State -14, -120, .5u


NDSU is actually a really interesting team. They are an FCS team who could probably beat or at least stay competitive with half of the FBS teams. Their new QB set a bunch of school records last year and they're perennial monsters.

They beat Montana by 12 last year at home. This year they got em on the road, plus Montana's got a new coach who is being touted as some offensive mastermind. Still, I like NDSU to win by at least 3 scores today. A lot of returning talent, a very good QB returning for year 2, and a school that is seemingly getting better and better every year.

Moreover, I'm a degenerate, just like you. And football is back!

[terrortwylight]

8/29 Sat

ND State -14, -120, .5u

DAILY:
0-1-0 (-0.6u)

[terrortwylight]

9/5 Sat

Old Dominion -5, -105, 1u


I'll hopefully add a few through the day. Gotta go to the Vet @ noon with my girl today and put down her 18 year old cat. She's known the damn thing since she was 7 years old so she's pretty broken up. Selfishly I'm pissed this is gonna put a damper on the first day of the season but you gotta do what you gotta do.

[terrortwylight]

updated:
9/5 Sat

Old Dominion -5, -105, 1u

2 tm teaser (ties win), 5.5 pt:
Notre Dame -3
Alabama -6
+100, 1u

[terrortwylight]

9/5 Sat

Old Dominion -5, -105, 1u
L

2 tm teaser (ties win), 5.5 pt:
Notre Dame -3
Alabama -6
+100, 1u
W

DAILY:
1-1-0 (-0.05u)

kissing your sister etc

[terrortwylight]

YTD:
1-2-0 (-0.65u)

[terrortwylight]

9/6 Sun

Marshall -7, -105, 2.5u

[terrortwylight]

updated:

9/6 Sun

Marshall -7, -105, 2.5u

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6.5 pt:
Purdue +14
Purdue/Marshall Under 67
-115, 2.5u


Oh boy. I think I just put way too much money on the stupid Marshall game. I can honestly say I would have had the same picks had the game been yesterday. In true degenerate fashion I loaded up because it's the only action today. Oh well. Week 1 is usually shit anyway.

[terrortwylight]

9/6 Sun

Marshall -7, -105, 2.5u (W)

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6.5 pt:
Purdue +14
Purdue/Marshall Under 67
-115, 2.5u (L)


DAILY:
1-1-0 (-0.37u)

YTD:
2-3-0 (-1.02u)

[terrortwylight]

Found some great trends for tonight's game. Check this out (I copy-paste'd this from a notable capper's free pick, then I went back myself and verified that the claims were accurate).

"Ohio State is the defending national champion and the unanimous #1 team in the nation entering this season but I doubt the Buckeyes will let all the accolades derail their focus for this game. Virginia Tech was on the only team to beat Ohio State last season, a 35-21 win in Columbus in week 2 that proved to be a catalyst for the Buckeyes, who started last season as a mostly inexperienced team. Urban Meyer’s teams are 7-4 ATS in his career against teams that beat him the previous season and he’ll have his team prepared to play. Meyer is deadly with extra time to prepare, as Alabama and Oregon found out in the playoffs last season. In fact, Meyer’s teams at Bowling Green, Utah, Florida, and Ohio State are now 31-9-1 ATS when he’s had more than week to prepare (either game 1 or off a bye week), including 30-6-1 ATS if not favored by 28 points or more (5-0 last season). Meyer is also 41-9 ATS.. against non-conference opponents when not favored by 35 points or more (3-3-1 as a huge favorite). The Buckeyes also apply to a 41-4-1 ATS game 1 road revenge situation that was 3-0 last season. It should be noted that Virginia Tech is 9-0 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points in Blacksburg since the 1990 season but that trend is not nearly as significant as the trends applying to Ohio State."


I've been leaning OSU for awhile on this one anyway, but I thought folks here would probably appreciate these trends.

[terrortwylight]

9/7 Mon

Ohio State -13.5, -115, 2u

Happy Labor Day to my fellow Americans and to our neighbors in Canada.

[terrortwylight]

9/7 Mon

Ohio State -13.5, -115, 2u (W)


Daily:
1-0-0 (+2.0u)

YTD:
3-3-0 (+0.98u)

[terrortwylight]

9/11 Fri

Utah -7 (1H), -105, .5u

Utah -12.5, -105, 1u

[terrortwylight]

[terrortwylight]

9/11 Fri

Utah -7 (1H), -105, .5u (L)

Utah -12.5, -105, 1u (L)


Daily:
0-2-0 (-1.57u)

YTD:
3-5-0 (-0.59u)

[terrortwylight]

9/12 Sat

3 tm teaser (ties reduce), 10 pt:
Marshall +6.5
Georgia Tech -20.5
Notre Dame -2.5
-115, 1u

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6.5 pt:
Georgia Tech -24
Notre Dame -6
-115, 2u

[terrortwylight]

9/12 Sat

3 tm teaser (ties reduce), 10 pt:
Marshall +6.5
Georgia Tech -20.5
Notre Dame -2.5
-115, 1u

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6.5 pt:
Georgia Tech -24
Notre Dame -6
-115, 2u (W)

Just need Marshall to hang in there.

[terrortwylight]

9/12 Sat

3 tm teaser (ties reduce), 10 pt:
Marshall +6.5
Georgia Tech -20.5
Notre Dame -2.5
-115, 1u (L)

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6.5 pt:
Georgia Tech -24
Notre Dame -6
-115, 2u (W)

Daily:
1-1-0 (+0.85u)

YTD:
4-6-0 (+0.26u)

[terrortwylight]

I'm done with Marshall. They're poop without Cato.

[terrortwylight]

9/19 Sat

2 tm teaser (ties win), 7 pt:
Kansas State -3
Alabama PK
-128, 1u

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6 pt:
Memphis +3
Alabama -1
-105, 1u

[terrortwylight]

Just need Bama to win and it's a 2-0 day.

[terrortwylight]

9/19 Sat

2 tm teaser (ties win), 7 pt:
Kansas State -3
Alabama PK
-128, 1u (L)

2 tm teaser (ties win), 6 pt:
Memphis +3
Alabama -1
-105, 1u (L)


Daily:
0-2-0 (-2.33u)

YTD:
4-8-0 (-2.07u)

[leetreaper]

Just a friendly advice, never do teasers in college sports, in fact don't do them altogether, this is also true for parlays.

[terrortwylight]

10/24 Sat

2 tm teaser (ties win), 7 pt:
Utah +13
Lsu -8.5
-128, 1u

Rutgers +21, -109, 1u

[terrortwylight]

Just a friendly advice, never do teasers in college sports, in fact don't do them altogether, this is also true for parlays.

this year and last i've had crazy success playing 6 pt teasers with my local. with 5 dimes i like getting the extra point and the option to buy ties win. but yes, i know the conventional wisdom is to avoid them at all costs.

[terrortwylight]

10/24 Sat

2 tm teaser (ties win), 7 pt:
Utah +13
Lsu -8.5
-128, 1u (L)

Rutgers +21, -109, 1u (L)

Daily:
0-2-0 (-2.37u)

YTD:
4-10-0 (-4.44u)

[terrortwylight]

11/13 Fri

7 pt teaser (ties win):
USC -10
USC/Colorado Over 52
-128, 1u

[terrortwylight]

11/13 Fri

7 pt teaser (ties win):
USC -10
USC/Colorado Over 52
-128, 1u (L)

YTD:
4-11-0 (-5.72u)


I'll be back tonight with some plays.

[terrortwylight]

11/20 Fri

South Florida +2, -107, 5u


Haven't been adamant about posting my plays lately, trying to get back into it. Haven't had a good football season anyway, I'm definitely down money overall.

[terrortwylight]

11/20 Fri

South Florida +2, -107, 5u (W)

Daily:
1-0-0 (+5.0u)

YTD:
5-11-0 (-0.72u)

[terrortwylight]

11/21 Sat

Arkansas -5.5, -102, 2u
Oklahoma State +2.5, -105, 1u

[terrortwylight]

11/21 Sat

Arkansas -5.5, -102, 2u (L)
Oklahoma State +2.5, -105, 1u (L)

Daily:
0-2-0 (-3.09u)

YTD:
5-13-0 (-3.81u)

Pathetic

[terrortwylight]

Tues 11/24

Ball State +23, -118, 3u

Scared money don't make money.

[terrortwylight]

Tues 11/24

Ball State +23, -118, 3u (L)

D: 0-1-0 (-3.54u)

YTD: 5-14-0 (-7.35u)

[terrortwylight]

Thurs 11/26

South Florida -24, -119, 3u