Texas/Baylor OU 58.5 seems too high

[AchillesTG]

Texas has a pretty good defense sporting 9 interceptions after 4 games.
Special Teams: Baylor FG kicker is 1-6, Texas 3-6
Baylor has a good DL and should easily handle Texas' terrible OL

I was thinking Texas would keep it close in front of the home crowd until the D finally wears down in the 4th qtr.
This game should fall around 34 - 14 Baylor.

[AchillesTG]

I forgot to mention that Charlie Strong and OC, Shawn Watson are in a tough spot. They have a QB starting his 4th game with backup OL and backup receivers. We've already seen in the NFL and NCAAF what happens with a terrible OL and an inexperienced/rusty QB.

Texas fans are howling to throw deep, but Baylor will sack his a$$ or create turnovers and the game will get out of control. Strong and Watson will stay conservative and try to keep it close with the D. Keeping it close will be a morale victory in front of the Longhorn fans and buy the new regime a little more time.


***Note: I have a good pulse on the Longhorn games, but I have sucked lately on the O/U bets.