Arizona -7 over TSAU

[Eddie Biggz]

I am feeling Arizona will cover this line easily. They handled UNLV and don't see them leaving it up for discussion against this growing program. Rich Rod will put up the points.

Does anybody else have a lean on this one? I am surprised to see it at 7 and leaning towards -6.5

[McCarthyFam]

I was leaning this way as well. They certainly have the fire power on offense to win by double digits. But you know how Thursday night football goes in college.

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

Most of SBR on this play. May have been mushed. Lines haven't moved despire people pounding the wildcats.
I am worried about this one boyce.

[Urbanwildlife]

Most of SBR on this play. May have been mushed. Lines haven't moved despire people pounding the wildcats.
I am worried about this one boyce.

It is the other way around. Money is coming in on UTSA and the line had moved to +6.5, but this morning is back to +7.

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

It is the other way around. Money is coming in on UTSA and the line had moved to +6.5, but this morning is back to +7.

I swear I just saw that 70% of bets were coming in on Zona. SBR odds wont open for me at the moment.

[Urbanwildlife]

"

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

"

[Cougsky17]

I know it's just one game to go by, but look at how UTSA beat Houston last weekend. Houston had 6 ugly TO's and UTSA was dreadful offensively, against a Houston team that never plays tough defense and by all rights they look like they're a program on the downturn with Levine.

Just look at the play by play for the game, it's a total shit show of fumbles, interceptions, long snappers sailing the ball over the punter for a 42 yard loss. The entire game was a dreckfest.

Arizona should straight roll in this game. If it was -13 or 14, I'd probably lay off because of the road game on Thursday. Getting -6.5 right now, this is a good line to pound.

[crackerjack]

Tread lightly...wildcats always find a way to f\*\*k things up. Utsa is under rated.

[slo mo]

I am feeling Arizona will cover this line easily. They handled UNLV and don't see them leaving it up for discussion against this growing program. Rich Rod will put up the points.

Does anybody else have a lean on this one? I am surprised to see it at 7 and leaning towards -6.5

I was on the fence with this one. I wasn't to impressed with Arizona and I feel like UTSA has a nice head of steam in front of the bright lights and national tv.

[NostraDanUS]

road team: Arizona : current rating = 62.33, last_3_delta = 0.00, ATS record: 1- 0, O/U: 1/ 0
home team: UTSA : current rating = 54.06, last_3_delta = 0.00, ATS record: 1- 0, O/U: 0/ 1

Arizona is favored by 7.0
over/under: 56.0

***

Arizona road ATS record: 0- 0
UTSA home ATS record: 0- 0

Arizona home sched rating: 35.11, ave MoV: 45.00
Arizona road sched rating: 56.73, ave MoV: 2.00 *

UTSA home sched rating: 45.27, ave MoV: -2.33 *
UTSA road sched rating: 53.09, ave MoV: 20.00

* - last season's values

Arizona home/road ratings: 80.15 / 0.00
UTSA home/road ratings: 0.00 / 76.82

Arizona ave points for/against/combined: 58.00 / 13.00 / 71.00
UTSA ave points for/against/combined: 27.00 / 7.00 / 34.00

Arizona home points for/against/combined: 58.00 / 13.00 / 71.00
Arizona road points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
UTSA home points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
UTSA road points for/against/combined: 27.00 / 7.00 / 34.00


----------------------------------------------------------------------


head-to-head history (lined games):

9/14/2013 UTSA 13 +24.5 at Arizona 38

average outcome:
Arizona 38.0 UTSA 13.0
margin = -25.00

time-weighted average outcome:
Arizona 38.0 UTSA 13.0
margin = -25.00

average result when the home team is Arizona
UTSA 13.0 Arizona 38.0
margin = 25.00

0.00 % of games went Over

average total points per game = 51.00
time-weighted average total = 51.00

the home team covered 100.00 % of the time
the road team covered 0.00 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.50

the favorite covered 100.00 % of the time
the underdog covered 0.00 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.50

the favorite won SU 100.00 % of the time

Arizona covered 100.00 % of the time
UTSA covered 0.00 % of the time


----------------------------------------------------------------------

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

Nostra you are a machine.

Wait are you a machine?

[recon1]

I hope this line sets off everyones BS detector.

Arizona will roll.

[Rmac15]

I hope this line sets off everyones BS detector.

Arizona will roll.

Just like the Utah State vs Tennessee game this past weekend.

[kcchiefs]

Trap line.

[recon1]

Just like the Utah State vs Tennessee game this past weekend.

Not really. I think Tenn. was a relative unknown and believe line was somewhat fair for 1st week.

This line is a fraud, invest accordingly. -6.5 Zona. Lines-makers own perception with average player and this line has a lot of people investing less $ because lines were set low giving the perception UTSA has a shot and therefore those who would have unleashed the money on Zona they invest less. Therefore books have hedged an avalanche.

[compsmoker]

I won't say an easy cover for AZ but AZ should be dominant for most of the game.

Dude in video I think has some good points but he is on UTSA to cover. I just don't see it.

[wlulaxer]

This guy also has a weight bench in his bedroom so that should tell you something.

[WWWBUKTN]

This guy also has a weight bench in his bedroom so that should tell you something.

[MUHerd37]

Up to 9 now

[RavensFan2k3]

Not really. I think Tenn. was a relative unknown and believe line was somewhat fair for 1st week.

This line is a fraud, invest accordingly. -6.5 Zona. Lines-makers own perception with average player and this line has a lot of people investing less $ because lines were set low giving the perception UTSA has a shot and therefore those who would have unleashed the money on Zona they invest less. Therefore books have hedged an avalanche.

Very good point

[crackerjack]

Not really. I think Tenn. was a relative unknown and believe line was somewhat fair for 1st week.

This line is a fraud, invest accordingly. -6.5 Zona. Lines-makers own perception with average player and this line has a lot of people investing less $ because lines were set low giving the perception UTSA has a shot and therefore those who would have unleashed the money on Zona they invest less. Therefore books have hedged an avalanche.

Seems like it would be a lot easier and equally effective to just set the line higher...

[recon1]

Seems like it would be a lot easier and equally effective to just set the line higher...

It's all psychological with lines-makers and very little to do with computer simulation print, out on at least i guess 3-4 NCAAF games a week. Those 3-4 games are what i call fraud lines and lines-makers proabably call it bread and butter games. i assume putting this spread where it should have been anywhere between -15-20 Zona would have verified Zona was the better team and would win. A -6.5 to -7 gave the perception to the public after that UTSA Houston game that UTSA was capable. Vegas hedged untold millions of losses by keeping line low. People who would have bet more on Zona simply didn't.

[drfunkmaster]

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

Fack me boys. This is not looking fukking good.

Christalfukinmighty I am having another beer. Fack.

[compsmoker]

Far closer game then I thought it would be. Hit the under but not AZ. Bench press video dude was right funny enough.

[recon1]

Far closer game then I thought it would be. Hit the under but not AZ. Bench press video dude was right funny enough.

No doubt. HAHA! Get it Saturday MO.