2014 NCAAF Season Long Thread

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  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #1
    2014 NCAAF Season Long Thread
    Let's get this party started boys. From the first glance I like:

    1. Tulane +6.5 ( Lee is a better QB than Montana, Green Wave is hot, 6-0 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 10 points last 3 seasons, 12-4 ATS against conference, plus possible revenge spot )

    Will be adding more...
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    2. Colorado State +3.0
    Comment
    • GoCougs!
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-11-10
      • 969

      #3
      Take WSU + Rutgers over 61. (5Dimes).

      WSU has a senior QB and 5+ excellent receivers to throw to. Rutgers pass D shouldn't be very good. WSU struggles a little bit on defense as well, so I expect Wazzu to score 6 TD's and give up 4 or 5.

      As long as TD's don't end up being FG's, this should get closer to 70.
      Comment
      • leetreaper
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-23-10
        • 34841

        #4
        Leaning: Houston -11.0
        Comment
        • leetreaper
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-23-10
          • 34841

          #5
          Originally posted by GoCougs!
          Take WSU + Rutgers over 61. (5Dimes).

          WSU has a senior QB and 5+ excellent receivers to throw to. Rutgers pass D shouldn't be very good. WSU struggles a little bit on defense as well, so I expect Wazzu to score 6 TD's and give up 4 or 5.

          As long as TD's don't end up being FG's, this should get closer to 70.
          Lemme check it out...
          Comment
          • leetreaper
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-23-10
            • 34841

            #6
            Leaning: UCLA -21.0
            Comment
            • leetreaper
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 10-23-10
              • 34841

              #7
              Leaning: Northwestern and Under.
              Comment
              • leetreaper
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 10-23-10
                • 34841

                #8
                3. Southern +20.5
                Comment
                • leetreaper
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-23-10
                  • 34841

                  #9
                  Leaning: Marshall -24.0
                  Comment
                  • leetreaper
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-23-10
                    • 34841

                    #10
                    4. Clemson +7.5
                    Comment
                    • leetreaper
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-23-10
                      • 34841

                      #11
                      Leaning: Western Michigan and Under. Also Fresno State and Miss State.
                      Comment
                      • twestacott
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-02-14
                        • 1044

                        #12
                        Lee check out Georgia Southern +22.5......


                        Georgia Southern is 2-0 lifetime as a 21.5 or higher dog and 5-1 ATS period. NC State is 1-2 in the last 3 years as a 21.5 point favorite or higher and are 8-15 ATS over the last 3 years. This spread might be as much as 10 points too high in my opinion.
                        Comment
                        • kj8210
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-09-12
                          • 919

                          #13
                          Leet what do you think about Florida -34.5?
                          Comment
                          • DirkDiggler
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-21-14
                            • 104

                            #14
                            Under 57.5 South Carolina vs Texas AM....
                            Comment
                            • leetreaper
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-23-10
                              • 34841

                              #15
                              Originally posted by twestacott
                              Lee check out Georgia Southern +22.5......


                              Georgia Southern is 2-0 lifetime as a 21.5 or higher dog and 5-1 ATS period. NC State is 1-2 in the last 3 years as a 21.5 point favorite or higher and are 8-15 ATS over the last 3 years. This spread might be as much as 10 points too high in my opinion.
                              Already played it bro, check it...
                              Comment
                              • leetreaper
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 10-23-10
                                • 34841

                                #16
                                Originally posted by kj8210
                                Leet what do you think about Florida -34.5?
                                Ehhh, not liking it to make a play.
                                Comment
                                • leetreaper
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-23-10
                                  • 34841

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DirkDiggler
                                  Under 57.5 South Carolina vs Texas AM....
                                  Will check it out soon...
                                  Comment
                                  • twestacott
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-02-14
                                    • 1044

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by leetreaper
                                    Already played it bro, check it...
                                    Sorry Lee saw the Southern pick quickly and thought you meant Southern Miss.
                                    Comment
                                    • GT21Megatron
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-20-13
                                      • 10818

                                      #19
                                      Damn I don't like Clemson at all Leet....there on the road in Athens also.....love Boise State and the points
                                      Comment
                                      • RavensFan2k3
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-18-12
                                        • 17378

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                        Damn I don't like Clemson at all Leet....there on the road in Athens also.....love Boise State and the points
                                        Dont like clemson neither, but why Boise? Ole Miss has gottn pretty damn good
                                        Comment
                                        • GT21Megatron
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-20-13
                                          • 10818

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                          Dont like clemson neither, but why Boise? Ole Miss has gottn pretty damn good
                                          Boise is going to win 10 games this year, I think they got a shot on the ML to be honest. Boise is/has always been money as a dog and got a ton of starters coming back from last year....if it was on the road in a true road game maybe but I like them getting two scores for sure.
                                          Comment
                                          • bob6199
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-10-14
                                            • 1609

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                            Damn I don't like Clemson at all Leet....there on the road in Athens also.....love Boise State and the points
                                            Clemson is going to lose this one, idk how you can trust a Clemson's Offense over Georgia's Offense plus the D's are pretty similar. I see Georgia winning by 10-14 here.
                                            Comment
                                            • leetreaper
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 10-23-10
                                              • 34841

                                              #23
                                              Thanks for the insight guys, will look into Clemson more...
                                              Comment
                                              • GT21Megatron
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-20-13
                                                • 10818

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bob6199
                                                Clemson is going to lose this one, idk how you can trust a Clemson's Offense over Georgia's Offense plus the D's are pretty similar. I see Georgia winning by 10-14 here.
                                                If it wasn't in Athens I could see it but that place is gonna be going bananas and it's a revenge spot for Georgia. Their QB got time last year and isn't bad.
                                                Comment
                                                • GT21Megatron
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-20-13
                                                  • 10818

                                                  #25
                                                  Games on Friday blow BIGTIME
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ericv1986
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 08-17-14
                                                    • 16

                                                    #26
                                                    does anyone have much experience playing teasers I am planning on betting alot of 2team teasers this year especially on some of the big spread games that seem a little too high like the usc vs fresno st game also the south carolina and adding the total under on there.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • leetreaper
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 10-23-10
                                                      • 34841

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ericv1986
                                                      does anyone have much experience playing teasers I am planning on betting alot of 2team teasers this year especially on some of the big spread games that seem a little too high like the usc vs fresno st game also the south carolina and adding the total under on there.
                                                      Never play teasers in any sport except NFL and maybe, just maybe NBA.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GT21Megatron
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-20-13
                                                        • 10818

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                        Never play teasers in any sport except NFL and maybe, just maybe NBA.
                                                        Yea those things always look good on paper and then one game will Fuk you in the ass and your pissed for a week about it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kj8210
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-09-12
                                                          • 919

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ericv1986
                                                          does anyone have much experience playing teasers I am planning on betting alot of 2team teasers this year especially on some of the big spread games that seem a little too high like the usc vs fresno st game also the south carolina and adding the total under on there.
                                                          Heres some advice from a newbie that started betting football only using teasers: YOU WILL NEVER EVER PROFIT IN THE LONG RUN. Yes you might have a positive day here or there but take a large sample size (two-three months), you will most likely be in the red. Personally just stick to 1-2 plays a day. I know its harder said than done but if you are able to control the compulsion to gamble and are ok with consistent small profits, you will "prosper" in this indutry.

                                                          Just my two cents
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kj8210
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-09-12
                                                            • 919

                                                            #30
                                                            leet loving your leans more than your locked in plays lol. Really like UCLA -21 and Houston -10.5, hopefully they become definite plays closer to game time
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GT21Megatron
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-20-13
                                                              • 10818

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by kj8210
                                                              Heres some advice from a newbie that started betting football only using teasers: YOU WILL NEVER EVER PROFIT IN THE LONG RUN. Yes you might have a positive day here or there but take a large sample size (two-three months), you will most likely be in the red. Personally just stick to 1-2 plays a day. I know its harder said than done but if you are able to control the compulsion to gamble and are ok with consistent small profits, you will "prosper" in this indutry.

                                                              Just my two cents
                                                              Extremely hard on Saturdays....I try to narrow my picks down in the time slots 2 @ 12:00 2 @ 3:30 and then 2-3 on the late slate. It gets real hard when you start playing the board. I also try if at all possible to play the top 25 games for the most part because you can usually get a better read on those
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DirkDiggler
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 08-21-14
                                                                • 104

                                                                #32
                                                                How do you feel about the big movement in the total of the SC-AM game to 60.5?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kj8210
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-09-12
                                                                  • 919

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                                                  Extremely hard on Saturdays....I try to narrow my picks down in the time slots 2 @ 12:00 2 @ 3:30 and then 2-3 on the late slate. It gets real hard when you start playing the board. I also try if at all possible to play the top 25 games for the most part because you can usually get a better read on those
                                                                  Totally agreee. I never said it was easy but when I stick to 1-2 plays a day, I'm always in the green. Just I have a degen mindset that always pushes me to bet more so
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • leetreaper
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 10-23-10
                                                                    • 34841

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by DirkDiggler
                                                                    How do you feel about the big movement in the total of the SC-AM game to 60.5?
                                                                    I like Over and probably will play it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • survive
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-08-11
                                                                      • 2388

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                                                      Boise is going to win 10 games this year, I think they got a shot on the ML to be honest. Boise is/has always been money as a dog and got a ton of starters coming back from last year....if it was on the road in a true road game maybe but I like them getting two scores for sure.
                                                                      Starting to like Boise with the points more and more. Hedrick was decent last year
                                                                      Comment
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