What's up guys. Wanted a spot to share my plays and analysis, been an active reader of the college football forum just havent ever posted on here. For the most part, seems like a lot of trolling and stupid emoticons going on here and not a lot of real football talk. Not really my style but hope that changes once the season gets started. Will be getting my lines from betdsi. Use Phil Steele and Athlon for preview mags to get ready for the season. Also listen to in my opinion a very valuable podcast on Sheainirving.com. The guy has picked over 60% the past two years in college football and has an uncensored podcast that is fuckin hilarious. It's a must listen to if you love gambling. I will probably post 5-10 plays a week. With that note, below are my week 1 Plays:
Ole Miss -10 - 2 Units
This line is still penetrating with my head. Not sure if im getting trapped on this game but I think Ole Miss is a far superior team. Ole miss has QB Bo Wallace returning and a lot of other remaining weapons, including Laquon treadwell who should have a massive year. They bring back both RB's (I'tavius Matthews & Jaylen Walton) so this should definitely help the running game. I'm a little worried about the offensive line but remember they are going against boise in this game (not another SEC team) and should still be able to pound the rock. Wallace is very mobile in the pocket and as long as he is smart and doesn't try to do too much, the rebels should score enough points to cover. As for Boise, they return their top QB, RB, and WR in Grant Hedrick, Jay Ajayi, and Matt Miller. Their offensive line is a major question mark and I can see Robert Nkemdiche(Possibly the best D-lineman in college football) being able to penetrate the line and get to Hedrick. Another huge factor is that long time coach Chris Petereson, who greatly overachieved, has left for washington and I see this being a big loss for the Boise program. When it really comes down to it though, Ole Miss is far more talented than boise and are bigger, stronger, and faster. Even though this game is at a neutral site it is basically a home game for Ole Miss as they are playing in the Georgia Dome. Ole Miss fans will be there in bunches and Boise fans don't travel worth shit.
Ohio St -17
2 Days after I got this line the Braxton news came out so penetrate me. Sucks ass but still think Ohio St. has a decent chance at covering. Been hearing good things about J.T. Barrett and ohio st always does a great job of recruiting and expect the weapons to be there. Braxton will be greatly missed with his speed and big play ability but when it came down to playing the good defenses his accuracy is below average and he is not the best decision maker. Navy defense is garbage and as long as an inexperienced ohio st o-line can do a decent job then they should be able to put up some serious points. On the other side of the ball, Navy offense is very solid, and you have to respect them. QB Keenan Reynolds was great last year and does a great job of running the triple option and is a very capable passer. However, the buckeyes have had all offseason to prepare for this triple option and should be evident early in the game whether they can stop it or not. In the past, I have done very well against betting on teams that run the triple option, like Georgia Tech, when their opponent has more than a few weeks to prepare for them. Georgia tech typically gets shit on when they face a good defense and in this situation ohio st has one of the best d-lines in the country and is very quick on the ends. Ohio St secondary was absolutely terrible last year and this still scares the shit out of me but navy lost their top 2 WRs and expect Urban to have the secondary in better shape because he is a fuckin nazi.
Alabama -25.5
This game is also being played in the Georgia dome. Bama has been one of my favorite teams to bet on in the past so I may be a little biased on this game. Whoever Bama starts at QB, either Coker the transfer from Florida State, or Sims who has been a back-up for a couple years and is very athletic, should be more than willing to beat the hell out of West Virignia. Dana Holgerson is a toad and should lose his starting coaching job after this season. Bama has a crazy rushing attack with Yeldon, Drake, and Henery. I guess Drake is suspended but dont care Henery is a penetrating beast and had a huge game in Bama's bowl loss to Oklahoma last year. Bama should be able to pound the rock and set up the play action deep ball to Amari Cooper, who is one of the best WR's in the country. As for West Va, their defense is garbage and while they do have a few weapons on offense, their quarterback is Clint Trickett who is a total puss. Former backup to EJ manual and weighs about 100 pounds. Bama gets a couple good hits on him and he is ******. His accuracy is average and hopefully will make bad decisions early and often. Bama will obviously have the majority of fans at this game as well and have a lot of experience playing in the georgia dome for SEC title games.
LSU -4
There are still a lot of unknowns in this game especially with the starting QB's. LSU will either be starting Anthony Jennings or Brandon Harris. Hoping that this is Harris who is a frosh but is extremely athletic and has big play ability. Wisconsin will either be starting Joel Stave or Tanner McEvoy. Hoping that they start Stave, who has a year of experience, because he is a bum and is not very accurate and not mobile. McEvoy played safety last year and apparently has a lot of upside with a big arm which scares me a little. LSU lost a lot to the NFL draft but they are team that reloads instead of rebuilding. LSU is going to run the shit out of the ball, as Wiscy's defense is terrible and will be able to put up points and give whichever QB's some easy throws. Wiscy's oline is very good and they will run the ball very effectively but LSU will eventually put enough guys in the box to stop them. Wiscy lost their best WR option Abberderis to the NFL and LSU corners are bigger than wiscy WRs so can't see sconnys passing game being effective at all. This game is also neutral site but will be more of home game to LSU as its in houston, which is also a spot that many new orleans residents moved after Hurrican Katrina. Will be a lot of motivation for Les Miles as this will also be a recruiting trip for him. Thinking lsu by a touchdown or more.
Remainder of the write-ups to come soon.
Ole Miss -10 - 2 Units
This line is still penetrating with my head. Not sure if im getting trapped on this game but I think Ole Miss is a far superior team. Ole miss has QB Bo Wallace returning and a lot of other remaining weapons, including Laquon treadwell who should have a massive year. They bring back both RB's (I'tavius Matthews & Jaylen Walton) so this should definitely help the running game. I'm a little worried about the offensive line but remember they are going against boise in this game (not another SEC team) and should still be able to pound the rock. Wallace is very mobile in the pocket and as long as he is smart and doesn't try to do too much, the rebels should score enough points to cover. As for Boise, they return their top QB, RB, and WR in Grant Hedrick, Jay Ajayi, and Matt Miller. Their offensive line is a major question mark and I can see Robert Nkemdiche(Possibly the best D-lineman in college football) being able to penetrate the line and get to Hedrick. Another huge factor is that long time coach Chris Petereson, who greatly overachieved, has left for washington and I see this being a big loss for the Boise program. When it really comes down to it though, Ole Miss is far more talented than boise and are bigger, stronger, and faster. Even though this game is at a neutral site it is basically a home game for Ole Miss as they are playing in the Georgia Dome. Ole Miss fans will be there in bunches and Boise fans don't travel worth shit.
Ohio St -17
2 Days after I got this line the Braxton news came out so penetrate me. Sucks ass but still think Ohio St. has a decent chance at covering. Been hearing good things about J.T. Barrett and ohio st always does a great job of recruiting and expect the weapons to be there. Braxton will be greatly missed with his speed and big play ability but when it came down to playing the good defenses his accuracy is below average and he is not the best decision maker. Navy defense is garbage and as long as an inexperienced ohio st o-line can do a decent job then they should be able to put up some serious points. On the other side of the ball, Navy offense is very solid, and you have to respect them. QB Keenan Reynolds was great last year and does a great job of running the triple option and is a very capable passer. However, the buckeyes have had all offseason to prepare for this triple option and should be evident early in the game whether they can stop it or not. In the past, I have done very well against betting on teams that run the triple option, like Georgia Tech, when their opponent has more than a few weeks to prepare for them. Georgia tech typically gets shit on when they face a good defense and in this situation ohio st has one of the best d-lines in the country and is very quick on the ends. Ohio St secondary was absolutely terrible last year and this still scares the shit out of me but navy lost their top 2 WRs and expect Urban to have the secondary in better shape because he is a fuckin nazi.
Alabama -25.5
This game is also being played in the Georgia dome. Bama has been one of my favorite teams to bet on in the past so I may be a little biased on this game. Whoever Bama starts at QB, either Coker the transfer from Florida State, or Sims who has been a back-up for a couple years and is very athletic, should be more than willing to beat the hell out of West Virignia. Dana Holgerson is a toad and should lose his starting coaching job after this season. Bama has a crazy rushing attack with Yeldon, Drake, and Henery. I guess Drake is suspended but dont care Henery is a penetrating beast and had a huge game in Bama's bowl loss to Oklahoma last year. Bama should be able to pound the rock and set up the play action deep ball to Amari Cooper, who is one of the best WR's in the country. As for West Va, their defense is garbage and while they do have a few weapons on offense, their quarterback is Clint Trickett who is a total puss. Former backup to EJ manual and weighs about 100 pounds. Bama gets a couple good hits on him and he is ******. His accuracy is average and hopefully will make bad decisions early and often. Bama will obviously have the majority of fans at this game as well and have a lot of experience playing in the georgia dome for SEC title games.
LSU -4
There are still a lot of unknowns in this game especially with the starting QB's. LSU will either be starting Anthony Jennings or Brandon Harris. Hoping that this is Harris who is a frosh but is extremely athletic and has big play ability. Wisconsin will either be starting Joel Stave or Tanner McEvoy. Hoping that they start Stave, who has a year of experience, because he is a bum and is not very accurate and not mobile. McEvoy played safety last year and apparently has a lot of upside with a big arm which scares me a little. LSU lost a lot to the NFL draft but they are team that reloads instead of rebuilding. LSU is going to run the shit out of the ball, as Wiscy's defense is terrible and will be able to put up points and give whichever QB's some easy throws. Wiscy's oline is very good and they will run the ball very effectively but LSU will eventually put enough guys in the box to stop them. Wiscy lost their best WR option Abberderis to the NFL and LSU corners are bigger than wiscy WRs so can't see sconnys passing game being effective at all. This game is also neutral site but will be more of home game to LSU as its in houston, which is also a spot that many new orleans residents moved after Hurrican Katrina. Will be a lot of motivation for Les Miles as this will also be a recruiting trip for him. Thinking lsu by a touchdown or more.
Remainder of the write-ups to come soon.
