Hey whats up fellas!! I have one play for the early games and its not even a straight up play. I also have one lean but I just got a update injury report and its not looking good anymore even though the numbers our all on our side.
This morning we got Michigan St Vs Northwestern: Michigan St is 6-3-1 overall ATS and more importantly here they are 3-0-1. They average 30.5 points per game away while only allowing an average of 15.5 points per game. On the other hand we have Northwestern: Northwestern sits at a horrible ATS record overall of 3-7-0 and the key stat here guys is at home they are 1-5 ATS. Northwestern averages 31.2 points per game at home while allowing 25.3 points per game. According to my statistical situation number I have Michigan St. 27.9 to Northwestern's 22.8. Michigan sits at a whopping 88.9% chance of covering this game but what makes me not take them straight up is vegas and I are 1.5 points off and its not in my favored. I understand the line is moving in our favored but like I said I only take games that meet both my criteria. On the other hand I will be teasing or if you can parlay the ML with my next team:
The next game that will be involved with my top play is Duke vs Wake Forest. Duke sits at a overall ATS record of 8-2 and more importantly they are 3-0 away. They also have a 1-2 away ATS record over/under. Duke averages 30.5 points per game away while only allowing 15.3. On the other hand we have Wake, Wake has an overall ATS record of 4-6 with a 2-3 ATS record at home. In addition, they have a crazy 2-8 overall ATS record o/u ration with a 1-4 o/u at home. Wake averages 23 points a game at home while allowing 22 points per game. According to my statistical situational number I have Duke 23.6 to Wake's 19.1. Duke sits at a 75% chance of covering this game but again me and vegas are slightly off in their favored so this brings me to this. I love both these teams this afternoon. They both can easily be blow outs.
With me only being 1.5 - 2 points off in my statistical situation number the easiest way is to TEASE or PARLAY the ML with both these games. My afternoon play for today is TEASING or ML PARLAY (same odds, same risk) Duke -.5 and Michigan St. -.5. Both teams sit over 75% covering rate and now I have my situational number on my favor.
DUKE -.5 with MICHIGAN ST. -.5
My lean is in the game Syracuse vs Pitt. Or should I said was Id like some feed back on this one if you guys have any other further information. Thank you
Now Syracuse sits at a overall ATS record 6-4 but more importantly they are 4-1 at home. They average 30 points per game home while allowing 22.25 points per game. Also note, the coach is playing for his job just like the coach in the UNLV game. Syracuse is playing for a bid for a bowl game as well. They are banged up though with many injuries such as Pitt is. Syracuse strength is their D line vs Pitts horrible offensive line. Now, Pitt sits at a 4-6 overall ATS record but more importantly they are 1-3 away. Pitt averages 24.5 points per game while allowing 29.75. According to my statistical situation number I have Syracuse 29.8 vs Pitts' 23.3. Syracuse sits a solid 77.7% to cover this afternoons game BUT, BUT, I just received a updated injury report and 3 KEY players are out for Syracuse. They can win this game but they need to bring the pressure against Pitts offensive line and they need to contain their 2 star WR's. If they can run and move the ball on Pitt it shouldn't be a problem. Syracuse really doesn't have a solid passing game so im stuck on this game. All the numbers are in our favored but the injury report might push me a way. Again guys this is only a lean Syracuse -1.
Ill be on later for 1-later games I still got stuff I need to do for them. Again I have 1 play, with a lean for these 12 oclock games. If I don't get any positive information on this Syracuse game ill be pushing it out so it will leave me with my teaser play that's it. GL to everyone today I really hope we can keep it rolling. WIN WIN WIN~~~
This morning we got Michigan St Vs Northwestern: Michigan St is 6-3-1 overall ATS and more importantly here they are 3-0-1. They average 30.5 points per game away while only allowing an average of 15.5 points per game. On the other hand we have Northwestern: Northwestern sits at a horrible ATS record overall of 3-7-0 and the key stat here guys is at home they are 1-5 ATS. Northwestern averages 31.2 points per game at home while allowing 25.3 points per game. According to my statistical situation number I have Michigan St. 27.9 to Northwestern's 22.8. Michigan sits at a whopping 88.9% chance of covering this game but what makes me not take them straight up is vegas and I are 1.5 points off and its not in my favored. I understand the line is moving in our favored but like I said I only take games that meet both my criteria. On the other hand I will be teasing or if you can parlay the ML with my next team:
The next game that will be involved with my top play is Duke vs Wake Forest. Duke sits at a overall ATS record of 8-2 and more importantly they are 3-0 away. They also have a 1-2 away ATS record over/under. Duke averages 30.5 points per game away while only allowing 15.3. On the other hand we have Wake, Wake has an overall ATS record of 4-6 with a 2-3 ATS record at home. In addition, they have a crazy 2-8 overall ATS record o/u ration with a 1-4 o/u at home. Wake averages 23 points a game at home while allowing 22 points per game. According to my statistical situational number I have Duke 23.6 to Wake's 19.1. Duke sits at a 75% chance of covering this game but again me and vegas are slightly off in their favored so this brings me to this. I love both these teams this afternoon. They both can easily be blow outs.
With me only being 1.5 - 2 points off in my statistical situation number the easiest way is to TEASE or PARLAY the ML with both these games. My afternoon play for today is TEASING or ML PARLAY (same odds, same risk) Duke -.5 and Michigan St. -.5. Both teams sit over 75% covering rate and now I have my situational number on my favor.
DUKE -.5 with MICHIGAN ST. -.5
My lean is in the game Syracuse vs Pitt. Or should I said was Id like some feed back on this one if you guys have any other further information. Thank you
Now Syracuse sits at a overall ATS record 6-4 but more importantly they are 4-1 at home. They average 30 points per game home while allowing 22.25 points per game. Also note, the coach is playing for his job just like the coach in the UNLV game. Syracuse is playing for a bid for a bowl game as well. They are banged up though with many injuries such as Pitt is. Syracuse strength is their D line vs Pitts horrible offensive line. Now, Pitt sits at a 4-6 overall ATS record but more importantly they are 1-3 away. Pitt averages 24.5 points per game while allowing 29.75. According to my statistical situation number I have Syracuse 29.8 vs Pitts' 23.3. Syracuse sits a solid 77.7% to cover this afternoons game BUT, BUT, I just received a updated injury report and 3 KEY players are out for Syracuse. They can win this game but they need to bring the pressure against Pitts offensive line and they need to contain their 2 star WR's. If they can run and move the ball on Pitt it shouldn't be a problem. Syracuse really doesn't have a solid passing game so im stuck on this game. All the numbers are in our favored but the injury report might push me a way. Again guys this is only a lean Syracuse -1.Ill be on later for 1-later games I still got stuff I need to do for them. Again I have 1 play, with a lean for these 12 oclock games. If I don't get any positive information on this Syracuse game ill be pushing it out so it will leave me with my teaser play that's it. GL to everyone today I really hope we can keep it rolling. WIN WIN WIN~~~
