Saturday's early leans?

**moses millsap** · 09-11-06, 01:33 AM

I bought Illinois -3 and Auburn -2.5, not sure if I am going to play them or try to catch a middle though. I feel more strongly about the Illini. Will look to see if Miami or Oklahoma are a worth a shot on the ML as the week progresses.

What'd you buy or what are you looking at?

**pags11** · 09-11-06, 01:36 AM

owned,

still licking my wounds from yesterday...somehow I finished in the black with the BTP money...

Illinois is pretty good at home, Ron Zook just sucks the fat one...I've already heard a lot of cappers on that game though and you may get that thing to run up to five or so for a middle...

Auburn vs. LSU is a toss-up to me...

initial leans for me are:

BYU
Cincy
Marshall
Akron
Ball St.
C. Florida
Pitt
Fresno St.
Oregon
SDSU
Michigan
Texas Tech
Baylor
La Monroe
Nevada
Navy...

narrowing them down will be the task now as I'll only play seven of these...

**moses millsap** · 09-11-06, 01:40 AM

Oh yeah, forgot, I like Fresno State as well initially, but I'm hoping we can get that down a little. Yeah, that Illinois/Syracuse game is a battle of the scrubs, but Syracuse is just ATROCIOUS on the road, plus they're coming off the "impressive" performance against Iowa, while Illinois got spanked and shutout, felt it was a good move to buy it at -3, can't see the line moving against me.

**pags11** · 09-11-06, 01:44 AM

agreed owned, hate say it but Illinois definitely has some value...just think that Robinson's such a better coach than Zook (he was clueless yesterday vs. Rutgers)...thinking baylor may be a play for me as well...

**LVHerbie** · 09-11-06, 01:52 AM

I jumped on oregon and texas tech today...

**pags11** · 09-11-06, 01:53 AM

good plays IMO herbie...nice job...

**pags11** · 09-11-06, 02:16 AM

am leaning strongly to Texas Tech as well...even though they didn't cover yesterday, I was very impressed with QB Harrell and their team...

**MPMEYER1982** · 09-11-06, 11:53 PM

Toledo -5 (Kansas showed me nothing last week)
Illinois -3 (Syracuse is that bad, especially on the road)
UConn -6 (Wake struggled to beat Syracuse & Duke at home?)
C Florida -2.5 (S Florida barely beat Florida Int at home???)
Fresno St -3 (Haven't been impressed with Washington so far)
Texas -30 (This will get ugly quickly)
Nevada -3 (There is no place like home + CSU not that good)
Stanford -3 (Navy barely beat E Carolina and UMass at home)

These are the initial leans, what do you guys think?

**Todd** · 09-12-06, 01:25 AM

I'm taking LSU,BYU, and Florida

**pags11** · 09-12-06, 02:30 AM

good to hear fellas...keep the thoughts coming...

**BRUIN PRIDE** · 09-12-06, 10:46 AM

How high do you think the Nebraska USC line will go? i believe it started at 17 and is up to 18.5 already. I like Nebraska in this one, I would just like to get as many points as possible.
I also like Fresno St. -3.5
Auburn -2.5
Oregon -4.5

**Illusion** · 09-12-06, 02:19 PM

BP, Cris has +19 right now.

**pags11** · 09-12-06, 02:21 PM

one would think it'd be 21 by kickoff...

**Wassymac** · 09-12-06, 03:28 PM

Auburn, Ball St, Michigan, Nevada are sides I'm playing

Nebraska is one I'm tempted with if I get 3 TDs

**gummo** · 09-12-06, 03:30 PM

Cincinnati +29.5. I can't see Tressel embarrassing his former assistant.

**hawk 5** · 09-12-06, 03:47 PM

mich. - nd is down to 6 1/2. nd is is real and tough at home. Why all the Mich. leans?

**EBone** · 09-12-06, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by hawk 5

mich. - nd is down to 6 1/2. nd is is real and tough at home. Why all the Mich. leans?

Strictly from a historic point of view (last 10 years approx.), I've always thought of ND as an awful home favorite. That has probably changed now since Weiss has taken over. I am certainly no Lloyd Carr fan but this screams "stay away, stay far away" to me.

E

**bigboydan** · 09-12-06, 05:16 PM

I'm waiting on that Iowa State/Iowa line to be posted. I'm thinking Iowa St. might be the right side of this one.

**hawk 5** · 09-12-06, 05:33 PM

depends on the line of coarse and if tate is ready. neither iowa or iowa st have shone anything at all this year. maybe the under on this one?

**hawk 5** · 09-12-06, 05:39 PM

Arizona st. -10 at Colorado seems way low considering colorado has no offense.

**hawk 5** · 09-12-06, 06:35 PM

Drew Tate is now confirmed to be stating for the 15th ranked IOWA HAWKEYES. HAPPY DAYS!!! I'm hearing the early line by USA Today is 13. Too many.

**mad** · 09-12-06, 08:01 PM

Oaklahoma
Nebraska
Army
Auburn

Considering...
Clemson/FSU
Miami/Louisville

**jaffers** · 09-12-06, 08:48 PM

i'm confused a little bit here??? Illinois-3 vs Syracuse is value.
there is VALUE in taking a team that didn't cross midfield for an entire game. Illinois had to have just about the worst game a team can possibly have. I am on the other side of this game took the orange + the points.

other games i like so far are W.Michigan +9 at Virginia...
Western Michigan defense played well vs. Toledo forcing 4turnovers and holding Toledo to just 88 yards rushign on the day...while their offense was nothing great neither was virginias... against wyoming va had just 32 yards on 22 carries. What are you kidding? Wali Lundy oh where art thou now?... also virginia had a quite pathetic opener on offense vs pitt when they rushed for only 52 yards. I am not saying that western michigan are world beaters but i think 9 points is too much here in a game that could end up 10-7

**hawk 5** · 09-12-06, 08:58 PM

i just took Oklahoma st -29. FLorida Atlantic has scored a total of 6 points in 2 games, while Okla ST has been pummeling lesser foes.

**pags11** · 09-13-06, 03:16 AM

great thoughts here guys...this is shaping up as a pretty good college football forum...

**onlooker** · 09-13-06, 03:18 AM

Originally posted by pags11

great thoughts here guys...this is shaping up as a pretty good college football forum...

We have come a long way in a years time.

**pags11** · 09-13-06, 03:19 AM

no doubt onlooker, it's great to be able to trade ideas in here...helps me with my picks...

**ntgarrett** · 09-13-06, 04:31 PM

[QUOTE=jaffers]i'm confused a little bit here??? Illinois-3 vs Syracuse is value.
there is VALUE in taking a team that didn't cross midfield for an entire game. Illinois had to have just about the worst game a team can possibly have. I am on the other side of this game took the orange + the points.

Jaffers....I live 10 miles from Syracuse and I have to tell you I am suprised they are not getting more points....even agaist someone like Illinois. The last 2 years around here have been horrible and it's hard to see them winning or even covering at Illinois...good luck to you on your bet but if I play the game I will have to go with Illinois....if they were in Syracuse I would lean towards Syracuse, just because Syracuse seems to be able to cover the spread a majorioty of the time....on the road, they just suck. Also, Illinois is a7-3 ATS at home.

**Lexotic22** · 09-13-06, 04:54 PM

Lexotic22's picks

Illinois -3
Temple +42 (No way can it happen again)
Boise St -9
Fresno St -4
Florida St -5
Ok St -29

**LVHerbie** · 09-13-06, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by Lexotic22

Lexotic22's picks

Temple +42 (No way can it happen again)
Florida St -5
Ok St -29

I don't like to play games that have huge lines like the temple game... to many things comes down to the last quarter that aren't really easy to handicap... any line with 3 TDs or more I usually don't give too much of a look at...

I jumped on Florida St. -4 ealier this week... Not sure I'm going to keep that position but my lean is towards Florida St...

**sjelveh** · 09-13-06, 05:46 PM

If you like cincy jump on it now cuz that line going to go lower and lower before Saturday

**taurus** · 09-13-06, 05:49 PM

congratulations, pags

I see where you beat The Prick

I like BYU.
I like Toledo
I like Louisville
I like Cincinnati
I like Michigan
I like SDSU
I like FIU
I hear denfulks on okie st
I follow u on Nevada
I Like Marshall
and for some crazy reason,
I like Stanford

"as I'll only play seven of these"
pags- I know you only play seven . have you ever tracked how your discards do ??

**MPMEYER1982** · 09-13-06, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by Lexotic22

Lexotic22's picks

Temple +42 (No way can it happen again)

Unfortunately Temple is that BAD and factor in a pissed of Minnesota team after getting thrashed by Cal and I wouldn't be suprised to see a 60 spot put on the board by Minnesota.

**hawk 5** · 09-13-06, 08:46 PM

lexotic 22 boise st.- 9.? you should look around a bit. you can get it at -7.