Saturdays Early Games 1 lock/need help on Wisconsin (check you'll see why)

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  • Jwiggles
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-01-13
    • 127

    #1
    Saturdays Early Games 1 lock/need help on Wisconsin (check you'll see why)
    Sup guys I have 7 games for today but they are all later and im running out of time to post today so im gonna throw ya my early games quick so you have time to do some research. Today we got Washington State vs Arizona. I love one thing and one thing only about this game and its the under and here is why: Washington State sits at a 5-4 over/under ratio on the year but whats most important here is they are 1-3 away to the o/u ratio. Washington State averages 29 points a game away while allowing 30.5 points a game. On the other side we have Arizona: Arizona is 3-6 over/under ratio but the most important key here is they are 0-4 home when it comes to over/under. Arizona averages 33.5 points a game while only allowing 17 at home. According to my ats % vs points system we have a 7-1 ratio which sits us at a whopping 87.5% under and Washington on Average in home/away statistical situation is at 23 points and Arizona 32. This is a combined total of 55 which is 9 points under the current line 64. My lock for the early games is Washington vs Arizona UNDER 64. Now I need help asap on this WISCONSIN game please read: Indiana VS Wisconsin: Bottom line Wisconsin covers, they are 8-0 and most important 5-0 at home ATS. Indiana on the other hand is 4-5 and most importantly 0-2 away. The ATS ratio is here is 7-0 which is fn amazing 100% Wisconsin covers. But here is the ball buster in which I need help on. According to my numbers Wisconsin averages 42.5 points a game and allows 4 points per game where Indiana averages 37.5 per game and allows 52.5. The kicker is on a average basis Wisconsin in a statistical situation home/away is at 47.5 points and Indiana sits at 20.75. Are you kidding me that's a 26.5 different exactly what the line is here. 100% vs bookies are on 100% hmm...to me its an offset and just enjoy the game and watch but what do you think guys? I could use some help ty :>
  • Eric22174
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-10
    • 1334

    #2
    Indiana has had absolutely no answers for Wisconsin's offense in recent years, and I can't see the script changing Saturday. Gordon breaks out of his mini-slump with two 60-yard touchdown runs, James White adds two more touchdowns and Wisconsin puts another big number on IU. The Hoosiers strike for some early points before Wisconsin's defense buckles down…..204-41. That's the combined score of the past three meetings between these teams. Indiana's offense is better and should score a bit, but Wisconsin could run for 400 yards if it wanted to this week. It will settle for 350 yards. Wisconsin wins 48-24. I predicted this early in the week a 62-21 rout. But Indiana can score it's the defense that is really horrible. The OVER is the better bet here.
    Comment
    • Jwiggles
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-01-13
      • 127

      #3
      Thanks man I love the info. About that over bud Wisconsin at home is 1-4 over/under here while Indiana away is 2-0. The ration that being said is 3-4 which is at 43% going over and the statistical situation is 68.5 points to a 67.5 line. I need some time I don't know if I can push the button with it so close grrrr... Ty man for your time giving me further info very much appreciated
      Comment
      • Russinat
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-27-09
        • 136

        #4
        copy paste from ESPN blogs much Eric
        Comment
        • Eric22174
          SBR MVP
          • 10-01-10
          • 1334

          #5
          He didn't ask me for a write up. He asked for information to support his pick. If we say we don't copy and paste on this board that would be a lie. Where else would you get information?
          Comment
          • 9ersPride
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-21-13
            • 186

            #6
            Great picks J..lets cash bro
            Comment
            • Jwiggles
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-01-13
              • 127

              #7
              Final early 12 oclocko games: Washington st. Vs Arizona under 64. I can't pull the trigger on Wisconsin. In my system both factors must be in the positive and only one is. Even though Wisconsin is one if three teams I said I'd follow till the end cuz of their top 3 in nation ats scores this match I can't. The earlier line was 21 with 5.5 jump. I think they finally got their perfect number. I'll be on around 2:30 eastern for mid games. Best of luck to you all and let's cash boys.
              Comment
              • Jwiggles
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-01-13
                • 127

                #8
                Actually let me check Florida Atlantic I remember I had a strong lean. Be back in 10
                Comment
                • PorkChop
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-08
                  • 8193

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • Jwiggles
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-01-13
                    • 127

                    #10
                    Forget it Florida Atlantic doesn't make sense its at -17. Yes, the cover ratio is 8-1 with a 88% chance vs home/away they will cover but on average they score 18 points per game away and let up 26.8 while Southern Miss scores 17.3 per game and lets up 33.6. On average in a statistical situation its Florida Atl 25.8 vs Southern Miss 22.05. It doesn't make sense to put Florida Atl as a 17 favored with numbers like that. Ill pass. Again one game only for 12 oclock. Enjoy!
                    Comment
                    • Jwiggles
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-01-13
                      • 127

                      #11
                      ill tell you what boys we need a score!!! We do not want this in OT. Its to dangerous. It be sad to lose a game like that when he had a perfect pic.
                      Comment
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