NCAAF 2013... Track/Debate/ Love or hate. Whatever

[Mcsmush]

My fellow Sbr'ers. I just posted my first post on here and I was shocked thinking that I have posted before. Turns out I have just been lurking here for the past 3-4 years (what an effin creep!) haha

Anyway, I now feel like posting my picks to publicly track my week to week victories and hair pulling mistakes. Given the fact I live to debate about sports just as much if not more than the next man, I also want to debate these picks to have a different perspective on them.

Just a general disclaimer: I have never tracked my bets ever i just always know my running count for the year and my total bankroll. I am really a coinflip week to week grinder meaning, if I had to guess In the last 3 years I have wagered about $75-80k. (kind of crazy when you write that down) The coinflip part is my 3 year running count I am up exactly $850 hahahaha. Never owed a book yet never broke one either. I play anywhere from 9-15 games a week, all NCAAF. So tail or fade.... I could give it less mind. If you hate on me, hate with class and/ or originality, but even then I could care less what you think. I will scratch plays all the time and occasionally add one or two a week. I will try to update beforehand but in the case I don't my bad but given that I dont care I wont lie about winners and losers. With that being said and my bio out of the way, Let's get to it! Good luck in all games you play fellas, I look forward to the debates, money and lack of butthurt in this thread!

This year: Record (unkown).....+2.8 units

Week of 10/28 (all 1 unit unless otherwise specified)


10/30 Cincy under 44.5 .............Loss

10/31 Rice @ Mean Green -4
USF @ Houston -18
ULM @Troy -3
ASU @ Washington st OVER 70.5

11/1 USC @ Oregon St -4.5


11/2
OSU-31 @ Purdue
NIU -23 @UMASS (potential 2 unit play)
Arizona @ Cal OVER 65
Minny @ IU over 65.5

Auburn-8 @Arky (potential multi unit)
ECU -22 @ FIU

Pitt @ GaTech -10

Colorado @ UCLA OVER 56

Miami @ FSU OVER 61

UTEP @ TAMU over 76


A writeup for each game would take too long for my lazy self to do, but I do have them on paper. So pick em out and call me out. Again Good luck fellas!!

[Mcsmush]

10/30 Cincy under 44.5 .............Loss

10/31 Rice @ Mean Green -4.......WinUSF @ Houston -18 ......... Loss
ULM @Troy -3......... Loss (Stupid play on my part I totally overlooked Browning playing last week)
ASU @ Washington st OVER 70.5.......Win

2-3 Going into the weekend....See its a coinflip! Here is my updated card. Scratched a few, May add another later.

11/1 USC @ Oregon St -4.5


11/2

NIU -23 @UMASS 2 unit

Minny @ IU over 65.5

Auburn-8 @Arky 2 unit

Pitt @ GaTech -10

Colorado @ UCLA OVER 56 2 unit

Miami @ FSU OVER 61

UTEP @ TAMU over 76 watching the line movement may be a scratch....


What is the opinion on Tulane +4 with all the crazy stuff going down with FAU?

[Mcsmush]

Beavs let me down.....It happens. 2-4 going into saturday got some work to do.....Im adding OSU back in and Utah st -24 for 1 unit. UH got into Utah last night at 2am. Or so I heard but i like that game before even hearing that.


Scratched the TAMU over

[Mcsmush]

Scratched the TAMu Game But went with Fresno Over....Same result. Got the Ga tech line in too late at -11 so I pushed that.

Saturday Was 7-2-1, Hitting both of my multi unit plays. Rolling into the FSU game without a loss and missed the over. Then of course like a hot hand ina dice game you just got to keep playing missed on Fresno over.


Finishing my NCAAF week at 9-6-1. Walked in this week +2.8 units Walking out +6.2 units. I'll take that all day.

[Mcsmush]

Since I started tracking record is 9-6-1...yearly unit total +6.2 units.

Tuesday Night play:

6 pt Tease BGSU Under 53 & Buffalo over 50 1 unit.

Bowling Green defense is good enough to shut MOH down completley. BGSU will also slow the game way down once they have control. I can see this game going 35-0 pretty easily. The tease just prevent any junk time scoring for me.

Buffalo and Ohio should pop over 50 pretty easily from what I see. Nothing too exciting tonight other than putting a unit up to scream at the TV.

Working on the rest of my week card now I will try to post up this evening.

[Mcsmush]

\

[Mcsmush]

Hell. It's Tuesday and I feel good. So here is my play(s) this evening


6 point Teasing BGSU under 54/ Buffalo over 48.5

&

BGSU -23.5


Good luck this evening fellas!

[Mcsmush]

This week 1-1.....

Ohio bit me with only putting 3 up. It happens.

Tonight

Ball st -21
&
Over 57.5

I have been on Ball st ATS since week 2 with a 6-2 record. They have been solid and consistent for me so I will return until it proves otherwise...... The over seems low as well so I am going to take a shot that it as well.

Good Luck!

[dzuke155]

So you are goingball st and over even with the weather conditions?

[Mcsmush]

The weather reports have the rain clearing up (just light rain at that) so the only battle really is the reported 12-14mph winds.... These teams playing in this area are used to the breeze. I dont think it will affect much and has been overstated on the forum.

The over is my gamble for the evening but 57.5 is low for a team that averages 39.4 per (even more to comparable teams of C.Mich). Ball also lets up a few points here each game too.

Ball St has been pretty good to me this year ATS. Could be some false confidence in there due to that but I don't see anything from C.Mich that would back me off of the play. It could bite me being so large, but I wont be getting cute here.

[Mcsmush]

Backdoor Baloney!!

2-2 on the week and a really fun thursday ahead. This workday is going to go by slowww.


Havent quite decided how I am going to play this evening but playing will be had.

[Mcsmush]

What a great evening for NCAAF. The boards have been lit up all day and now its close to go time!

Thursday night (+5.9 units total)

ULL over 67
Baylor over 73
Baylor -15
Ducks -10.5 (2 unit play)

[Mcsmush]

The Ducks performance still has me in shock. If i had 99 chances to guess the outcome, I would have never picked that. Baylor however looked liek the real deal last night.

My picks put me at 2- 2 for the evening and 4-4 for the week so far. +4.6 units

Tonight I wont be getting cute.

Air force/ NM over 59. 2 top tier running teams going against 2 bottom feeder run defenses. Should be plenty to sail the number.

Louisville -27......Uconn offense is bad, match that with Ville's decent defense and I see this game being handled easily by 'Ville.

Good luck this evening!

[dzuke155]

Sounds good!!! Lets make some of our $$$ back!!!!!!

[Mcsmush]

Sounds good!!! Lets make some of our $$$ back!!!!!!

D, You are a trooper tailing me. I bet your fingernails are knawed off like mine. Cheers my man, lets get it!

[Mcsmush]

Took a nasty hit last night as I played 2 units each on the Ville ats and the over. The AF over helped a little but schooweee.

So 6-7 this week. Good chunk of plays today. to right the ship. +1.2 units

Noon:

Auburn -7 (2 units)
Mizz -14
Penn state over 48
Texas tech over 60.5
Ole Miss over 54
Eastern Michigan over 59

Late afternoon:

TAMU over 68
Oklahoma state over 53.5

Evening card:

Houston over 64.5
UCLA over 59 (possible multi unit depending on the days events)

Hoping for lots of scoring today in the wonderful world of NCAAF to try and rebound from a subpar week so far.

Not going to play it, but the marquee matchup between Bama and LSU. I would lean for the tide -10.5...

[Mcsmush]

So far 6-1 today, SO I am going to throw a last minute play in there

ULM -3.5

[Mcsmush]

21-18-1 last 2 weeks. +1.6 units. Took a flooring on the Saturday evening games and gave all of my money back. Rough go at it last week, but that will never stop any of us right?!?

Tonight's plays, I am going after the overs

Buffalo Toledo over 55.....Both have back capable of taking games over. Defenses are sub par. Tell me why I shouldn't.

Ohio BGSU over 51. BGSU has a lot of vets playing in one of their last home games. They will be fired up and put some points up against a sub par Ohio defense. Ohio gets some offensive firepower back and should look to rebound and have a better showing after last week. 51 is a low bar.

Good Luck fellas!

[Mcsmush]

Correction.....Buffalo's defense isnt sub par. But Toledo does put up 45 at home. Even if buffalo holds them down Toledo will score. I dont think points will be at a premium here and Buffalo has chance to win outright meaning I think they will put up some points too.

[BigdaddyQH]

Do you really believe that we will buy you taking games off? Once you wager on them, you cannot erase it. You claim to wager 25K a year. How many games a year do you wager on? My guess is at least 250 because you do not have the money to wager 1K per game. A $100.00 bettor, which is probably what you are, can easily wager 25K per year when he wagers on half the games on the board, as you seem to do. This is why you have made tip money over the past three years. I like the way you wrote it up trying to fool people, but ember one thing. Never try to B.S. someone who really plays the game for big money. Just one other thing. If your record is unknown, how can you be up 2.8 units? Try to keep it legit.

[Urbanwildlife]

Never try to B.S. someone who really plays the game for big money. Just one other thing. Try to keep it legit.

This coming from the Queen of AVON sales ladies, and who lives in his mothers trailer home. Another classic by the illiterate clueless fool.

[Mcsmush]

I am glad you like the way I wrote it up. So you will fully understand when I tell you personally that your opinion is worth less than the corn I just flushed down the toilet. Its fun money bro. My tip money is just that... MY tip money.

While you may like to think you are a "Big dog" Your rep from what I see is a that of a big clown. Shoes and all my man.I figured it was only a matter of time before you came in here trying to act large..... With that being said, Chive on my friend and thanks for the input!

[Urbanwildlife]

This broke asss poster BigdaddyQH holds the title of being the Queen of many things, including losing, and the posting of inaccurate information, so it is best to just ignore him, as he is mentally challenged.

[Mcsmush]

1-1 this week Ohio not scoring got me again.....

Going to play Kent St under 48.5

Ball st over 72.5

[Mcsmush]

Sometime you need luck on your side....NIU over was a good hit, even though it wasn't deserved.

3-1 on the week so far.

Since I play everything.....I am going to play a few tonight.

Clemson over 61

Marshall -13.5

Marshall over 63


Good luck fellas!

[Mcsmush]

5-2 on the week Marshalls tunrovers were ridiculous! Do you guys start routing hard for the team you played to lose when you realize they blew the spread?? Yea me either...

I am sure its not surprising but I am with the masses this evening and for good reason. UCLA takes this game like it or not

Posted my score guess in another thread already but my prediction is....... Bruins 37 Huskies 29

With that being said

UCLA -2.5

UCLA/WSH Over 60


Good luck on your plays ladies n gents!

[Killer_Demo]

[QUOTE=BigdaddyQH;20231190e, but ember one thing. Never try to B.S. someone who really plays the game for big money. [/QUOTE]

Funniest sh!t I've read all day.

[Mcsmush]

7-2 this week......

Early plays

Ohio st over 67
UCF -17
Wisconsin over 68
Auburn over 64.5
Washington st over 63

Good luck!!

[Mcsmush]

Taking ducks -28

[Mcsmush]

Not so hot of a start. Thinking Bama and baylor will felx their muscles tonight and turn my day around.

Baylor -27 and over 84

Bama -23.5

[Mcsmush]

Ended a rough saturday with a 4-6 record after a late night ASU over that was way off the mark. Just couldnt put a finger on a run of games.

Still ended the week as a whole at 11-8. Had potential to be a great one but it happens.

3 week tally 32-26-1....... +3.8 units.

[Mcsmush]

posting a little late due to getting off work late.

My card this evening

Kent st under 51.5

Buffalo -24.5

[Mcsmush]

1-1 Kent state was bush league late in that game.

Setting myself up for another split but I see no other outcome (in my wacky head) than

NIU-1.5
NIU Toldeo Over 73.5

as the winners tonight. Good luck fellas!

[Mcsmush]

2-2 for the early week....

Going to start the evening playing

Rice -17.5

UCF RUTGERS UNDER 59.5

Leans for the late night is UNLV +2.5 and the over 60

[Mcsmush]

2-1 Last night. Rice was a bitter defeat....layed off the Over on the late game but still took the side. 4-3 for the week heading into tonight.

Leaning To take Navy +2 and the over (59). SJST run D is 101st in the nation and Navy has been lighting up the board lately putting up 42,42,34 in their last 3. SJST being at home does tend to score a little more. Navy's defense is good enough to hold them to around 28-30. My prediction would be Navy takes it 38-30.