When I look at this game and run some numbers, it looks like this would be a close 23-20 type of game. Memphis is averaging 20 ppg, but averages 22 at home. Cincy averages 34 ppg, but averages 17 on the road. Cincy puts up 275 passing yds and 192 rushing yds a game. Memphis puts up199 pass yds and 161 rush ypg. On the defensive side, Memphis has 16 sacks and 4 ints. Cincy has 23 sacks and 9 ints. This next part really caught my attention....Memphis has a freshman QB and has thrown a sorry ass 3 TDs this year and the team has ran for 7. Their offense doesn't get in the endzone very much. UCF fumble twice inside their own 20 and Memphis returned them both for tds. The kicked 5 field goals against Houston. Cincy has a senior QB and has thrown for 17 tds and the team has rushed for 15 tds. Now don't get it mixed up, I think cincy is garbage too, but as long as they don't turn it over on their side of the field, they should win this game. The weather says its gonna be 65 degrees with 10-15 mph wind. With Memphis having a junk offense, and cincy not being able to score on the road, and both teams have a decent run game, I'm looking for field goals. Field goals with 10-15 mph wind at that. Under 45. BOL