TNF: I lost 2200 on this match-up last year. Fool my twice, shame on me.

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  • dontknowtohedge
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-11-13
    • 237

    #1
    TNF: I lost 2200 on this match-up last year. Fool my twice, shame on me.
    typo on the header... should be me, not my. Mods plz adjust.

    ULL buried me alive last year, losing at home by 23 to the Red Wolves.

    This year, I have my chance at redemption with a huge 20 unit play.

    Fool me once, (23 point S/U loss as a favorite) shame on you.
    Fool me twice, shame on me.


    Red Wolves outright at home.

    Another poster on here already hit this one out of the park with this comment:

    Originally posted by Joepbj
    Ark st went toe to toe with mizzou @ mizzou. Going into fourth quarter they were only down by 3 before they fell apart. They've also had extra time to prepare for this game. Ark st is the play
  • dontknowtohedge
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-11-13
    • 237

    #2
    I have locked in ARK ST +2.5 (EV)

    It seems this line is jumping around a bit, with either more bets and/or sharp money coming in on ULL.

    Line is 3 (-110) at most shops.

    Earlier today the ARK ST ML was +120, I figure getting EV and 2.5 pts...it's a good deal.

    But getting +3, if you're playing small and don't mind the 10 cents vig, it's also a great play.
    Comment
    • eatdarich
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-21-12
      • 173

      #3
      The Ragin' Cajuns ARE 21-8 ATS record in their last 29 road games and they seem to be jellin at the right time, winning I believe their last 4. Sorry to hear about last year, but as we all know in gambling last year was last year.

      My book has ULL -3 even, I'm on it
      Comment
      • ur moms fantasy
        SBR Hustler
        • 12-01-12
        • 57

        #4
        Question is, why the hell you laying 2200 on two teams like this?
        Comment
        • Scratch 23
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-20-13
          • 175

          #5
          This is the 2nd of back to back road conference games for the Cajuns. Ark. St. is prohibitevly better than W.KY. and I like the new coaching staff. The first game of the yr (playing Pine-Bluff) was a write in game. Probably should have been my play of the yr(had 4 units on it and should have had 20) as the line opened at 26.5 and by game time had steamed all the way to 35. 63-0 winner. The next week(week 2) they had to take the huge step up in class (Arkansas) and got beaten soundly. Turnabout was fairplay. As Jeff Grant pointed out in his writeup, Red Wolves 14-1 SU and 10-5 ats last 15 @ home.
          Comment
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