I've been really impressed and surprised by this LSU offense this year - Mettenberger and Can Cameron are working well as a team, they've averaged 46 points a game, 46, this is LSU we're discussing. We've known this LSU team as a "traditionally defensive" team which they still are, but now they have an offense to match, they put up 59 point on Mississippi state last week...
-Mettenberger has thrown for 1738 yards this year with 15 TDs, approx a 290 yard avg. and only two interceptions, he's been as good as you could expect this year. But his success has been promulgated by a great running game with Jeremy Hill and Terrence Mcgee, having close to 1000 yards rushing between the two and 12 TDs. This is an offense that will score at home under this crowd, they churn out 500 yards a game, with almost 200 yards rushing....
-With that said this Florida defense is one of the best LSU will be facing and that's something to recognize, they are close to the top in the run, pass, and SECOND in total defense. They produce turnovers and special teams has been good - but that ultimately means nothing if Florida's offense can't match LSU's.
-This line, in my humble opinion, set at -7.5 LSU currently is an attempt to lure $$$ on Florida here given last week's performance, understandable, but unless Florida can have a special teams TD, and Defensive TD again, I don't see how they match pace with this LSU offense. If they fall behind early, watch this LSU go to work - they're no slouch either.
If you can grab LSU at -6.5 that's a statistically sound bet in my opinion just based on the matchup I've ran, books have moved it as much up to 7.5 at the moment to garner some public money on Florida.
obviously the ML is the best option with a pick'em, but not many want to pay -300.
I can see Florida staying in this game because of their defense but I'm backing the LSU offense @home here.
Best of luck.
-Mettenberger has thrown for 1738 yards this year with 15 TDs, approx a 290 yard avg. and only two interceptions, he's been as good as you could expect this year. But his success has been promulgated by a great running game with Jeremy Hill and Terrence Mcgee, having close to 1000 yards rushing between the two and 12 TDs. This is an offense that will score at home under this crowd, they churn out 500 yards a game, with almost 200 yards rushing....
-With that said this Florida defense is one of the best LSU will be facing and that's something to recognize, they are close to the top in the run, pass, and SECOND in total defense. They produce turnovers and special teams has been good - but that ultimately means nothing if Florida's offense can't match LSU's.
-This line, in my humble opinion, set at -7.5 LSU currently is an attempt to lure $$$ on Florida here given last week's performance, understandable, but unless Florida can have a special teams TD, and Defensive TD again, I don't see how they match pace with this LSU offense. If they fall behind early, watch this LSU go to work - they're no slouch either.
If you can grab LSU at -6.5 that's a statistically sound bet in my opinion just based on the matchup I've ran, books have moved it as much up to 7.5 at the moment to garner some public money on Florida.
obviously the ML is the best option with a pick'em, but not many want to pay -300.
I can see Florida staying in this game because of their defense but I'm backing the LSU offense @home here.
Best of luck.
, I like the way Tigers are moving the ball with this balanced approach.
