Believelands' CFB/NFL thread

[Believeland]

Small time guy 20-50$ bets in paramedic school right now so moneys tight. Just wanna document my plays better. Down like 50$ on the year but not going to count it in this thread.

Thursday Night:

SF-3 44$ to win 40$
Iowa St- +120ML O56.5 20$ to win 64$

I like San Fran to grind it out on the ground and win a tight one, everyone's so down on the 49ers but this team still is a lot better than the Rams and did make it to the Superbowl last year. Something like 17-13 20-14.

Throwing a dart at Iowa St because I remember watching Richardson last year and thinking he played good ball and expect him to have success passing on Tulsa's defense. He does have a banged up ankle and that could have some effect. When I watched and lost money on Tulsa twice this year Green looked like crap and they couldn't do anything running either. Big 12 vs C-USA even though pretty even Ill take my chances with the better passer and bigger conference school.

Taking my chance on the over in that game as well because I think both offesnse will have success on each others crappy defenses

BOL to all.

[Believeland]

Hedged my ISU parlay..

Under 55 risking 24$ to win 19.20 Live in game bet Bookmaker

[Believeland]

Friday 9/27

Utah State -9.5 Risking 27.50 to win 25$

Kinda mad I missed the better number at the open but still ok with it under 10. Utah State and Keeton shouldn't have any problems going up and down the field for scores. Minnesota just ran for 420 yards against SJSU. Keeton and the duo of backs should have a ton of success passing and running.

This isn't the same SJSU team as last year. David Fales is a great College QB and could see him being a late draft choice at the NFL level. He played well against the Gophers last week racking up the passing yards. He will still be without his best weapon in Grigsby who is still out, but Chandler Jones stepped up last week and has big play potential.

Regular play for me because while I think Utah State should dominate on offense and score often I'm not sure if Utah States defense can prevent a backdoor cover to Fales who I like a lot as a QB. The over is worth a look IMHO


YTD: 2-1 +80$ (2-0) if you ignore my hedge

[Oteder]

Great believe keep it up bad Bol to u

[Believeland]

Saturday 9/28

Purdue +3.5 Risking 23 to win 21

I know this isn't a popular pick but Purdue has played 3 good teams and hung with ND. They should have success against a Mac team like NIU. I also think this is an over reaction line because winsconsin ran all over them. Well Wiscy can do that to the majority of the fbs. Purdue will key on lynch play the reciever close stopping the quick passes. Pursues coach knows Mac football and will be ready for this game.

UNC vs. ECU O61.5

Risking 23 to win 21

both have effective qbs and should put up points.

The U -17 against USF

risking 23 to win 21

no time for a write up


YTD 3-1 +105$

[Believeland]

Saturday added

SC-7 risking 21 to win 20


I have a ton of respect for UCF and think they will be a top 25 team soon but I'm not sure the have the talent to hang with an SEC powerhouse like SC. Blake Bortles will get his don't get me wrong but Clowney will finally have a good game and scs offense will have success

[Believeland]

Don't know how these noon games are gonna turn out I guess Purdue is that bad...

Lsu -+3 risking 22 to win 20

Oklahoma-3.5 risking 22 to win 20


in cbus posting plays from the bar kinda drunk no time to put my thoughts on the game.. These were decided last night sober. Hoping to squeeze out a 3-1 noon day

[Believeland]

Texas A&M -13

22 to win 20

[Believeland]

Asu-3.5

Stanford-8.5


Risking 23 to win 21.


Will ill update record in the morning

[Believeland]

YTD 8-4-1,+164$ I could be wrong with my math but good day betting.. I will have NFL releases tomorrow. If. I messed up Gimmie a break it's 4:41 in cbus going to pass out now

[Believeland]

Sunday NFL

Browns ML +160 20 to win 32
Bears +3 22 to win 20

Not a biased pick, browns front 7 is the real deal.
This game will come down to the last few minutes and I'll take my chances on the home team.

Bears are hot right now, Detroit is dysfunctional

[Believeland]

Sunday 9/29

added Teaser Bears +9 over 41.5 24 to win 20

[Believeland]

Was watching my Browns whoop on the Bengals so didnt have time to post my afternoon plays. As of now both losing so you know im not blowing smoke.

Sunday 9/29

Washington -3.5 and over 45 Parlay 20 to win 52
Dallas -1 22 to win 20

As usual BOL to all you goons

[Believeland]

Sunday Night 9/29

New England ML +135

25 to win 33

Tom as a dog doesnt happen often and I cant pass it up. Atlantas defense is banged up.

[Believeland]

Monday 9/30

Saints -6.5 28$ to win 25$

I think the line is telling in itself meaning the Saints really are that much better. A 3-0 team as a 7 point dog really. The Saints are looking like the ones of old with Payton back. Bree's wil be his usual self on Monday night football in his dome and I think they win by atleast 10.

The dolphins have been out gained in all of its games and still managed to pull off 3 wins. I am a fan of these guys as I've been high on them since last year began. There defense is the real deal but I don't think they can match up with Graham and company. Miami offesnsively in my opinion has been playing above what they should.

While i I think the Saints will win by double digits I think this line is a bit high. Id set it at or around 5. So regualr bet for me.

YTD- 11-7-1 +185$

GOODLUCK WITH YOUR PICKS MEN

[Believeland]

Thursday Night Football 10/3/13

Browns-4 Risk 27 to win 25
UCLA-6 Risk 22 to win 20

Browns have it together and that defense is going to to make it extremely hard on Manuel, whom I never even liked as a QB at FSU. I haven't watched him play one game in the NFL yet but I think the Bills blew it on that one. Bills secondary is banged up and both Jackson and spiller are hurt and might not play. This Browns defense doesn't allow yards on the ground and I dont expect tashard Choice to do much of anything let alone a banged up Jackson or Spiller. Browns 20 Bills 7

UCLA should have a successful night against a Utah defense that that gave up 450+ yards to each of the two play makers they have played this year in Keeton and Mannion. I'm also not a fan of the Utah QB Travis Wilson, never was, never will be. UCLA 35+ Utah 17-24


YTD 12-7-1 +210$

[Believeland]

Friday Night 10/4

Utah State-5.5

BYU's defense is most likely the best Utah St has seen all year but I still think keeton and them get it done at home. BYU shouldn't even remotely move the ball on offense as Taysom Hill is one of the worst passers in CFB. If Utah State stops the run like I expect them too this game should cover easily. Also Utah State is very balanced of on offense running and passing well. There defense is also pretty solid. The same can not be said for BYU.

my write ups are just quick thoughts that come to my head... I know its just ranting.

YTD 14-7-1 +255$

[Believeland]

Saturday 10/5

Forgot to put what I was betting on the Utah St game but I lost 27$ on it. My fault, cant predict Keeton getting hurt that bad.

Ohio-3 40/44$ Ohio is a much better team than the Zips, who are well just god awful. Plus OU has 3 OL cleared to return. They're much healthier.

Ball State+140ML 25/35$
UVA doesn't have an identity while Ball State has their offense rolling. I do understand this is a MAC offense going up against a defense that might cause them problems but Wenning is a good one under center to back.

MSU +EV 20/20$
Ville-32 22/20$ Temple is awful, after scoring 72 last week Im afraid of this big spread but still taking it.
FSU-17 22/20$ Taking this solely on what MD was last year which was trash and the fact that everyone thinks this is gonna be close.


YTD 14-8-1 +228$

Lets get it BOL to all, will be making alot of picks today.

Will post my afternoon games closer to game time.

[Believeland]

not looking too bad on early games will update record later.

3:30 plays

Ga Tech +5 25/27$
Clemson -13.5 25$/27$
ECU -7.5 25/27$

slight lean to UCF as they're one of my favorite teams to bet on might add it

[Believeland]

Shitty 3:30 games.

LSU -6.5 25/27$
ASU -7 25/26$
NW +225 20/45$
NW+6.5 25/27$

Lets get it

[Believeland]

love cfb saturdays been boozing since 11:30

but Washington+9 25/27$

for now might play fales and the sjsu offense at midnight aganist uh

[Believeland]

just got ****** what a penetrating joke

[Believeland]

pissed as penetrate got robbed on NW shoulda pushed it... time to lose money fales -3 70/80$

[Believeland]

8-6 day yesterday still made 116$ on it. Brings my YTD to 22-14-1 +334$

was so damn close on ecu .5 loss kicker missed 2 Fgs, OSU cover was such shit, louisville settling for Fgs sucked. But it halppens.

will post NFL before game time still laying down

[Believeland]

Sunday 10/6

New England PK 30/33$
SF -4.5 46/50$
Seattle -3 30/31$

Square pickings in my opinion but I want to win money not look smart.

New England is the better team here, regardless of what you think. Andy Dalton is a scrub QB and doesn't deserve the respect he gets. Also think NE is still underrated, at 4-0 idk how but they are.

Seattle's defense is just too much for that Indy offense. Indy not very good defensively and Seattles offense will actually do something for once.

San fran another case of being underrated, ESPN and the media has tricked everyone into thinking theres something wrong with them.


Call me crazy but I might be playing Dallas ML and +7.5 later on. Dallas has the offense to actually keep up with Manning. Although I do think Romo would have to play his best game of the season or even his career to pull it off

[Believeland]

0-2 Great start

Dallas +7.5 33/30

[Believeland]

Denver Pick 30/24 Trying for a middle

[Believeland]

Adding 20$ more to sf at -3.5

[Believeland]

Monday 10/7

Falcons -9.5 20/22$

YTD 25-16-1 +388$

[Believeland]

adding 40 more to the falcons at -9.5 total 56/62$