What do you think about that 84.5 over in the Oregon/CAl game?

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  • irish1
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-12
    • 4837

    #1
    What do you think about that 84.5 over in the Oregon/CAl game?
    The under is so tempting, 84.5 is alot but is achievable in this crazy game of college football. I am staying away but just curious to hear some takes on it.
  • tokio
    SBR MVP
    • 03-30-10
    • 2150

    #2
    Didn't know the number was that high. CAL's offense wont put up the amount of points they did with Ohio State. Oregon's defense is much better. If OSU was able to put up 50, I see the Ducks do that and more.
    Comment
    • irish1
      SBR MVP
      • 12-25-12
      • 4837

      #3
      Originally posted by tokio
      Didn't know the number was that high. CAL's offense wont put up the amount of points they did with Ohio State. Oregon's defense is much better. If OSU was able to put up 50, I see the Ducks do that and more.
      So, in your opinion, is it over or under?
      Comment
      • Husker36
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-08
        • 3846

        #4
        I know a guy that his only play this weekend is the over in the game.
        Comment
        • bignick231
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-24-12
          • 137

          #5
          cal usually plays oregon pretty tuff ill take the under
          Comment
          • tokio
            SBR MVP
            • 03-30-10
            • 2150

            #6
            Originally posted by bignick231
            cal usually plays oregon pretty tuff ill take the under
            I'd lean towards the under. 63-14
            Comment
            • wufpakman21
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-26-13
              • 403

              #7
              Cal has the best offense of any of the teams Oregon has faced thus far. If Tennessee scored 14 on Oregon, Cal will score at least 21 and maybe 28. With that being said, as much as Cal throws it they won't eat up too much clock and there could be lots of 3 and outs which gives Oregon more chances to score. I can see a final of 55-24.
              Comment
              • irish1
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-12
                • 4837

                #8
                If I were betting on this one I would have to go over because the book seems to be pushing unders with that high of an over. Makes you wonder? over is probably the play. I agree that the passing game of cal will stop the clock quite a bit giving oregon a lot more offensive possessions. This should be interesting? the under is so tempting like I said in my 1st post but over would be my play.
                Comment
                • Overbettor
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-08-11
                  • 951

                  #9
                  Where might a person find stats on how often games with numbers above 80 actually go over the total? I'd have to think that more often than not when the number is this high the game usually goes over. Any1 have any data to confirm or deny this?
                  Comment
                  • Terrapin Station
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-05-10
                    • 2583

                    #10
                    Should be damn close to going over. With Cal's offense, I'm hoping they can keep the game close. True freshmen QB playing up at Oregon makes me nervous though.
                    Comment
                    • tokio
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-30-10
                      • 2150

                      #11
                      Well that number dropped pretty damn quick. 81.5 now.
                      Comment
                      • trendon
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-06-10
                        • 534

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tokio
                        I'd lean towards the under. 63-14
                        ... which is a crazy sentence, lol. I'll take the under since they'll only score 77 points.
                        Comment
                        • trendon
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-06-10
                          • 534

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Overbettor
                          Where might a person find stats on how often games with numbers above 80 actually go over the total? I'd have to think that more often than not when the number is this high the game usually goes over. Any1 have any data to confirm or deny this?
                          From covers: "of the 11 games to boast a total of 80 points or more in the past 28 seasons, five have played over the number and six have stayed under. Over/unders in the 82-plus range – which there were five – saw the over hit just twice. "
                          Comment
                          • trendon
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-06-10
                            • 534

                            #14
                            Here’s a look at the 11 games with 80-plus totals since 1985:

                            80 – SMU 13, Texas A&M 42 (Sept 20, 2013)
                            82 – UCLA 26, Baylor 49 (Dec 27, 2012)
                            88 – Oklahoma State 34, Baylor 41 (Dec 1, 2012)
                            80 – Baylor 52, Texas Tech 45 (Nov 14, 2012)
                            82.5 – Baylor 63, West Virginia 70 (Sept 29, 2012)
                            80 – Washington 56, Baylor 67 (Dec 29, 2011)
                            82 – Texas Tech 42, Baylor 66 (Nov 26, 2011)
                            83 – Baylor 59, Oklahoma State 24 (Oct 29, 2011)
                            80.5 – Tulsa 30, Houston 70 (Nov 15, 2008)
                            80.5 – New Mexico State 13, Hawaii 50 (Oct 27, 2007)
                            80 – Colorado 21, Texas Tech 26 (Nov 1, 2003)
                            Comment
                            • Pin Fish
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-28-08
                              • 1295

                              #15
                              Weather today Rain with winds 25-35...UNDER ..................
                              Comment
                              • jay5hizzle
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-25-13
                                • 77

                                #16
                                Heard its going to be raining up there today. I may take the under.
                                Comment
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