North Carolina +7

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  • GemSportsPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-10
    • 2513

    #1
    North Carolina +7
    1) BET ID=419872497
    Straight Wager 09/21/13 07:58 ET
    bet 779.00 to win 708.18 Result: Pending
    NorthCarolina
    GaTech
    09/21/13(12:05 ET)
    NorthCarolina +7
    I usually don't give an explanation, cause well its irrelevant and extremely over rated... Just to give some an idea of angle I see... UNC defense is not very good, but typically Gtech option offense is a surprise to good defenses and major adjustment, so its not as big of an advantage as it usually is... Also I see UNC being able to throw all over Gtechs D... Good luck everyone.
  • Hotlanta Steam
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-10
    • 896

    #2
    Tech score 68 pts vs UNC last year... what do you think has changed besides Tech getting better on defense?
    Comment
    • GemSportsPicks
      SBR MVP
      • 10-15-10
      • 2513

      #3
      So every year things are different, if you look at the trends

      North Carolina Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
      Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
      Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
      Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
      Under is 4-0 in Yellow Jackets last 4 games following a ATS win.
      Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
      Head to Head Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
      Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech.
      Everything and I mean everything points GTECH... But the line only opens at 5.5.... Interesting, now this could mean one of two things... One the odds makers didn't put much time into this line and just put it out there, and its a gift... Or two, they feel there is an edge in favor of tarheels, that isn't necessarily apparent on the surface. Now I'm not conspiracy theorist, and I don't claim to be right all the time... I just try to pick out games where I believe I see an edge... I'm contrarian player more often then not, but from my Boise +4 play last night you can see that is not always the case... GOOD LUCK on whatever you choose.
      Comment
      • dirtycash66
        SBR MVP
        • 04-13-12
        • 2958

        #4
        do you think nc will win the game su
        Comment
        • NicAtNight
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-29-11
          • 290

          #5
          Gt by 2 tds
          Comment
          • Bet10Heinekens
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-10-13
            • 10567

            #6
            Tar Heel rush defense has been trash, rank 93rd in the nation
            Comment
            • Frodo
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-12-10
              • 56

              #7
              I'm rollin' with the nerds to cover at home. The new DC isn't all that impressive, but I just don't think the Heels can match them score for score.
              Comment
              • PremiumPete83
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-12-13
                • 7

                #8
                I'm a big time UNC fan. The defense is awful against the run and will be completely lost when they start mixing in play action. They have never defended the GT offense well under the current regime or the last regime either. The offense seems to be going through some growing pains without Gio Bernard bailing them out in important situations. That being said my bet on the game:

                I teased GT to -1.5 and the over to 53.5. It seems like the safest play today.
                Comment
                • Bigh2001
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-18-11
                  • 346

                  #9
                  GT or no play here. Larry Fedora has no idea how to coach defense and the talent level sucks.
                  Comment
                  • PremiumPete83
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-12-13
                    • 7

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Bigh2001
                    GT or no play here. Larry Fedora has no idea how to coach defense and the talent level sucks.
                    It's a good thing he has a defensive coordinator. They don't have the horses this year, though, I agree.
                    Comment
                    • pokerwhiz90
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-02-10
                      • 2618

                      #11
                      GT Wins - maybe by 6? lol wouldn't surprise me
                      Comment
                      • GemSportsPicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-10
                        • 2513

                        #12
                        I actually like NC to be winning this game by atleast a field goal with 4 min left... Then Gtech to either get or not get the go ahead score for the win.... NC with the points is the play for me... Good luck to everyone on whatever you take.
                        Comment
                        • pokerwhiz90
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-02-10
                          • 2618

                          #13
                          oh i was expecting more of a backdoor cover - gt's offense is much better and will be the focal point of the game
                          Comment
                          • PorkChop
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 8193

                            #14
                            Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
                            I actually like NC to be winning this game by atleast a field goal with 4 min left... Then Gtech to either get or not get the go ahead score for the win.... NC with the points is the play for me... Good luck to everyone on whatever you take.

                            Don't understand how anyone can believe UNC can keep up with G"tech on offense.
                            Comment
                            • odog11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-14-11
                              • 3874

                              #15
                              Teasing GT to 1 is my play.
                              Comment
                              • GemSportsPicks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-10
                                • 2513

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PorkChop
                                Don't understand how anyone can believe UNC can keep up with G"tech on offense.
                                I may be wrong, I don't claim to be all knowing or that my opinion is better then anyone elses... I just call them like I see them... Sometimes I win, sometimes I lose... Guess we just have to wait, then we can all say how we knew what would happen when the game is over... hahaha
                                Comment
                                • pokerwhiz90
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-02-10
                                  • 2618

                                  #17
                                  yeah i hear ya gemsportspicks, i teased gtech - just like every game, it'd be interesting to see the way the games are reffed
                                  Comment
                                  • GemSportsPicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-10
                                    • 2513

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                                    yeah i hear ya gemsportspicks, i teased gtech - just like every game, it'd be interesting to see the way the games are reffed
                                    Absolutely correct my friend, When it comes to winning game outright its players 99% of the time, when it comes to covering, its refs 100% of the time, phantom holding calls that take points off the board... Pass interference calls that didn't happen that keep drive alive... And there new favorite this year, roughing the passer when he doesn't get touched.... I think your safe with the tease, I have NC being up then Gtech sneaking out victory at the end.
                                    Comment
                                    • NicAtNight
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-29-11
                                      • 290

                                      #19
                                      Gt over 32 is the play
                                      Comment
                                      • GemSportsPicks
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-15-10
                                        • 2513

                                        #20
                                        Nick at Night, Good luck I actually see this one as very sloppy game with alot of redzone turnovers... I wwould have small lean to the under... Don't mind if Gtech scores 33 for your win as long as UNC scores 27 for my win
                                        Comment
                                        • GemSportsPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-10
                                          • 2513

                                          #21
                                          Loving this first series... Use up clock put points on the board, move a lil closer to victory.
                                          Comment
                                          • GemSportsPicks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-15-10
                                            • 2513

                                            #22
                                            3 and out, now time for another score from UNC build a nice lil lead, then the spread will be safe.
                                            Comment
                                            • LolsMcwinsey
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-08-10
                                              • 2660

                                              #23
                                              On this with you gem!
                                              Comment
                                              • bubblebuttluv
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-13-12
                                                • 5179

                                                #24
                                                Another game like last night's Boise State game.

                                                Two teams with no defense at all.
                                                Comment
                                                • GemSportsPicks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-15-10
                                                  • 2513

                                                  #25
                                                  IF this one wins there is another good one at 330... West Virginia vs. Maryland, going to be same type game as this... Everyone thinks Maryland is going to blow them out... West Virginia is going to keep it real close.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GemSportsPicks
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-15-10
                                                    • 2513

                                                    #26
                                                    Wow that sucks cause he was fumbling that ball.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GemSportsPicks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-15-10
                                                      • 2513

                                                      #27
                                                      Hmmm where is everyone that was telling me, UNC stands no chance, UNC can't keep up with Gtech, UNC's defense is terrible... Everygame is different and different factors are constantly coming into play.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bubblebuttluv
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-13-12
                                                        • 5179

                                                        #28
                                                        If GA Tech could get a few stops they would be fine.

                                                        But, they can't.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AceKingHigh
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-23-09
                                                          • 3888

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice read on that game! WP
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GemSportsPicks
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-15-10
                                                            • 2513

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                                            Nice read on that game! WP
                                                            Thank you sir, thats all I was asking for just a lil recognition... hahaha... I'm sure I'll be wrong on many many more in the future... Feels good to read game almost to a T though.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LolsMcwinsey
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-08-10
                                                              • 2660

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
                                                              Hmmm where is everyone that was telling me, UNC stands no chance, UNC can't keep up with Gtech, UNC's defense is terrible... Everygame is different and different factors are constantly coming into play.
                                                              Hiding
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GemSportsPicks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-15-10
                                                                • 2513

                                                                #32
                                                                Not gonna lie,I'm a little nervous about this one now... UNC played them much better then what their lead is... I hate when that happens.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GemSportsPicks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-15-10
                                                                  • 2513

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Big stop, now lets see nice long time consuming drive for any kind of points and then this one is safe
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • AceKingHigh
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                                    • 3888

                                                                    #34
                                                                    GT Just fumbled twice in the last few tries.... looks like you're pretty safe to me
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • GemSportsPicks
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-15-10
                                                                      • 2513

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Nah, all it takes is back to back TD's that happens all the time... Need another score for cushion.
                                                                      Comment
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