week 4 ncaaf first glance leans...

Bet10Heinekens · 09-15-13, 02:14 PM

Boise St. +4.5 , ML and possible over
both defense Swiss cheese this year

Maryland -4.5
books not giving the Terps any credit, WVU is not good this year...Maryland going to slaughter the Mountaineers at home... C.J. Brown and Stefon Diggs are great players

Utah St. +7 looks intriguing
Chuckie Keeton should keep the Aggies within the number and possible outright win

Those are the one that stood out, got look more in-dept at these matchups

Eddy Munny · 09-15-13, 04:07 PM

Gotta love UL Monroe +27.5.......too many points......Kolton Browning and company can score some themselves.

gojetsgomoxies · 09-15-13, 04:42 PM

nice picks...

i like ULM scoring some points and keeping baylor off the field.

boise over fresno is good.

maryland i mentioned.... great talent and lb as qb i think affected perception a bit. coupled with the fact edsell's debut wasn't the best. terrible OC who came to canada and then ran worst offense here.

utah state seems scrappy so i like that. i feel like USC has some released energy now though

KnockEmDown · 09-15-13, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies

umass +32 vs. vandy I'm leaning on the UNDER for this game. much like KSU last week. The commodores like to control the clock. Waiting on the O/U of course.

wmich +17 @ iowa Iowa just won against in-state rival (maybe not a rival if ISU rarely wins)... Week 5 Iowa starts BIG 10 play against Minn. leaning on a 1H play for WMU with IA coming out flat.

marshall +11 @ VT.... tentatively really like this one. VT defense is solid. Leaning Under here.

north texas +32 @ georgia.... absolutely love this with a few more points Another 1H play here as Dawgs get out fast and sit on the ball. Possible 2H play on NT as UGA looks ahead to Week 5 matchup with LSU.

pitt -4.5 @ duke..... pitt scored alot vs. NM. i'm fading duke Really thought the line would more -7.5 to 10.5 here. Some good value for Pitt, but then again, NM sucks. (Don't let me change your mind Moxie)

tennessee +14.5 @ florida.. The Gators shot themselves in the foot again the Canes. Think the line for game is low, around 44, and I am leaning Tenn and the OVER. I like what Butch Jones doing even though ran into that buzzsaw at Eugene.

maryland -4.5 vs. WV Tough call here. WV has a defense and Mary still hasn't faced a good team. Value with WV here.

kent +18.5 @ psu Kent St is overmatched. would like this line more if it drops below 17. will wait and watch.

msu-nd UNDER... probably MSU +7 @ ND If Sparty had an offense (haven't read the box score/game recap again YSU) would be thinking ML MSU here. Like the UNDER as well. Hopefully the line is still in the 40's.

colo state +38 @ alabama BAMA 1H play. This one is over before halftime. Hope Bama doesn't come out flat after this big game. After that they get back to back bye weeks (bye and GSU).

NMS +39.5 @ UCLA..... although UCLA can score fast it seems UCLA and UCLA 2H play. First 2 games have been all second half. NMST doesn't have the D-line to stop that spread attack.

JetsMoxie, how did you do this weekend? I ended up going 3-3 ATS picked my favorite team to cover (never a good bet when you have tunnel vision) and Ball St went belly up in the second half. I think my big play will be BSU ML against Fresno St. Until FSU proves otherwise, coach Petersen owns them. BSU getting great value as dogs and I really LOVE the OVER as both teams' defenses are weak sauce. Baylor really jumped out to me as well. I know LA-Mon got the win at WF, but Baylor is OU light. OVER might be a play here as well.

thetrinity · 09-15-13, 05:30 PM

bama and tamu in obvious flat spots this week

thetrinity · 09-15-13, 05:37 PM

that pitt duke line seems like an overreaction type of line IMO

gojetsgomoxies · 09-15-13, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by KnockEmDown

JetsMoxie, how did you do this weekend? I ended up going 3-3 ATS picked my favorite team to cover (never a good bet when you have tunnel vision) and Ball St went belly up in the second half. I think my big play will be BSU ML against Fresno St. Until FSU proves otherwise, coach Petersen owns them. BSU getting great value as dogs and I really LOVE the OVER as both teams' defenses are weak sauce. Baylor really jumped out to me as well. I know LA-Mon got the win at WF, but Baylor is OU light. OVER might be a play here as well.

i think i went 12-5 or 13-5 ATS...... probably 4-3-1 O/U......

two of my losses were the high profile louisville and alabama games. fsu/nevada was a loss. nillinois not close to covering in idaho, and went BC ATS vs USC.... had trepidations about louisville/alabama/nillinois but then i have them about tons of winners... NM was quite the cover yesterday as was rice.

gojetsgomoxies · 09-15-13, 10:55 PM

KnockEmDown (and others),

thanks for all the good advice

i think i'm gonna get off the NMS +39 @ UCLA, as per your advice .... UCLA can score fast. so can NMS stop them a few times? or can NMS get 10+ points?.. i'd say NO to both............. could easily be 55-0 or similar

Dutch · 09-15-13, 11:41 PM

I'm a Hawkeye and I'm digging WMich +17.

I can get Maryland -6 and I like it..-4.5 looks sharp.

coca84 · 09-15-13, 11:43 PM

Texas scored big on NMST, and UCLA is way better than Texas. Take UCLA.

Ratpack · 09-16-13, 07:57 AM

watch out on that ull monroe play yeah they can score but lets not forget how they looked at oklahoma. They do well at home but not on the road baylor will put up at least 50 and possibly 60 i dont see ull putting up 30 baylor in a BLOWOUT

Pin Fish · 09-16-13, 04:32 PM

. Agree 100%...........this is like everyone last week screaming Tenn....Baylor can and will score like the Ducks did against the Vols<img src="http://forum.cloud.static-files.com/vb4/images/smilies/an_light.gif" border="0" alt="" title="An Light" smilieid="151" class="inlineimg"><br>
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jay0212 · 09-17-13, 03:12 PM

my early leans are arkansas st -4.5, ga tech minus 6.5, and wyoming. all 3 teams are playing weak opposition and the spreads are below a touchdown. good luck all