RLM/NLM Advisory

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  • Night-Tripper
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 3205

    #1
    RLM/NLM Advisory
    While the scenario may change before the numerous games kickoff later today, the following games are exhibiting strong RLM/NLM tendencies. I will mark the teams to watch out for (in each matchup) in red.
    • Houston/Temple
    • Cincinnati/Illinois (Note: Cincy line is beginning to move in correct direction)
    • EMU/Penn State
    • Bowling Green/Kent State
    • MTSU/North Carolina
    • Army/Ball State (Note: Line is now moving in correct direction)
    • San Diego State/Ohio State
    • Oregon/Virginia
    • Duke/Memphis
    • ULL/Kansas State
    • Arizona/UNLV
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    i know the cincy move was a direct result of it being a ras play which typically move.. do you take that kind of thing into account? cause while sure the higher percent is on cincy but ppl paying for ras plays are laying down big money in most cases..just curious as to your thoughts on that....gl night tripper
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    • Night-Tripper
      SBR MVP
      • 12-14-09
      • 3205

      #3
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      i know the cincy move was a direct result of it being a ras play which typically move.. do you take that kind of thing into account? cause while sure the higher percent is on cincy but ppl paying for ras plays are laying down big money in most cases..just curious as to your thoughts on that....gl night tripper
      The only outside factor I really take into consideration, is injuries. The fact that a service (even RAS) has made a recommendation on a side isn't a factor (from my perspective).

      I hope this helps... and good luck to you also 2daBank!
      Comment
      • wizcodlifa
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-10-12
        • 921

        #4
        What is your view on RLM and NLm??
        Comment
        • Night-Tripper
          SBR MVP
          • 12-14-09
          • 3205

          #5
          Originally posted by wizcodlifa
          What is your view on RLM and NLm??
          I view them as a source of reference, but I don't base my bets on them. I will actually start putting together a spreadsheet with next weeks matchups sometime on Saturday and continue working on it through Sunday afternoon. Once that's done, I'll start highlighting potential plays based solely on matchups and come up with a hypothetical line that I'll be looking for. From there, I'll begin paring down my list in an attempt to garner the most value. Once I've done all of that, I'll start turning in wagers... from Sunday night all the way until kickoff. Usually on Wednesday, I start looking for games that are exhibiting RLM/NLM tendencies. Should I be on the opposite side of an RLM team, I'll begin to do more research to determine if there is a valid reason. If so, and if I haven't turned in a play on that particular game, I'll probably drop it from my list, or make a small play on the side I liked to begin with. In the case of Cincinnati/Illinois, I'd already decided to play the Bearcats, so that was it. Late this afternoon, the line started moving in the correct direction, so it may not even end up as RLM. I never change sides due to RLM, but I do leave games alone if I wanted to go the other way.

          I hope this helps...
          Comment
          • wizcodlifa
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-10-12
            • 921

            #6
            Yes makes perfect sense
            Comment
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