Huge Parlay.....Thoughts? Sucker bet for sure

Kababayan · 09-03-13, 09:01 PM

Good luck

SamDiamond · 09-03-13, 09:08 PM

No offense man, I hope you hit it.

But, books love parlay players.

Especially guys who play 8-teamers ATS.

Eric22174 · 09-03-13, 09:25 PM

Originally posted by SamDiamond

No offense man, I hope you hit it.

But, books love parlay players.

Especially guys who play 8-teamers ATS.

Oh I know. I had a profitable last two weeks and my local book an casino doesn't allow parlays to be combined with college and nfl. This is just something to entertain me for the weekend while i wait for my book to pay me my last weeks winnings. I doubt it hits as i'm nervous about the NFL games. It is what it is. I win great....i don't no sweat.

Eric22174 · 09-03-13, 09:43 PM

Side Note: Reasons I think these games go the way the do are as follows:

Western Kentucky.....love the new addition of the Head Coach. Great performance on both sides of the ball last week. I think the knowledge that Petrino brings to this team is just outstanding. Tennessee isn't as talented as in years past. I think this line is inflated due to the "tennessee" name and popularity with the public.

San Jose....very close game last year. Stanford didn't have many games last year where they put teams away outside of Duke and an awful Colorado team last year. (see below) With them losing Stephan Taylor to the NFL i think Stanford will have a rough go week 1 trying to figure out chemistry.

2012 STANFORD CARDINAL SCHEDULE
DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT/TIME	RECORD/TICKETS
Fri, Aug 31	vs San Jose St	W 20-17	1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sept 8	vs Duke	W 50-13	2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sept 15	vs #2 USC	W 21-14	3-0 (1-0)
Thu, Sept 27	@ Washington	L 17-13	3-1 (1-1)
Sat, Oct 6	vs Arizona	W 54-48 OT	4-1 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 13	@ #7 Notre Dame	L 20-13 OT	4-2 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 20	@ California	W 21-3	5-2 (3-1)
Sat, Oct 27	vs Washington St	W 24-17	6-2 (4-1)
Sat, Nov 3	@ Colorado	W 48-0	7-2 (5-1)
Sat, Nov 10	vs #11 Oregon St	W 27-23	8-2 (6-1)
Sat, Nov 17	@ #2 Oregon	W 17-14 OT	9-2 (7-1)
Sat, Nov 24	@ #17 UCLA	W 35-17	10-2 (8-1)
Fri, Nov 30	vs #16 UCLA	W 27-24	11-2 (8-1)
ROSE BOWL GAME PRESENTED BY VIZIO
Tue, Jan 1	vs Wisconsin*	W 20-14	12-2 (8-1)

Toledo......I just love Terrance Owens in this position. It's going to be a very high scoring game. I also like the hook i got at 17.5.

Michigan.....Michigan wins by 13. Tommy Rees doesn't impress me. The kid struggles in big-time games. It took Denard Robinson to throw 4 ints for Notre Dame to win last year by a small score of 13-6. Notre Dames defense isn't as good. And neither is the offense after losing Theo Riddick to the NFL.

Below is a fairly obvious reason Michigan lost last year. You can't sustain long drives an come up with fg's.

15:00	1	02:47	MICH 25	7	32	Punt
12:01	1	02:15	MICH 10	3	-15	Field Goal Missed
07:04	1	06:13	MICH 11	12	78	Interception
12:52	2	01:45	MICH 34	3	-1	Interception
10:09	2	00:15	MICH 33	1	0	Interception
08:07	2	01:57	MICH 20	4	14	Interception
01:21	2	01:21	MICH 16	3	22	Interception
00:00	2	00:00	ND 44	0	0	End of Half
13:49	3	05:47	MICH 21	10	63	Fumble
05:50	3	07:40	MICH 42	14	42	Field Goal Good
06:46	4	03:19	MICH 30	11	56	Field Goal Good

thetrinity · 09-03-13, 10:20 PM

look at it as a 50 dollar scratch off ticket expecting it to hit is a bit foolish.

nvrlose37 · 09-03-13, 11:49 PM

I'm high on SJSU this week versus the Trees. Good luck.

suicidekings · 09-04-13, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by SamDiamond

No offense man, I hope you hit it.

But, books love parlay players.

Especially guys who play 8-teamers ATS.

Last season I did an 8 teamer every week in CFB, ATS, risking $10 to win about $1900. I hit it twice. Risking 0.1u per ticket is fine on these things, but the larger risk amounts will bleed out a bankroll fast. If Eric's normally playing $250-500 per game, I can dig it as a fun ticket. Any less than, and it's not worth doing.

GunShard · 09-04-13, 12:32 AM

The larger a parlay the larger the house edge.
I personally try to keep parlays as small as possible.

Eric22174 · 09-04-13, 04:54 AM

I typically bet between $200 and 700$ a game.

Death Valley · 09-04-13, 07:26 AM

That pays huge if you hit.Good luck.

AO1733 · 09-04-13, 04:29 PM

BOL. Like the SJSU play as well.