Transition into NCAA Week 1
Still in MLB Mode, but I started looking at the lines for NCAA tonight. I developed a system last year for football which was very successful, but it factored in home field and off/def production. I startin usin it around week 5 so I could get a better feel on the production of each team.
I am looking over the lines right now and I know ND, Ohio State, Texas, Michigan, USC, Nebraska all look to be huge public bets and I just dont' like taking those DD spreads in week 1. I always am a bit precautious in the opening weeks because weird upsets seem to happen. NFL Week 1 comes ot mind last season.
There is 1 game that I am looking at right now.
UTEP @ SDST -1.5
I really like SDST laying 1.5 here. St played somes teams like TCU tough at home last year, I remember because I had TCU and it killed me. I did find some interesting stats regarding these two teams going head to head.
UTEP is 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS vs. SDST since 1989
UTEP is 6-21-1 ATS on the road in September
since 1991.
UTEP is 4-11 ATS since 2000 in non-conference
play.
UTEP is shaping up to be a public play and at almost a pick 'em, I am leaning towards SD ST.
Its gonna take me a week or so to transition into NCAA Football, because I have been in MLB Mode for so long, but I would love to hear anyone's thought and/or comments regarding this game.
Thanks.
I am looking over the lines right now and I know ND, Ohio State, Texas, Michigan, USC, Nebraska all look to be huge public bets and I just dont' like taking those DD spreads in week 1. I always am a bit precautious in the opening weeks because weird upsets seem to happen. NFL Week 1 comes ot mind last season.
There is 1 game that I am looking at right now.
UTEP @ SDST -1.5
I really like SDST laying 1.5 here. St played somes teams like TCU tough at home last year, I remember because I had TCU and it killed me. I did find some interesting stats regarding these two teams going head to head.
UTEP is 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS vs. SDST since 1989
UTEP is 6-21-1 ATS on the road in September
since 1991.
UTEP is 4-11 ATS since 2000 in non-conference
play.
UTEP is shaping up to be a public play and at almost a pick 'em, I am leaning towards SD ST.
Its gonna take me a week or so to transition into NCAA Football, because I have been in MLB Mode for so long, but I would love to hear anyone's thought and/or comments regarding this game.
Thanks.
