$$_MisterMoney_$$ - NCAAF Bowl Games - Saturday - 12/27/08

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 01:19 PM

Updated Card

NCAAF Bowl Games
5* - Florida State -5

Other picks earlier today
5* - 7 pt. teaser UNC +10/ Over 40
3* - UNC +3

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 02:53 PM

Looking good on the UNC game. Gonna be a close one tho. The over on the Teaser has already hit. And UNC is +12 at this point.

Second bowl game of the day I like Florida State. Wisconsin is 7-5 on the season. Down the whole game to Division 2 Cal Poly in the last game of season Cal Poly's kicker missed an extra point in overtime to lose the game. Against Minnesota, Wisconsin had to have a huge fourth quarter come back. Getting two safeties against Minnesota in a span of three minutes (thats gotta be a record). Wisconsin's only chance is run, run, run. But P.J. Hill cannot carry this team against Florida State. FSU's defense is pretty fiesty and is damn good against the run. Not sure about the over/under as it is pretty much on the mark. But the money to be made is on FSU. I like Florida State all the way to -7.

NCAAF Bowl Games
5* - Florida State -5

Skanless1 · 12-27-08, 03:02 PM

Actually like Wisc here.. that last game influencing the line too much.

also really like the under in this game.. like under even more than wisky in this game.

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 03:10 PM

My lean is towards the under also and might make that a small play. If you dont mind would you tell me more about why you like Wisconsin here?

Skanless1 · 12-27-08, 03:11 PM

can't quote

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 03:16 PM

Well that doesnt really help me that much skanless1.

Skanless1 · 12-27-08, 03:26 PM

whoops... wait a sec., i just wrote my thoughts, but they're not showing up... give me one sec.

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 03:30 PM

Alright skanless. I am agreeing with your under. Had a lean on that but now I'm going to make that a play too. Keeping the play on Florida State. And also making a parlay with both. Unfortunately my parlay has FSU at -6.

NCAAF Bowl Games
5* - Florida State -5
5* - Florida State/ Wisconsin Under 52
2* - Parlay FSU -6/ U52 (2 units to win 5 units)

Skanless1 · 12-27-08, 03:33 PM

ok, so.. in a nutshell what i wrote was: i don't have any specific stats i can quote or anything "scientific" but, my thought is that this SHOULD be a fairly low-scoring game, Wisc has a fairly nice running game and pretty good def. i think wisc's last game of the year (which was ridiculous) is effecting the line a little too much.. i think fl st probably wins this game, but 7 pts is a lot to lay IMO.
i'm thinking maybe a 23-20 game or something like that.

then again, i haven't done that well this bowl season so far ex. had Hawaii and was fairly certain Centr Mich would win and cover.. we know how both those ended up.

GL whatever way you go.

looks like we both like the under though.

Skanless1 · 12-27-08, 03:36 PM

what's your thought on tonight's cal/mia game mistermoney?

i like cal, but want to make sure i'm not just betting as a homer.

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 03:52 PM

Yeah I definitely agree with the under.

Well the Cal/Miami game is very interesting. At first thought I would go with Cal. But since the line has jumped from -7 to -10 and potentially more I'm going to research this game more. Miami is going to play their second string quarterback so a lot of people are jumping on Cal. However I believe their second string is actually the better quarterback. He has thrown for more yards per attempt. Same number of touchdowns (9). And only 4 interceptions compared to their usual starters (13). Miami has suspended a few players for the game I hear so I'm going to look into who it is and how much they contribute. I'll let you know fairly soon tho.

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 04:19 PM

Thats what I'm talking about 2-0 on the day so far +8 units.

_MisterMoney_ · 12-27-08, 06:24 PM

Well here are my thoughts on the Miami/CAL game.

I think Cal definitely has an edge here. But not 11 points. Spread started at -7. People jumped on Cal when they learned Miami is starting their second string quarterback. However he is better than the first. I see this as a positive. Same number of touchdowns, 9 less INTS, better completion rate, more YPA. Nuff said. Its all up to Miami and their gameplan to stop RB Best of Cal. Cal will most likely win by 7 at the most. But if they win by 10 I still win. And Miami has a great shot to win this straight up. GL

NCAAF Bowl Games
3* - Miami +11

NCAAF Bowl Game Bets Earlier Today
5* - Florida State -5
5* - FSU/ Wisky U52
2* - Parlay FSU -6/ U52 (2 units to win 5 units)
5* - 7pt Teaser UNC +10/ Over 40 WIN
3* - UNC +3 WIN

_MisterMoney_ · 12-28-08, 07:33 PM

Not the line you will get but the ridiculous line my bookie has.

NCAAF Bowl Games
3* - Northern Illinois +4

_MisterMoney_ · 12-29-08, 02:50 PM

Will have the play for the Alamo Bowl up in a little bit.

NCAAF Bowl Games
5* - 7 pt Teaser NC State +14/ Under 64.5
3* - NC State +7
2* - Under 57.5
1* - Parlay NC State +7/ Under 57.5 (1 unit to win 2.5)

_MisterMoney_ · 12-29-08, 08:05 PM

NCAAF Bowl Games
5* - Missouri Tigers -13