Week 12 Thoughts/Leans/Plays

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Week 12 Thoughts/Leans/Plays
    Got a few games on my radar this week. Gonna go right down the list...

    Kent State +2.5 @ Bowling Green: I like Kent State here. Both teams playing great but I give the edge to the Golden Flashes. Bowling Green coming off a big win at Ohio, I think they slip up in this spot. This is a huge game in the MAC as the winner will take the East Division.

    Northwestern @ Michigan State -7: Not sure what MSU has done to deserve to be favored by so many but books have clearly made a statement. NW coming off a tough emotional loss to Michigan and now head to a rested team that should be well-prepared for the spread attack. I think it will be advantageous for MSU having played a somewhat similar style in their last game (Nebraska).

    Ole Miss +18 @ LSU: Ole Miss has fought hard this year and while they don't likely have the weapons to really put up a ton of points against LSU's defense, I think they can hang around in this game and keep it within the number.

    Texas Tech +10 @ Oklahoma State: A few weeks ago Texas Tech was 7-1 and moving on up in the standings. They have since been routed by K-State and were beaten at home by Texas. I think they can win this game outright as I just don't buy OK State as a 10 point fave in this spot.

    Ohio State @ Wisconsin -2.5: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...play-year.html


    Got my eyes on a few others and will post thoughts later.
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
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    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      Texas Tech and Kent State look good
      Comment
      • Retrospect
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-08-10
        • 602

        #4
        i think lsu will roll over olmiss. i mite tease lsu this week.
        Comment
        • Derek2408
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-02-09
          • 172

          #5
          I'm leaning Kent State and Texas Tech as well, researching more tomorrow
          Comment
          • LBDodger9
            SBR Rookie
            • 10-15-09
            • 21

            #6
            I like the Kent State pick slightly.. Bowling Green has a tough D, however their offense is spotty at best, not sure if they can score consistently enough to pull out this game.. Also agree on Northwestern and the +7. Northwestern put up some points last week on a Michigan defense that had been playing well of late, Sparty offense is way too inconsistent at this point.
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              South Florida +6.5 and ML looks good too.
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Nevermind didn't realize Daniels is done for the year.
                Comment
                • bane
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-14-12
                  • 630

                  #9
                  Northwestern is 90% ATS, so I hate to bet against 'em even with MSU off a bye. NW's single biggest & sole double digit loss was against Penn State, 11 points. I like 'em to keep it close, as they generally do. But, I'm a teaser so I've locked NW at 17 & 20.
                  Comment
                  • t-wizzle
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-18-09
                    • 38099

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bane
                    Northwestern is 90% ATS, so I hate to bet against 'em even with MSU off a bye. NW's single biggest & sole double digit loss was against Penn State, 11 points. I like 'em to keep it close, as they generally do. But, I'm a teaser so I've locked NW at 17 & 20.
                    Don't think I can get Mich State at 6.5. NW finally loses in a not so close game today.
                    Comment
                    • xraygord
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-18-09
                      • 2599

                      #11
                      Kent State line is at +3 now, still feel good about this? Should we jump on this now in case it moves back to +2.5?
                      Comment
                      • t-wizzle
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-18-09
                        • 38099

                        #12
                        I took Michigan State -7 -110 and Wisconsin -1.5 -110 for 5 units each.
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #13
                          Added 3 units to MSU.

                          Also grabbed Cincy -6.5 -110 for 3 units.
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