Laxdjock's College Picks 11/18-11/22 (29-13 ATS)

[laxdjock]

There are a bunch of great games on here for the coming week, so I am going to pick my best 4-5 bets. I may post some leans, but I am less confident about those, so YMMV.

I'll bump this thread when I finalize my picks.

[pags11]

GL this week laxdjock...

[Rixsaw]

GL laxdjock. The season is winding down. Let's make some big bucks before it's over.

[laxdjock]

ATS Play #1: Rutgers -19 (-110) v. Army @ 2 units
While I wouldn't normally give this many points when picking Rutgers, they have shown some offensive flare over the last few games, covering 5 of their last 6. Army is going to try and grind it out, but the Scarlett Knights should be able to pull away going into the 4th quarter. I'd consider Rutgers -10.5 (-110) 1H, but Rutgers hasn't shown an ability to get up early, which is why that bet is a No Play for me. While there may be some concern for a back-door cover in the 4th, I think since Rutgers is still playing to be bowl eligible, they will want to finish strong in an effort to fine tune for Louisville.

[laxdjock]

ATS #2: N.C. St. +10.5 (-110) v. N.C. @ 2 units
I've had my eye on this game since it was posted, though I wanted time to review it because I felt when it opened at +13 it seemed like far too much and I must be missing something. It dropped quickly, but seems to have settled between +10.5-11. I feel like this is still safe, though any lower and it may be a risk of a push/loss.

[laxdjock]

ATS #3: Fresno St. -3 (-105 & -110) v. San Jose St. @ 4 units
Fresno has too much offense for SJS, plain and simple. They could be up 14+ at half.

[laxdjock]

While I was wrong about being up +14 at half...at least they finished the game at that mark.

ATS #4: Boise St -6.5 (-120) v. Nevada @ 4 units
It went to -7, but I bought down....which I'd suggest doing, as sitting on 7 doesn't make sense. Both teams can throw up points, but Boise St. has been dominating their opponents on defense [7 of their 10 games they held their opponent to 10 or less pts], and Nevada can't stop anyone [30+ pts a game].

[laxdjock]

ATS #1: Rutgers -19 (-110) v. Army @ 2 units PENDING
ATS #2: N.C. St. +10.5 (-110) v. N.C. @ 2 units PENDING
ATS #3: Fresno St. -3 (-105 & -110) v. San Jose St. @ 4 units WIN
ATS #4: Boise St -6.5 (-120) v. Nevada @ 4 units PENDING

1-0 +4 units

[laxdjock]

2 replies....419 views.

[paulbutz37]

Solid

I'm with ya bro! Let's win.

[laxdjock]

So I was looking at my CFB bets and I realized that I'm 11-0 @ 2 unit games....maybe I should just bet them.

[Dougie Fresh]

GL lax, i like your plays, i will be playing some of them as well

[MickChunky]

Big on Boise and NC St. GL

[laxdjock]

GL guys!

[jackpot269]

GL this weekend laxdjock !!!

[Rixsaw]

good call on Fresno. Has I seen your pick, I would have been on too. Hit Buff and Toledo last nite. I was big on Buff and almost sh!t in my pants. Anyway, great capping bud.

[Cougar Bait]

On NC State with you. Looks like you're having a great year. Keep it up!

[laxdjock]

ATS #1: Rutgers -19 (-110) v. Army @ 2 unitsWIN
ATS #2: N.C. St. +10.5 (-110) v. N.C. @ 2 unitsWIN
ATS #3: Fresno St. -3 (-105 & -110) v. San Jose St. @ 4 units WIN
ATS #4: Boise St -6.5 (-120) v. Nevada @ 4 units PENDING

3-0 +8 units

Let's go BOISE. ST!!!!

[laxdjock]

Anyone else on these games? I'm currently cheering on Boise St. to a solid start to my betting weekend.

[The_Kid]

Nice job so far, laxdjock. I'm on Boise as well. Hope they come through for you and me

[laxdjock]

Thanks man. Are you on anything else for the evening? I'm looking at games now. TTech is begging for some $, but I'm not sure I want to pay juice for 7. I may just look at Qs or O/U.

[SportNut]

I'm on Boise and Fresno, opposite of NC St. Grats Lax!!

[laxdjock]

Hopefully we can cheer Boise St. to a blowout victory. I'm tempted by a 2H play on them, though I gotta see what is posted.

[The_Kid]

Thanks man. Are you on anything else for the evening? I'm looking at games now. TTech is begging for some $, but I'm not sure I want to pay juice for 7. I may just look at Qs or O/U.

I think I'm going to take TT. I can get +7, but I think I'll wait for the Boise State game to end first.

[laxdjock]

ATS #5: Boise St. -1.5 (-110) v. Nevada (2H) 2 units
I figure Boise St. is good for at least 17 in the second half, so that means Nevada would need at least 3 scores to cover, and their 118 yds in the 1st half isn't scaring me. I figure the starters are in until at least the start of the 4th.

GO BOISE ST!!!

[laxdjock]

ATS #6: BYU v. Utah Ov 56 (-105) 2 units
Too many good cappers picking BYU w/ the points. I like Utah, but I'll defer to people who know the teams better. I took the Ov because I think it will be a 35-28 type game.

[laxdjock]

ATS #7: AZ v. Oregon St Ov 57 (-105) 2 units
Let's go O' St!

[laxdjock]

ATS #1: Rutgers -19 (-110) v. Army @ 2 unitsWIN
ATS #2: N.C. St. +10.5 (-110) v. N.C. @ 2 unitsWIN
ATS #3: Fresno St. -3 (-105 & -110) v. San Jose St. @ 4 units WIN
ATS #4: Boise St -6.5 (-120) v. Nevada @ 4 units WIN
ATS #5: Boise St. -1.5 (-110) v. Nevada (2H) 2 units LOSS
ATS #6: BYU v. Utah Ov 56 (-105) 2 units WIN
ATS #7: AZ v. Oregon St Ov 57 (-105) 2 units LOSS
ATS #8: TTech +7 (-102) v. OU 2 units LOSS

5-3 +6 units

Not horrible, but a bad finish to my CFB weekend.

I found a mistake in how I calculated my units (I forgot to remove my parlay +/- from my ATS units). It dropped what I thought I won, but at least all of the math is correct going forward. I'm not sure if I coded my early NFL plays correctly (I labeled as prop so I can sort them out, but I'm not sure if I got all of them like that).