Dbldown's 3 category thread

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  • Dbldown11
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-06
    • 3605

    #36
    Thanks guru....looks like it was a good night for the both of us. I usually try to stay away from college bball until about the 3rd weekend. I'm sure ill fall into it this weekend though so let me know if youve got any good leans!
    Comment
    • Dbldown11
      SBR MVP
      • 08-17-06
      • 3605

      #37
      Thanks Rixsaw good luck to you this weekend as well with whatever plays you have
      Comment
      • Dbldown11
        SBR MVP
        • 08-17-06
        • 3605

        #38
        for what it's worth boys I had a dream last night that I should remove New Mexico St and Pittsburgh from my plays hahaha....gotta follow my dream.

        Just wanted to keep everyone in the loop.
        Comment
        • spongerat
          SBR MVP
          • 10-01-08
          • 2023

          #39
          yeah and i had a dream i won the lottery but you don't see me going out and buying any tickets!
          Comment
          • spongerat
            SBR MVP
            • 10-01-08
            • 2023

            #40
            who do you like tonight? everyone seems to be on C Mich but I like Ball here
            Comment
            • guru-t
              SBR MVP
              • 11-14-08
              • 2199

              #41
              I hear ya but I'm sticking with NMEXst.The PITT-CINN I feel is a nice call.To close to call in my opinion.
              Comment
              • Dbldown11
                SBR MVP
                • 08-17-06
                • 3605

                #42
                haha im fairly superstitous though spongerat........so had to do it. I'd be pretty angry with myself if I went 8-2 with my 2 losses being the two games I dreamt i'd lose.
                Comment
                • Dbldown11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-06
                  • 3605

                  #43
                  I'm not betting that game....If I had to make a choice I'd pick Ball St. though. I think the line is about right in the game personally
                  Comment
                  • guru-t
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-08
                    • 2199

                    #44
                    Just for the record so you can see how I'm doing,I'm taking NEB-3.5 ov TCU and APPY st+1 over Charlotte
                    Comment
                    • Dbldown11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-17-06
                      • 3605

                      #45
                      sounds good....I'm going out of town this weekend so I wont have a computer near me....may actually save me from betting college bball....although there is always my phone to use haha
                      Comment
                      • guru-t
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-14-08
                        • 2199

                        #46
                        Ha!HA!!!!!The phone!You'll be dialing it up!GL this weekend Dbldown
                        Comment
                        • guru-t
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-14-08
                          • 2199

                          #47
                          Dbldown.Did you notice the total on the ECU-UAB game???It's 76.5!Are you kidding me?I think that is way too high.Don't you?I gotta go under on that one!!!
                          Comment
                          • Dbldown11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-06
                            • 3605

                            #48
                            yeah...that's WAAAYYY to high. I dont play totals normally, but thats seems like an error or something haha
                            Comment
                            • Dbldown11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-17-06
                              • 3605

                              #49
                              (moved this over from another thread that i wrote it in)

                              I dont disagree...however you have to be careful and look at the teams they are playing close with.

                              Ball St. has won EVERY single game by double digits. That includes wins vs. NIU @ Indiana and vs. Navy (only games worth mentioning as the other teams all blow).

                              Central Mich. on the other hand has played a schedule just as poor as Ball St. but they havnt won a single Div. I game by more than 10 and their average margin of victory is 4.57.

                              To me that means that Ball St. is far more explosive, and much better at putting teams away which is exactly what I think they'll do here. Central Michigan is a good team, but I think you will see their offense get shut out today (like it did in the 2nd half last week) and Ball St. will not have much trouble scoring at all.

                              Ball St. is 10 for 10 with victories in double digit figures...expect that to continue tonight.

                              As a side note I told myself I wouldnt bet this game....but after looking at it more I'm going to bet Ball St. Damn weeknight college football games.
                              Comment
                              • guru-t
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-14-08
                                • 2199

                                #50
                                Thats what I thought.An error.I gotta check on that some more!!
                                Comment
                                • Cougar Bait
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-04-07
                                  • 18282

                                  #51
                                  I really like the way this thread is set-up. I hope you continue to do it and have success because I enjoy reading it. GL this week!
                                  Comment
                                  • Dbldown11
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-17-06
                                    • 3605

                                    #52
                                    yeah as long as it keeps working when I do it this way you can be sure I'll continue doing it....I'll probably carry it over to college bball as well
                                    Comment
                                    • Rixsaw
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-23-08
                                      • 4532

                                      #53
                                      Yah, I like the way you broke them down into groups to eliminate the games. I have yet to find a formula. I just look at the game I like to play and run through the stats and scenario (standing ...etc) and try to pick a winner. This method is inconsistence and can be overwhelming when I pick too many games. One thing I find effective is to balance the number of fav and the dog picks.

                                      So the last 2 night have been good. Didn't cash the over CMU but it was only 1 unit parlay vs BS for 5. I'm having a bit of problem picking Thursday winner. Do you have any thoughts?

                                      Miami have been playing very well in the last 3 games. GT on the other hand has been inconsistence. GT only quality win is against FL State and maybe BC. I'm leaning Miami and under.
                                      Comment
                                      • guru-t
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-08
                                        • 2199

                                        #54
                                        By the way dbldown.Caught a push tonight.Could've been worse of course.But 4-0 in coll Bball.Appy ST won outright + got a Nebraska cover so tonight wasn't bad!
                                        Comment
                                        • Dbldown11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-17-06
                                          • 3605

                                          #55
                                          Rixsaw-
                                          at an initial glance Miami +3.5 seems solid to me....they are trending up while georgia tech seems to be on their way down

                                          guru-t-
                                          yup push here as well i caught it at 7...shoulda waited.
                                          I'm gonna talk with you tomorrow about some CBB as I plan on breaking down some games tomorrow morning. Anything you are leaning at for tomorrow alread??
                                          Comment
                                          • guru-t
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-08
                                            • 2199

                                            #56
                                            Such a small board but yesterday was just as small.

                                            Right know I'm leaning on WASH-17.5 over Fla int
                                            USC-8 over Seton HALL
                                            RICE-3 OVER CAL-POLY S OBISBO
                                            wILL FINALIZE TOMORROW.
                                            Comment
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