Machine Choice Analysis: UW at California

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Choice Analysis: UW at California
    God knows I hate the thought of backing UW and Prince on the road. Truly I hate it. But I have to do it tonight, I don't have a choice. I literally do not have a choice.

    Jeff Tedford's job status is distracting California's players and there is drama in the locker room. Last week California played like absolute jokes, crumbling in the Special Teams, committing horrible penalties, and allowing a pitiful Utah rushing offense to gain 188 yards on the ground. California has ZERO depth at LB. They started the season being forced to use reserve LBs and now even the reserves are banged up. Cal knows that they are not going to a bowl game this year, their Coach is on the hot seat, the fans are pissed off, and they really have little to play for which is what we saw last week in Utah. Now, just six days later, do you really expect that Tedford has righted the ship? The answer is no.

    Washington is gunning for bowl eligibility and even though they've played atrocious on the road, I think they are hitting Cal at just the right moment. They won the last time they were in Berkeley (also covering ATS) and also covered ATS (and won SU) last year. Cal is 1-4 ATS at home this year.

    Of course the huge X-Factor in Washington's favor is that Cal is without their leading WR. And when I say "leading" I mean LEADING WR. He has 737 yards receiving, the next WR has only 380! This is a huge loss for Cal.

    Steve Sarkisian is 3-0 ATS vs California.

    WASHINGTON +4
  • hougigo
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-12
    • 3665

    #2
    Just saw that:
    BERKELEY — The most prolific receiver in Cal football history, Keenan Allen, may have played his last game for the Golden Bears.The Bears will be without their star junior today when they hos…

    Yea they lost 3 road games.... but look who they were against:

    LSU
    Oregon
    Arizona

    I'll take the +4, outright win doesn't look bad either.

    Allen seems to run train on them too... has 250 yards and a TD in two games... they're going to be missing him
    Comment
    • Bbfromgpt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-24-12
      • 6115

      #3
      It's the correct play if you must play it and of course we all must lol
      Comment
      • Kira
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-22-12
        • 364

        #4
        Im also leaning towards your pick.

        but I still cant pull the trigger somehow
        Comment
        • kobstopa
          SBR MVP
          • 02-21-11
          • 2965

          #5
          WASHINGTON ML 3 Unit for me
          GL to us all

          Comment
          • Dom177
            SBR MVP
            • 09-11-11
            • 1080

            #6
            Good insight machine. Always look forward to your thoughts on these weeknight games!
            Comment
            • Machine Choice
              SBR MVP
              • 12-12-08
              • 3997

              #7
              Originally posted by kobstopa
              WASHINGTON ML 3 Unit for me
              GL to us all

              Balls
              Comment
              • Coach Potato
                SBR MVP
                • 08-31-11
                • 4303

                #8
                Dom177, that guy is your avatar has a head like a phucking orange!!
                Comment
                • BlitzTheBooks
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-05-12
                  • 472

                  #9
                  Good write up. The 'model' (if you want to call it that?) I follow has me taking WSH +4..... Fukk it's hard though bc my head is screaming nooooo lol
                  Comment
                  • kobstopa
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-21-11
                    • 2965

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Machine Choice
                    Balls
                    penetrate ya
                    real sweet
                    Comment
                    • kobstopa
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-21-11
                      • 2965

                      #11
                      Originally posted by kobstopa
                      WASHINGTON ML 3 Unit for me
                      GL to us all

                      cheers
                      Comment
                      • ridims
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-15-10
                        • 3863

                        #12
                        Nice win.
                        Comment
                        • hougigo
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-01-12
                          • 3665

                          #13
                          Looks like everybody covered themselves in CoaCoa butter before the game and couldn't hold on to jack.
                          I'm glad I won the ML though
                          Comment
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