Leans for Wednesday 11/12/08

[cocknocker]

I am simply fading the public and taking the Kent State Golden Flashes moneyline +100. The public is all over Temple in this matchup 66% to 34%, yet the line went from Temple-2.5 to Temple-1. naturally I went with the moneyline for kent State to avoid paying any vigorish.


The same mindset goes for the N.Illinois/Central Michigan game. The public favors Central Michigan 62% to 38% yet the line went from CMU+3 to CMU+4, which is significant, as the line went from off of one key number (3) to the next higher one (4), meaning that the spread in all intents and purposes went from being a field goal for a push to being a touchdown (4) line. I think that N.Illinois is the play here with the reverse line movement.

[JGILL50]

agree 100% my man Good Luck

[BamaBill67]

Kent @ home is the play here. To many factors not to tke them. Kent is home, public on Temple, line has been dropping. Kent-Kent-Kent

[BookBuster]

i agree with both your plays knocker...reverse line movements are killer in sports....and im leaning with the under on both games....just checked the weather and rain n fog is in the forecast....good luck to us all

[showtime2000]

Hey Ck, any value in taking the under in this game with these trends?
-Under is 10-1 in TEM last 11 conference games.
-Under is 13-3 in TEM last 16 games overall.

Liking your plays.

[cocknocker]

showtime, i didn't put much stock into the totals on these games. I prefer the sides to the totals. I understand the trends are good...why not do a small parlay with both sides and the one total to satisfy your thirst for profiting from the knowledge you have gained. Ifit hits wonderful, if not, who cares? I suggest playing the sides straight in addition however. The reverse line movement is a kool aid worth drinking.

[CaneDawg]

took kent and cmu

[CaneDawg]

also over in the kent game teased with cmu