Year 3... Week 9 picks...only College Football... Hopefully its easier to understand.

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  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1431

    #1
    Year 3... Week 9 picks...only College Football... Hopefully its easier to understand.
    08:00 PM ArkansasState 0 LaLafayette 61.5 O
    7:30 PM Clemson 0 WakeForest 59.5 N
    8:00 PM Cincinnati 0 Louisville 54.0 N
    8:00 PM Nevada 0 AirForce 65.5 O
    12:00 PM BallState 0 Army 66.5 O
    12:00 PM NorthernIllinois 0 WesternMichigan 58.0 N
    12:00 PM Temple 0 Pitt 49.5 U
    12:00 PM Indiana 0 Illinois 58.5 N
    12:00 PM Iowa 0 Northwestern 49.5 U
    12:00 PM Texas 0 Kansas 59.0 N
    12:00 PM Kentucky 0 Missouri 48.5 U
    12:00 PM Tennessee 0 SouthCarolina 55.0 U
    12:20 PM OleMiss 0 Arkansas 63.5 N
    12:30 PM NCState 0 UNC 56.5 N
    1:00 PM Maryland 0 BostonCollege 47.0 U
    1:00 PM SouthernMiss 0 Rice 58.0 U
    2:00 PM UtahState 0 UTSA 50.5 U
    3:00 PM Colorado 0 Oregon 68.5 U
    3:00 PM BYU 0 GeorgiaTech 50.5 N
    3:00 PM UCLA 0 ArizonaState 57.5 U
    3:00 PM Memphis 0 SMU 48.5 N
    3:30 PM Navy 0 EastCarolina 50.5 U
    3:30 PM Ohio 0 MiamiOhio 60.0 O
    3:30 PM Akron 0 CMU 66.0 N
    3:30 PM EasternMichigan 0 BowlingGreen 52.0 N
    3:30 PM Purdue 0 Minnesota 51.0 N
    3:30 PM Duke 0 FloridaState 58.5 O
    3:30 PM MichiganState 0 Wisconsin 41.5 U
    3:30 PM BoiseState 0 Wyoming 52.5 U
    3:30 PM Florida 0 Georgia 48.0 N
    3:30 PM USC 0 Arizona 65.5 O
    3:30 PM KentState 0 Rutgers 44.5 U
    3:30 PM TexasTech 0 KansasState 60.0 O
    3:30 PM TCU 0 OklahomaState 0.0 O
    3:30 PM Toledo 0 Buffalo 58.0 O
    3:30 PM UAB 0 Tulane 61.0 N
    3:30 PM FresnoState 0 NewMexico 55.5 N
    3:30 PM NorthTexas 0 MTSU 57.0 U
    4:00 PM TexasState 0 SanJoseState 56.0 O
    5:00 PM Troy 0 FloridaAtlantic 54.0 N
    5:30 PM OhioState 0 PennState 50.0 N
    6:00 PM WesternKentucky 0 FloridaInt 55.0 O
    6:15 PM WashingtonState 0 Stanford 51.0 N
    7:00 PM Massachusetts 0 Vanderbilt 48.5 U
    7:00 PM Hawaii 0 ColoradoState 51.5 U
    7:00 PM Baylor 0 IowaState 71.0 N
    7:00 PM TexasAM 0 Auburn 53.0 N
    7:00 PM Syracuse 0 USF 52.5 N
    7:00 PM SouthAlabama 0 LouisianaMonroe 55.5 N
    8:00 PM UCF 0 Marshall 68.5 O
    8:00 PM LouisianaTech 0 NewMexicoState 77.0 N
    8:00 PM NotreDame 0 Oklahoma 48.5 N
    8:00 PM Michigan 0 Nebraska 57.5 N
    8:00 PM UNLV 0 SanDiegoState 56.5 O
    8:30 PM MississippiState 0 Alabama 48.0 N
    9:45 PM California 0 Utah 44.0 U
    10:15 PM OregonState 0 Washington 48.0 U
  • TR35
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-22-12
    • 176

    #2
    It sounds like to me that putting these totals in a 3 team super tease would be prudent? I have been hitting about 65% of my teases this year. It is keeping me above water. I missed the over in a tease in last nights game.

    Thoughts?
    Comment
    • usma1992
      SBR MVP
      • 08-02-11
      • 1431

      #3
      I tried adding additional 7 points to the games that were generating picks and it didn't add enough value. I raised the percentage from 58% to 62% and I need a much higher percentage than that to win...
      Comment
      • easysaid
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-18-12
        • 690

        #4
        2 Questions what does "N" mean? and what is your picks percentage (YTD)?
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1431

          #5
          N means its a Neutral Bet which really means that Vegas's overall number comes within +/- 7 points on either side of the number my system generates. Right now, I am hitting about 58% of the games that are not Neutral bets. Obviously, the O Means bet Over, U Means Bet Under, and N Means don't bet.

          Whether u use this system or not obviously is doesn't matter. What a buddy of mine found was nice is that he was going to bet the Oregon Arizona St last week on the over? I personally would have done the same. Arizona St. plays a hurry up offense and Oregon obviously posts an enormous amount of points. There is no way you could bet the under, but the system said "N". It steered my buddy away from the bet.

          For me personally, I am trying to remain completely unbiased. That is the only way you can create a system of value.

          Enjoy
          Dave
          Comment
          • usma1992
            SBR MVP
            • 08-02-11
            • 1431

            #6
            So Far 1-0... Based on Tuesday night game...
            Comment
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