Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois

[bypp]

Right now I'm seeing Northern Illinois (5-4) favored by 3.5 over Central Michigan (7-2). Although watching NIU last week against Ball St...I cant say I was impressed. What am I missing here? Why is NIU favored? Any insight appreciated.

[Dbldown11]

I'm not touching the game myself, and I think they line may be a little high....however

Central Michigan is in a possible look ahead spot

NIU is very solid at home and will be hungry to show the country they arent god aweful after last week.

Those are the two main reasons I see for them being favorites, although I'm surprised the line has been going up. I myself will not go near this one however, and will stick to just playing Temple -1

[sportsguy04]

Northern Illinois looks as if they have no offense? I dont know if Im going to play this game. If anything i would lean toward Central Michigan but probably just playing the Temple game. I learned my lesson on NIU last week.

[luffy]

Northern Illinois looks as if they have no offense? I dont know if Im going to play this game. If anything i would lean toward Central Michigan but probably just playing the Temple game. I learned my lesson on NIU last week.

Catch NIU this week and you will make some $$$ Its football, one bad week, one good week. Dont be afraid.

[nick2060]

My thoughts are that niu was in ball st. where ball st. played really good defense, i havent followed niu all year or nothing but their supposedly good defense should be better with that home crowd support and against a less potent offense. Their offense seems to be a live by the run, die by the run game who doesnt pass very much, this of course, judging off last week, but i think their defense is going to stop up big, im probably gonna buy it down to -3 for niu though cuz it seems like its going to be close

[picantel]

Here is a stupid stat for you. The last time NIU lost to cent mich at home was 1977.

[bypp]

Here is a stupid stat for you. The last time NIU lost to cent mich at home was 1977.

I wouldn't say that's a stupid stat. That's big time motivation in my opinion.

[Dbldown11]

well in my opinion I would say that none of the players on either of these teams gives a shit about what happend in 1977 or 1980 or 1990.

If it was like a big nationally televised game where the media was hyping up a stat like that, maybe it's a big time motivation, otherwise I think you're better off using statistics from these teams this year.

There were some crazy stats last week too about how often NIU beat the crap out of Ball St.

[masr]

few angles;

Home favorites are 9-4 (69%) in weeknight games featuring 2 mid majors.

N.ILL has won 8 straight in DeKalb by an avg. of 28-6
CMU has not won in DeKalb since 1977, N.Ill was decimated by injuries in LY 35-10 loss @ CMU where they committed 6 TO and still outgained CMU 521-381

Going w/ HUSKIES, hooked it down to -2.5

[Dbldown11]

you guys may very well be right, i'm not touching this game myself....

Just to point out however NIU's home wins this season have come against Eastern Michigan, Indiana St., Miami OH., and Bowling Green.

Bowling Green and Miami Oh. were very close games IMO.

Central Michigan is the class of the MAC along with Ball St. and western Michigan. I'm hoping NIU wins this one and covers, but can't bet money on it after last week

[Dbldown11]

oh and the tight road games that NIU played at Minnesota and at Tennessee are looking worse and worse every week haha

[jackpot269]

you guys may very well be right, i'm not touching this game myself....

Just to point out however NIU's home wins this season have come against Eastern Michigan, Indiana St., Miami OH., and Bowling Green.

Bowling Green and Miami Oh. were very close games IMO.

Central Michigan is the class of the MAC along with Ball St. and western Michigan. I'm hoping NIU wins this one and covers, but can't bet money on it after last week

Lost my azz on them last week !!!!!!!!!!!

[ICE-BLOOD]

tough to get a feel for cmich w/lefevour in and out of the lineup in recent weeks

[BamaBill67]

C.Mich 35-10 last year over N. Ill

[Dbldown11]

C.Mich 35-10 last year over N. Ill

And that has what to do with this game exactly???

[Dbldown11]

Oh unless you are referring to the fact that the road team in that game (NIU) was decimated by injuries and got blown out....Then you are correct the road team this year decimated with injuries (western Michigan) is the team to get blown out

[masr]

This week No. ILLINOIS covers!! CMU has injuries..and a rusty QB.. NIU wants payback from LY
and also get me some of my $$ back from last week

[Alry45]

NORTHERN ILL (-3.5) 32 Central Mich 19
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-12 - Stats Matchup
Central Michigan, at 7-2, has a better record than 5-4 Northern Illinois, but the Huskies are clearly the better team and are in a good situation to bounce back from last week’s 14-45 beating at unbeaten Ball State. Central Michigan is a pretty good offensive team by MAC standards, as the Chippewas have averaged 5.7 yards per play against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow 5.7 yppl to an average team, but Northern Illinois is just as good defensively – allowing 5.4 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team. The difference in this game is when the Huskies have the ball. Northern Illinois is 0.2 yppl worse than average for the season (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team), and 0.1 yppl worse than average with Chandler Harnish at quarterback, but Central Michigan is a horrendous 1.0 yppl worse than average defensively – allowing 6.3 yppl to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average defensie team. The Chippewas can’t stop the run (5.2 yprp allowed) or the pass (7.2 yppp allowed), so Northern Illinois should be able to sustain plenty of scoring drives while their defense limits Dan LeFevour and company. My math model favors Northern Illinois by 9 ½ points in this game and the Huskies apply to a very good 89-34-1 ATS blowout bounce-back situation that is based on last week’s humiliating loss. I’ll take Northern Illinois in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (at -115 or better odds) and for 2-Stars up to -6 points.
FROM DR. BOB

[frostno98]

I like NIU here too! College teams just plays better at home, and NIU isn't that bad to begin with.

[bypp]

Well I think I'm gonna go for a small play on Temple (-1) and NIU (-4). Hopefully NIU makes up for last week's poor performance

[MSUSpartan32]

1 unit plays tonight:

1. Temple -1

2. CMU +4

CBB

1. Northeastern +6

[spongerat]

anyone liking the over here?

[diehardfan]

Does anyone know if the Central Michigan QB, Dan LaFevour, is going to play? He is listed as questionable which may be the reason for the line.

Anybody know if he is going to play?

[tbond10]

CMU +4 (-115) 1 unit
Temple Pickem (-105) 1 unit

[tbond10]

Damn Temple JUST went to +1 after I bet it pickem.... I don't like the best enough to put more on the +1

[tbond10]

**** it. I'll put another unit on the +1 and 1 unit on the CMU ML to justify the extra unit on temple lol

[laxdjock]

Sitting at 4 and 51, not sure if either of those are playable.

[SlicWilly3]

I'm taking both home teams...Got them at Kent pk and N. Ill -4
Small play on each though

[Galaxy9]

I took Kent at +1 and CMU/Northern Illinois over at 50

[laxdjock]

Kent pk parlayed w. C. Michigan +4. 1 to win 2.64 units.

[laxdjock]

I'm not wild about about them playing in N.Ill.....but I'm hoping their QB can step up and keep it close.

[laxdjock]

Btw...purely a gut call parlay....so YMMV....a lot.

I was looking at the over, but it climbed to 52, and with the rain and whatnot....I wasn't feeling it.