HELP! Can someone talk me off the ledge for Week 7 ?

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  • CBASS
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-10
    • 2613

    #1
    HELP! Can someone talk me off the ledge for Week 7 ?
    Considering these 6 plays:


    Purdue -1

    Minnesota +3

    Vandy +7.5

    Iowa St. +6.5

    LSU -2.5

    Texas Tech +4.5



    I've had a horrid year thus far and no longer trust my own instincts... If anyone has any feedback on these, it would be much appreciated.
  • CBASS
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-10
    • 2613

    #2
    Could use a little help here....thanks.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      i like isu but i try and be careful with k-st as i am a klien hater.......did bet them against the u but that was more bout fading the U....
      Comment
      • smack3179
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-18-09
        • 317

        #4
        I think Purdue looses by 7-10 points and i dont really like the Iowa State points either. The rest look to be ok!!
        Comment
        • Mac4Lyfe
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-04-09
          • 48384

          #5
          UF owns UK, UT and Vandy. It doesn't matter what year it is, they beat the shit out of those teams. If you still want to take Vandy, wait while the line goes up but UF is the play here. They should win by 14+.
          Comment
          • paranoyd androyd
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-01-11
            • 6459

            #6
            with you on purdue -1 and iowa state +7
            Comment
            • Night-Tripper
              SBR MVP
              • 12-14-09
              • 3205

              #7
              I like everything except the Golden Gophers... ain't touchin' that game.
              Comment
              • HypoHandi
                Restricted User
                • 10-08-12
                • 14

                #8
                ISU lost by 11 to Tech at home. K State is my top pick this week. Minnesota stinks. Purdue might win but I wouldn't bet it. Vandy and Florida is pure hope. LSU and S Carolina is highly risky. West Virginia may beat Tech by a lot. I'd say take the week off. I hate all of them.
                Comment
                • CBASS
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-10
                  • 2613

                  #9
                  I appreciate your thoughts everyone. Thank you much.
                  Comment
                  • Renegades
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-11
                    • 5290

                    #10
                    I love Purdue this week.
                    Comment
                    • curtrambus
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-12
                      • 1118

                      #11
                      Huge Badger homer here...that PU game could go either way. If this were two weeks ago Purdue would be a lock but now the oline is improving for UW and so is there playcalling...Matt Canada seems to want to keep his OC job and is starting to call like it. Purdue's defense is horrid and the Badgers has been pretty solid all year. The Badgers are the better team but being on the road kinda equals it out the game is a no play either way.
                      Comment
                      • curtrambus
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-12
                        • 1118

                        #12
                        And the game is basically for who will be the Leaders division rep this year based upon OSU and PSU being ineligable it's just a huge game in general and PU's stadium should be rocking I believe that's why it's a pick game because UW is better but they aren't good on the road usually.
                        Comment
                        • Renegades
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-12-11
                          • 5290

                          #13
                          that line got steamed today to Purdue -2.5 anything newsworthy come out? 2.5 pts in a day is quite a bit.
                          Comment
                          • curtrambus
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-13-12
                            • 1118

                            #14
                            Basically people not realizing the Badgers have been improving every week on the oline sense that bum Markuson left.
                            Comment
                            • hurricane1091
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-01-12
                              • 713

                              #15
                              I can't see betting against Florida.
                              Comment
                              • Pivotpoint
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-02-06
                                • 1762

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CBASS
                                Considering these 6 plays:


                                Purdue -1

                                Minnesota +3

                                Vandy +7.5

                                Iowa St. +6.5

                                LSU -2.5

                                Texas Tech +4.5



                                I've had a horrid year thus far and no longer trust my own instincts... If anyone has any feedback on these, it would be much appreciated.
                                I've been doing well, but gambling goes in streaks. Risking the kiss of death, but hope to avoid bad karma by simpling responding to a request for help.

                                Purdue - 1 , don't see an edge, think Wisky is the better team.

                                Minny + 3 , Dog usually the play, but Northwestern can run the ball and plays good run defense. No interest or play for me.

                                Vandy + 7 1/2 This line is going up. Wait if you want Vandy. Seems like a sucker play to take the Gators, but damn that Gator defense was awesome against LSU. Everyone saw it, South Carolina on Deck, yada, yada. I might put a little on the Gators. Lay it if you play it

                                Iowa St + 6 1/2 (ML + 225 ) Initially this game jumped out at me. Cyclones are beast at home getting points. I almost put 1x on Iowa St and 1x on Iowa St money line + 225. Something made we hold back . Maybe it's that spread run that Kansas St has been on of 12-4 ?Not sure if I want to step in front of that. Need to do some more thinking about that game.

                                LSU - 2.5 Aware the Cocks will walk into a gladiator pit under the lights with a wounded tiger, but these Cocks can play Defense and more importantly SCORE PTS. Really impressed with QB Shaw. Not impressed with Tiger O. 2X intitial play on South Carolina + 2 1/2. Will add again at + 3.

                                Texas Tech + 4 1/2 I'm back and forth on this game. My gut says take that Texas Tech Defense because that mountaineer defense should be ashamed of their play. Then again, it seems almost crazy to bet against Smith. I really like that he doesn't throw the ticket killer interception. On the fence here.

                                Notre Dame + 7 1/2 Here I go risking bad karma , but I love this play. Most of my plays focus on teams with good defense. Really love to watch that Irish Defense. I had this game at Irish - 11 and jumped right away at this # Stanford Defense might make that Irish Offense look like a contender. Irish Defense will make Cards look like pretenders.

                                No Irish homer here, and don't care for Kelly. As you might have guessed, many of my plays lean towards strong defense. Nothing worse than laying points with shit defenses.

                                Two Plays for me. Good luck with your picks.

                                South Carolina + 2 1/2 (2x) will add at least 1x +3 if it shows. Not fond of paying extra juice now

                                Notre Dame - 7 1/2 (3x)
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #17
                                  I really think LSU is a bad call here. I think that Auburn game really spoke volumes about the team and my opinion was confirmed this weekend by the Florida game. South Carolina floundered with that alcoholic turd Garcia playing QB, but Connor Shaw has his legs under him this season, Lattimore is back to near 100%, and South Carolina is legit. The Gamecocks just watched the Gators beat LSU and know full well that they need to do the same here.

                                  Tougher spot than Florida had, with the game being in Death Valley, but LSU also got banged up last week by an extremely physical Gators team. SC plays a very physical game as well and I just think LSU won't be able to withstand another 60 minutes and actually walk out with the win.

                                  SC is thinking National Title right now, and they're in their toughest stretch of games, with their next 2 weeks likely deciding their season. They're healthy, they're motivated, they've stomped on everyone they've faced so far, and they shouldn't be taken lightly.

                                  I played SC at +3 when it opened as one of the largest plays I've made this season, and feel really good about them here.
                                  Comment
                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-12
                                    • 17378

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                    I really think LSU is a bad call here. I think that Auburn game really spoke volumes about the team and my opinion was confirmed this weekend by the Florida game. South Carolina floundered with that alcoholic turd Garcia playing QB, but Connor Shaw has his legs under him this season, Lattimore is back to near 100%, and South Carolina is legit. The Gamecocks just watched the Gators beat LSU and know full well that they need to do the same here.

                                    Tougher spot than Florida had, with the game being in Death Valley, but LSU also got banged up last week by an extremely physical Gators team. SC plays a very physical game as well and I just think LSU won't be able to withstand another 60 minutes and actually walk out with the win.

                                    SC is thinking National Title right now, and they're in their toughest stretch of games, with their next 2 weeks likely deciding their season. They're healthy, they're motivated, they've stomped on everyone they've faced so far, and they shouldn't be taken lightly.

                                    I played SC at +3 when it opened as one of the largest plays I've made this season, and feel really good about them here.
                                    Feels good when you see someone else with the same mindset on a topic as yourself...good call
                                    Comment
                                    • CBASS
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-10
                                      • 2613

                                      #19
                                      Thanks again for the feedback guys.
                                      I've decided to play LSU and Texas Tech for now. Still looking into the others (a lot of good points were made)...
                                      Kind of hard to go with So. Caro. when LSU has lost only 1 night game at home in the last 8 years. Also, Texas Tech is not ranked and is playing against the #5 ranked team in the nation (line is too low to back WV....SCARY low....VEGAS BAIT low..).
                                      Comment
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