CFB - Week 6

Big Bear · 10-02-12, 10:43 AM

whaaaat?????? Akron????

fitguy67 · 10-02-12, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

whaaaat?????? Akron????

Can you elucidate your concerns?

"whaaat??????" does not a contribution make

HoulihansTX · 10-02-12, 12:03 PM

Dear God Akron is good @ losing. After the way they blew the cover last week betting them, expecting positive results, hints @arrogance.

Blackroc78 · 10-02-12, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

whaaaat?????? Akron????

there playing Bowling Green! There both shit

LT Profits · 10-02-12, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

whaaaat?????? Akron????

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Dear God Akron is good @ losing. After the way they blew the cover last week betting them, expecting positive results, hints @arrogance.

Tough crowd!

redrum · 10-02-12, 11:14 PM

i like the over in the n.ill game

LT Profits · 10-03-12, 05:39 AM

1 Saturday Add

SATURDAY, 10/6
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)

LT Profits · 10-03-12, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by redrum

i like the over in the n.ill game

Ironically I am about to add the opposite

LT Profits · 10-03-12, 08:56 PM

3 Saturday Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 10/6
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
Northern Illinois / Ball State UNDER 67.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

ZINISTER · 10-03-12, 09:48 PM

Akron is my Hometown!

They can finally put up points with Bowden Ball. They always get it shoved right back down there throats when the opposing team gets the ball back. The QB is accurate the RB has good vision, power and speed. This is an OVER play if there ever was one! Peace

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 07:11 AM

THURSDAY Addition

THURSDAY, 10/4
Arkansas State / Florida Int’l UNDER 58.5 -110 (DSI)

SATURDAY, 10/6
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
Northern Illinois / Ball State UNDER 67.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 11:44 AM

2 More Saturday Plays

THURSDAY, 10/4
Arkansas State / Florida Int’l UNDER 58.5 -110 (DSI)

SATURDAY, 10/6
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Arkansas +8.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
Northern Illinois / Ball State UNDER 67.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Memphis +7.5 -110 (Rebate Wager)

Seto · 10-04-12, 11:57 AM

how did u get memphis at +7.5 10 mins ago? everywhere i look it's +5.5

leetreaper · 10-04-12, 12:21 PM

"Arkon" sucks, haven't you learn that throughout the years...?

leetreaper · 10-04-12, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by Seto

how did u get memphis at +7.5 10 mins ago? everywhere i look it's +5.5

Its called an LT line dude....

Seto · 10-04-12, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Its called an LT line dude....

i know he frequently beats closers which is why he's a great capper. but 2 full points in 10 minutes? unless rebate wager were way off on their line, maybe

leetreaper · 10-04-12, 12:40 PM

I know rebate is offering a half point for "loyal customers" but thats it prolly...

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 01:45 PM

Originally posted by Seto

how did u get memphis at +7.5 10 mins ago? everywhere i look it's +5.5

I list the book, what more do you want?

RW had 7.5 when rest of world had 6.5.

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by Seto

how did u get memphis at +7.5 10 mins ago? everywhere i look it's +5.5

Pinny went from 6.5 to 6 at 12:50 ET, and then to 5.5 at 12:51, in between my post time and yours. By the way, RW caught up to the market and is currently 5.5.

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

I know rebate is offering a half point for "loyal customers" but thats it prolly...

Don't know anything about this, but then again they may not like me very much.

Seto · 10-04-12, 02:03 PM

ok no problem. was just surprised that Pinny was 2pts off the number you got in like 10 mins

if i wanted to get 7.5 at that time i was gonna have to pay -157 and that's not gonna happen

good luck.

leetreaper · 10-04-12, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Don't know anything about this, but then again they may not like me very much.

Don't be an ass man, i know you are legit, but the the guy had a serious ?...

LT Profits · 10-04-12, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Don't be an ass man, i know you are legit, but the the guy had a serious ?...

How am i being an ass? I was just making light of the fact that I am up on them so don't get any perks. I addressed his question in posts 19-20. RW held the 7.5 too long and the line loved from 6.5 to 5.5 at other books (and from 7.5 to 5.5 at RW) in between the time I posted and the time he asked. There are no shenanigans here.

statnerds · 10-04-12, 06:39 PM

here is how much i trust you LT. blindly played this Under, got it 57.5

turn the game on and hear that FIU gives up 39 pts/gm

holy shit

you are either a genius or completely insane

winning = genius

looking for a solid bounce back week

GL LT

fitguy67 · 10-04-12, 09:39 PM

Originally posted by statnerds

here is how much i trust you LT. blindly played this Under, got it 57.5

turn the game on and hear that FIU gives up 39 pts/gm

holy shit

you are either a genius or completely insane

winning = genius

looking for a solid bounce back week

GL LT

a lot of the turds that surface around here AFTER some "obviously" losing play loses just don't "get" value...

a sharp play often isn't likely to win...it's just less likely to lose than the odds imply...so a consistent string of what are stupid plays (the one's u just "expect" to lose...but your/someone you trust's analysis says there's value there...so you plug your nose and place the bet)...become--on balance, and over the long haul--a money-churner...

the "sharpness" doesn't show up tonight with the play's positive or negative result...it is exhibited in the patience and discipline to continue confidently putting on the well-capped +eV plays, unfazed by last night/last week's results...being sharp enough to let statistics and probability to do their thing

btw...if you have any lucky charms...go get 'em cuz we're at 54 points with just under 5 minutes to go...Defence...Defence

PolishSensation · 10-04-12, 09:40 PM

Memphis playable at +6 (-110) ?

fitguy67 · 10-04-12, 09:49 PM

now under 3 minutes...and we'll need more than a field goal to hurt us on this "stupid" play

____________

...aaaahhh...in the immortal words of Forest Gump..."stupid is as stupid does"

LT Profits · 10-05-12, 07:13 AM

6 Saturday Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 10/6
Indiana +14 -108 (Heritage)
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Arkansas +8.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
Northern Illinois / Ball State UNDER 67.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Memphis +7.5 -110 (Rebate Wager)

YTD: 26-26, -0.70

zola · 10-05-12, 07:43 AM

Careful with Arkansas. John L Smiths debt was increased to 40+ Million from 20 this week. He's not focused. Distraction. Team isn't either.

LT Profits · 10-05-12, 08:58 PM

9 Saturday Plays

SATURDAY, 10/6
Indiana +14 -108 (Heritage)
Connecticut +7.5 -108 (Heritage)
Arkansas +8.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
Northern Illinois / Ball State UNDER 67.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Georgia Tech / Clemson UNDER 73 -107 (5 Dimes)
West Virginia / Texas UNDER 73.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Memphis +7.5 -110 (Rebate Wager)
Washington / Oregon UNDER 63 -107 (5 Dimes)

CBASS · 10-06-12, 05:23 AM

Gl this weekend LT

gshock1 · 10-06-12, 05:57 AM

Love the IU play. I have a little on the ML too.

jds07v · 10-06-12, 07:35 AM

Good luck LT get back in the positive this week

KidSeoul · 10-06-12, 08:04 AM

From the looks of it, the sun will shine on the dogs ass this saturday! GL bro!