CFB - Week 5

ThePancreas · 09-25-12, 08:07 AM

Lovin' Minnesota. Take some of that ML too.

naslax13 · 09-25-12, 09:20 AM

you deserve to lose betting tulane

naslax13 · 09-25-12, 09:21 AM

cover or not ur gonna wanna pull ur hair out watching them play

csknight3 · 09-25-12, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by naslax13

you deserve to lose betting tulane

While I agree Tulane is hard to watch, I have a gut feeling Tulane will cover this week. Only because Monroe has gotten so much hype (not that it isn't well deserved). Don't get me wrong I have been pulling for Monroe and they are fun team to watch. Every underdog story is, but I think the oddsmakers know what they are doing with this one. Monroe looks too good so it probably is too good. I could see Monroe win this one by 17 giving the cover to Tulane. Not only that but LT Profits usually knows whats up.

Im staying away from this one, but best of luck LT.

LT Profits · 09-25-12, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by naslax13

cover or not ur gonna wanna pull ur hair out watching them play

People were saying the same thing when I took Colorado State last week, who covered vs. Utah State. I just think Monroe is very overvalued right now. This line should be closer to 15 on the road.

HatersGonnaHate · 09-25-12, 01:11 PM

LT i am normally all over your picks but the tulane pick has me worried. I think monroe is at about even with mississipp in skill and they worked tulane. This may be a no play for me

naslax13 · 09-25-12, 11:52 PM

its not about monroe being over valued. its about the team u are betting ON. i went to school there. 100 ppl show up to games ad they get routed by decent competition. they won 2 gms last yr. theyr an awful organization hard to put cash on that type of squad regardless of an inflated line

Blackroc78 · 09-26-12, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by naslax13

its not about monroe being over valued. its about the team u are betting ON. i went to school there. 100 ppl show up to games ad they get routed by decent competition. they won 2 gms last yr. theyr an awful organization hard to put cash on that type of squad regardless of an inflated line

so quit your whining and don't bet on them.

HatersGonnaHate · 09-26-12, 02:30 AM

naslax your a complete dumbass. Obviously you didnt watch there last three games where they competed with 3 upper level school. They didnt look like an awful organization there.

rainmaker82 · 09-26-12, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by HatersGonnaHate

naslax your a complete dumbass. Obviously you didnt watch there last three games where they competed with 3 upper level school. They didnt look like an awful organization there.

He's talking about Tulane.

LT Profits · 09-26-12, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by naslax13

its not about monroe being over valued. its about the team u are betting ON. i went to school there. 100 ppl show up to games ad they get routed by decent competition. they won 2 gms last yr. theyr an awful organization hard to put cash on that type of squad regardless of an inflated line

Value is EVERYTHING in betting and a lot of times, the worst teams offer the best value.

Urbanwildlife · 09-26-12, 08:23 AM

I thought he was also referring to ULM so if this is the case, do not feel alone HatersGonnaHate.

LT Profits · 09-26-12, 11:16 AM

2 Saturday Additions

SATURDAY, 9/29
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)

jds07v · 09-26-12, 11:45 AM

Keep up the good work LT

LT Profits · 09-26-12, 01:15 PM

1 More Saturday Addition

SATURDAY, 9/29
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)
Colorado +19.5 110 (5 Dimes)

naslax13 · 09-26-12, 02:45 PM

just trying to rile up a discussion here on the game.. relax fellas. good luck betting on a squad who will play its 3rd string qb. cheers.

Mr Handicapable · 09-26-12, 03:47 PM

Indiana Grad here...don't get the line movement and unfortunately I watch every IU game. Everyone in Indy that I know cashed Ball State +3 and we always give up 35 or more to Northwestern. Indiana does have some offensive firepower but the D is slow w/no pass rush and can't get off the field plus you're counting on a QB in his 2nd game to keep pace. I'm on Over 58.5......Northwestern 44-27

fitguy67 · 09-26-12, 05:10 PM

I for one appreciate counter-play posts as long as they come (as they do here) BEFORE the game and attempt to introduce at least one element that might influence that elusive perceived "probability of winning"--that must ultimately be compared to the figure implied in the book odds to decide if the bet is "worth" taking

redrum · 09-26-12, 06:50 PM

love the minny play

Vinnie Paz · 09-26-12, 09:16 PM

Glad to see you on gophers although 7.5 is out there now...

On opposite of indiana

good luck either way pal!

Urbanwildlife · 09-26-12, 09:18 PM

Vinnie, we are going to be taking the long leisurely stroll to the pay window!

face · 09-26-12, 10:44 PM

i think naslax is right to warn people about tulane. GL on the play though LT

LT Profits · 09-27-12, 01:06 AM

6 Saturday Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 9/29
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Boston College +9 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)
Colorado +19.5 -110 (5 Dimes)

Chavs · 09-27-12, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

SATURDAY, 9/29
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Boston College +9 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)
Colorado +19.5 -110 (5 Dimes)

That's odd, where are all the favorites you like to bet?

LT, Is BC still a play at +7?

LT Profits · 09-27-12, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by Chavs

That's odd, where are all the favorites you like to bet?

LT, Is BC still a play at +7?

I know right?

As for BC, I'd say NO. At the very least, see if you can get +7.5 at -120. If not, just pass on it.

LT Profits · 09-28-12, 11:35 PM

8 CFB Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 9/29
Buffalo / Connecticut OVER 43.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Boston College +9 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)
Colorado +19.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Louisville / Southern Miss UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

More plays in the AM, will be approximately 12 plays in all

bane · 09-28-12, 11:53 PM

I'm on Minnesota & Akron as well. GL on your card. Will be interested to see the additions.

redrum · 09-29-12, 06:13 AM

l-ville can put up 49 by themselfs

JR007 · 09-29-12, 09:33 AM

good luck

LT Profits · 09-29-12, 10:03 AM

CFB 12-Pack

Originally posted by LT Profits

SATURDAY, 9/29
Buffalo / Connecticut OVER 43.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Minnesota +7 -124 (Heritage)
Indiana +11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Akron +4 -108 (Heritage)
Boston College +9 -108 (Heritage)
Tulane +18 -108 (Heritage)
Colorado +19.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Louisville / Southern Miss UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

More plays in the AM, will be approximately 12 plays in all

Adding:

Nevada / Texas State UNDER 64.5 -110 (Heritage)
Marshall / Purdue UNDER 61.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Cincinnati / Virginia Tech OVER 46.5 -108 (5 Dimes)
Clemson / Boston College UNDER 59.5 -105 (5 Dimes)

CFB Card Complete

Mr Handicapable · 09-29-12, 12:57 PM

Indiana in football.....yeahhhhh. Unfortunately I'm going to lose too unless NW beats them 59-0

LT Profits · 09-29-12, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by Mr Handicapable

Indiana in football.....yeahhhhh. Unfortunately I'm going to lose too unless NW beats them 59-0

Indiana will be covering in a minute

JohnnyBrooklyn · 09-29-12, 01:48 PM

Tulane!! Tulane?????!! WTF,

U R JUS STUPID!!

Mr Handicapable · 09-29-12, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Indiana will be covering in a minute

Unbelievable....shutout at half and suddenly 29 pts with 14 min left in the 4th. Another easy over winner!!