Home Underdogs

[utmoody10]

Seeing alot of short home underdogs this week. Below are the games where the home team is a TD or less dog:

Stanford @ Washington (+7)
Miami (OH) @ Akron (+6)
San Jose St @ Navy (+3)
Houston @ Rice (+5)
La Tech @ UVA (+2.5)
N Texas @ FAU (+6.5)
Texas Tech @ Iowa St (+3)
W Kentucky @ Arkansas St (+2.5)
Texas @ Oklahoma St (+2.5)

Any input on some of these games? Was curious to know anyone with experience betting short home dogs. My philosophy has always been that defense and a running game usually travel well. This works in the favor of Texas and Western Kentucky but both will surely be tested defensively vs some fast pace offenses. Any thoughts on these games would be appreciated.

[utmoody10]

Few other thoughts on some of these games

San Jose will be leaving the west coast for the first time to play against Navy in Annapolis. They took Stanford to the wire on the road but west coast teams that have to travel cross country for a day/afternoon game always concerns me. Especially in the case of San Jose State where they historically have not had much success.

Texas Tech ranks #1 in total defense, no joke. Granted this is been against Northwestern St, Texas St & New Mexico but if at any point the Red Raiders can slow some people down defensively it helps tremendously given their ability to rack up points. Iowa State has upset Tech the past two seasons.

Akron will be looking for to win its first MAC conference game since 2010 against Miami Ohio. More interested in this games total as these are two teams that will be throwing the ball a ton meaning alot of plays/alot of points. Miami Ohio is 0-4 ATS this season.

W Kentucky has began their slow climb from the bottom of the FBS barrell to being a respectable program in a short period of time. A team that is gritty and plays physical. Fresh off wins against So. Miss and Kentucky, the Hilltoppers are feeling good about themselves. Gus Malzahn has Arkansas State gaining over 500 yards per game on offense but have struggled defensively and on special teams. Past 3 matchups have been decided by an average of 3 points. Coincidence that the line is 2.5?