I might take the Baylor Bears on the ML tonight, not sure as of yet. I saw both of ULM's games this morning and I'm convinced that they are not a very good team. Their dual threat qb may pose some problems for Baylor's defense and all the risks ULM's coach takes might hurt them in this game if they don't convert especially with their special teams issues. Baylor's defense is fast and athletic but vulnerable to choking in the secondary and allowing big plays. With that being said I like Balyor's starting QB Nick Florence, I believe their offense is pounding on all cylinders once again this year. If anything, this will either be a complete rout for Baylor if they start out fast or it may be a back and forth shootout, if that's the case I still like my chances with Baylor. I'm about to watch the Baylor games again, if I feel comfortable I'll probably unload on them for sure later on. I actually think because of the close games ULM had against two SEC teams on the road that they are being hyped, hence we get a better value on Baylor. Auburn is a team that have a lot of issues on both sides of the ball and their defense is not what people believe it to be, they had a hard time adjusting to Kolton Browning's big play capabilities in the fourth quarter and allowed big time 4th down conversions which ultimately led to two touchdowns forcing the game into overtime. Arkansas had solid control over ULM a couple weeks ago, but when Tyler Wilson went down the team collapsed as a whole. Arkansas lost that game themselves, I didn't really see anything exemplary from ULM that makes me believe they'll be able to keep pace against Baylor tonight. Arthur Briles has plenty of video to figure out the strengths and weaknesses on the ULM side and I believe he is the better coach tonight as well which plays a huge factor in my decision making. I would also like to add that the veteran defensive coordinator for Baylor, Phil Bennet, will do a great job with the personnel he has available to him in making things difficult for Kolton Browning.
Leaning on Baylor ML
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CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#1Leaning on Baylor MLTags: None -
eatdarichSBR High Roller
- 08-21-12
- 173
#2Well written......I jumped on baylor at -7 yesterday....might take baylor -14 1/2 +220 on the alter. spread.....thoughts?Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#3Comment -
eatdarichSBR High Roller
- 08-21-12
- 173
#4Thanks, I just pulled the plug and went small on the reverse line.
BOL and I enjoy your threads/comments!!!Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#5Thanks! GL to you wager tonight. I just saw the ML and spread get steamed by a few well respected sports investors so I decided to pull the trigger to win 1K on the ML -340. I had to get it online, all the books here have them at -375 or higher. Might take them for more in a few hours, we'll see how the lines continue to shift. Lets get this!Comment -
TallAzCroweSBR Sharp
- 05-02-09
- 299
#6Just jumped to -9.5 on my local, -360ML, got in at -7 couple hrs ago. Hope to see some $ in my acct after work. Lets cash in on that!!!Comment -
diehardfanSBR High Roller
- 09-01-08
- 228
#8People seem to be loading on ULM now. My book has gone from Baylor -9.5 to -8.5.
ULM has played the tougher teams and are playing with confidence. It's the biggest home game for ULM in decades. I do believe Baylor is the better team, but I wouldn't be surprised to see ULM cover. I like the Baylor ML though.Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#9Yea I'm not touching the spread simply because Baylor's D is unreliable especially if they can't contain Browning so the ML is definitely a smarter play. BOLComment -
jbart28SBR MVP
- 04-16-11
- 3387
#10Sprinkling a little on Baylor ML. BOL everyoneComment -
nic9212SBR MVP
- 03-19-12
- 1536
#11On Baylor ML BOLComment -
diehardfanSBR High Roller
- 09-01-08
- 228
#12BOLComment -
ReslerSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1417
#13Great quality write up!!!
I might take the Baylor Bears on the ML tonight, not sure as of yet. I saw both of ULM's games this morning and I'm convinced that they are not a very good team. Their dual threat qb may pose some problems for Baylor's defense and all the risks ULM's coach takes might hurt them in this game if they don't convert especially with their special teams issues. Baylor's defense is fast and athletic but vulnerable to choking in the secondary and allowing big plays. With that being said I like Balyor's starting QB Nick Florence, I believe their offense is pounding on all cylinders once again this year. If anything, this will either be a complete rout for Baylor if they start out fast or it may be a back and forth shootout, if that's the case I still like my chances with Baylor. I'm about to watch the Baylor games again, if I feel comfortable I'll probably unload on them for sure later on. I actually think because of the close games ULM had against two SEC teams on the road that they are being hyped, hence we get a better value on Baylor. Auburn is a team that have a lot of issues on both sides of the ball and their defense is not what people believe it to be, they had a hard time adjusting to Kolton Browning's big play capabilities in the fourth quarter and allowed big time 4th down conversions which ultimately led to two touchdowns forcing the game into overtime. Arkansas had solid control over ULM a couple weeks ago, but when Tyler Wilson went down the team collapsed as a whole. Arkansas lost that game themselves, I didn't really see anything exemplary from ULM that makes me believe they'll be able to keep pace against Baylor tonight. Arthur Briles has plenty of video to figure out the strengths and weaknesses on the ULM side and I believe he is the better coach tonight as well which plays a huge factor in my decision making. I would also like to add that the veteran defensive coordinator for Baylor, Phil Bennet, will do a great job with the personnel he has available to him in making things difficult for Kolton Browning.Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#14Took Baylor for another 5k! Lets get thisComment -
playr101SBR MVP
- 01-16-10
- 2029
#15GL ... on it as well..
-playr101Comment -
ReslerSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1417
#16WTF is this bull shit offense QB hand off throw the ball.Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#172 turnovers= 2 TD's not good so far, but this one is far from overComment -
ReslerSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1417
#18Yeah, going to be a shootout I think.Comment -
ReslerSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1417
#20Baylor really struggles making simple tackles. They don't wrap anyone up.Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#21Looks good now...Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#22It's a flat out shootout, even when they were down this game can swing either way. The turnovers will dictate who will win imo! Baylor are definitely more talented on the offensive side of the ball so lets hope they continue scoring everytime they have possession.Comment -
sneakerheadSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-14-10
- 7727
#23Capper, you think things will slow down second half?Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#26ULM are in some serious trouble if they continue to play the man coverage their corners are jut not good enough to keep up with the WR's of Baylor. As long as we don't turn it over we should be just fineComment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#27Why would they not go for 4th down? That punt might come back to haunt themComment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#28A FG does us zero good in this game, terrible redzone possession by BaylorComment -
PhilmillSBR MVP
- 09-30-11
- 4275
#29Bought this game down to -6............. Baylors D has to make some stops...!Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
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CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#32#3 has dropped too many passes tonightComment -
nic9212SBR MVP
- 03-19-12
- 1536
#3340-35 game is a nail bitterComment -
ReslerSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1417
#34Yeah, I don't see how they give up first down on every 3rd and long. That guy was wide open for a 41 yard pick up. FUMBLE FUMBLE woohoo.Comment -
CapperGuySBR Sharp
- 03-05-11
- 492
#35Need Baylor to put the chokehold now and finish them off!Comment
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