CFB - Week 4

AdamL2424 · 09-18-12, 01:51 PM

Wow Colorado St is horrible.... Taking a big chance just hoping they will put any point on the board. Utah St has looked pretty decent so far

Maddhatter · 09-18-12, 01:57 PM

Good let-down spot for Utah St here is what I'm thinking also. Played a tough game vs in-state rival Utah that they won in OT. Next game they head to Wisconsin and play them tough. Losing by a missed FG. Colorado St will be the 2nd road game in a row against a team that is known to be struggling w/ a line that started at 14 and dropped down to 13 in some shops. Haven't looked more in-depth but a good pick IMO. BOL LT!

AdamL2424 · 09-19-12, 03:07 AM

Let down spot? Why just hope for a let down and not use the info we have right now on both teams?

Maddhatter · 09-19-12, 04:57 AM

Somehow I see a 24-13 type of game with both sides having trouble moving the ball against the other. Losing Molina Sanchez should cause some disruptions in Utah St's O-line. Colorado St should score at least 1 TD, 2 at most. Turnovers may add an extra TD or two. Backdoor late TD to cover the spread IMO. I will most likely play Colorado St but thinking I may put more on the under. Either way, its not a game I will be focusing much on.

LT Profits · 09-19-12, 05:28 AM

Bottom line is Utah State is starting to become overvalued, I expected this line to be closer to -10.5 on the road.

ThadCastle · 09-19-12, 06:53 AM

Mr LT, I like your CSU selection. Utah State will start to get bet up heavily.

Michigan on the other hand, I don't think they match up well with ND. All three teams Michigan faced, Alabama, AF, even UMass have gashed Michigan's run defense. I think ND is going to do that same.

Best of luck with your selection, love this site, and love talking these games.

LT Profits · 09-19-12, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by ThadCastle

Mr LT, I like your CSU selection. Utah State will start to get bet up heavily.

Michigan on the other hand, I don't think they match up well with ND. All three teams Michigan faced, Alabama, AF, even UMass have gashed Michigan's run defense. I think ND is going to do that same.

Best of luck with your selection, love this site, and love talking these games.

But the Irish have also been unable to handle Robinson the last two years. Yes, the ND Front Seven looks improved, but they have yet to face a serious dual threat like this. I think this game goes down to the wire.

onacloud · 09-19-12, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Bottom line is Utah State is starting to become overvalued, I expected this line to be closer to -10.5 on the road.

It's mind boggling how people still question LT

Everyone needs to listen to LT and take his advice he knows what he is doing and listening to his comments and reading his write ups on the front page really help you out you can learn so much from him about that key word VALUE

ThadCastle · 09-19-12, 08:48 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

But the Irish have also been unable to handle Robinson the last two years. Yes, the ND Front Seven looks improved, but they have yet to face a serious dual threat like this. I think this game goes down to the wire.

Actually Mr. Profits. That isn't accurate.

ND was leading Michigan 24-7 at the start of the 4th quarter last year. Their only score being a Hail Mary from Robinson before the first half ended.

Then ND started turning the ball over. For 3 quarters, ND completely limited Robinson. And, ND still would have won the game last year had it not been for a horrifically bad blown coverage.

Robinson was 11 of 24 last year against ND for 328 yards. 104 of that came on 2 badly busted coverage calls.

ND intercepted him 3 times.

Rushing, Robsinon had 94 yads on 20 carries.

On the other hand, Cierre Wood gashed Michigan for 148 on 23 carries in Ann Arbor.

And. ND played that game without Nix, Tuitt, and Ishaq Williams. 3 of their current front 7.

Dig deeper into last year's game Mr. LT. You'll see I am not steering you wrong.

Blackroc78 · 09-19-12, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by ThadCastle

Actually Mr. Profits. That isn't accurate.

ND was leading Michigan 24-7 at the start of the 4th quarter last year. Their only score being a Hail Mary from Robinson before the first half ended.

Then ND started turning the ball over. For 3 quarters, ND completely limited Robinson. And, ND still would have won the game last year had it not been for a horrifically bad blown coverage.

Robinson was 11 of 24 last year against ND for 328 yards. 104 of that came on 2 badly busted coverage calls.

ND intercepted him 3 times.

Rushing, Robsinon had 94 yads on 20 carries.

On the other hand, Cierre Wood gashed Michigan for 148 on 23 carries in Ann Arbor.

And. ND played that game without Nix, Tuitt, and Ishaq Williams. 3 of their current front 7.

Dig deeper into last year's game Mr. LT. You'll see I am not steering you wrong.

Haha this guy an instigator, can you take the time to analyze every games LT post in all sports please, (NFL,NCAAF,MLB,NBA) I want to hear your opinion on Colorado St. not just i like CSU. Much appreciated thanks.

ThadCastle · 09-19-12, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by Blackroc78

Haha this guy an instigator, can you take the time to analyze every games LT post in all sports please, (NFL,NCAAF,MLB,NBA) I want to hear your opinion on Colorado St. not just i like CSU. Much appreciated thanks.

Not an instigator at all. I am a fan of everyone here. Check my posts, I want every single person to win. I'm hoping by exchanging ideas/opinions, I may learn something I had not thought of before during my handicapping.

Why Colorado State?

Colorado State is playing at home-----and finally they get Nwoke back. He's a 1200 yard rusher, and its clear CSU has been missing him. Utah State has a decent front, but I still think CSU can run the ball on them. And I'm just not sure Utah State's defense is good enough to cover that 13.5. Utah State will win, but I think it's going to be a dogfight for Utah State.

LT Profits · 09-20-12, 07:15 AM

Saturday Addition

SATURDAY, 9/22
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)

Dom177 · 09-20-12, 08:48 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

SATURDAY, 9/22
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)

Love Miami/GT under

LT Profits · 09-20-12, 12:39 PM

Another Saturday Addition

SATURDAY, 9/22
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)

LT Profits · 09-20-12, 04:49 PM

1 More Saturday Addition

SATURDAY, 9/22
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
South Florida / Ball State UNDER 60.5 -110 (Heritage)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)

statnerds · 09-20-12, 05:46 PM

Thanks for all the hard work LT. Much appreciated.

LT Profits · 09-21-12, 01:29 AM

7 Saturday Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 9/22
Mississippi / Tulane UNDER 55.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
South Florida / Ball State UNDER 60.5 -110 (Heritage)
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)
Utah +7 -110 (5 Dimes)

PAULYPOKER · 09-21-12, 01:35 AM

Michigan +5.5

LT Profits · 09-21-12, 02:03 PM

3 Additions, 2 TONIGHT

FRIDAY, 9/21
Baylor -9.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Baylor -5.5 -110 (First Half) (Rebate Wager)

SATURDAY, 9/22
Mississippi / Tulane UNDER 55.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
South Florida / Ball State UNDER 60.5 -110 (Heritage)
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)
New Mexico / New Mexico State UNDER 56 -110 (Bookmaker)
Utah +7 -110 (5 Dimes)

LT Profits · 09-21-12, 05:02 PM

9th Saturday Play, 11 in all

FRIDAY, 9/21
Baylor -9.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Baylor -5.5 -110 (First Half) (Rebate Wager)

SATURDAY, 9/22
Mississippi / Tulane UNDER 55.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
Eastern Michigan +31.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
South Florida / Ball State UNDER 60.5 -110 (Heritage)
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)
New Mexico / New Mexico State UNDER 56 -110 (Bookmaker)
Utah +7 -110 (5 Dimes)

lakerboy · 09-21-12, 05:22 PM

LT do you know why East Carolina has been getting hammered the last 2 hours? Down to 14.5

fitguy67 · 09-22-12, 01:23 AM

we could have SO EASILY split...Baylor goes up by 12 with just 2:26 remaining...then gives up the backdoor-covering touchdown with just 6 seconds to go...but folding it in with MLB's 3-2 night just swung things from 4-3 to 3-4...

last week was a strong up (more than 9 units)...this week so far is sideways (down much less than a unit, especially if you play everything properly "to win"...like last night's Jays loss was just a half-uniter)...

we've got LOTS of plays already locked in for Sat and Sun...thanks LT...

BOL 'vrybody

LT Profits · 09-22-12, 01:09 PM

CFB 10-Pack

SATURDAY, 9/22
Mississippi / Tulane UNDER 55.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Miami-FL / Georgia Tech UNDER 61 -110 (Bookmaker)
Eastern Michigan +31.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
South Florida / Ball State UNDER 60.5 -110 (Heritage)
Colorado State +13.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
Michigan +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
Fresno State / Tulsa UNDER 68 -110 (Heritage)
New Mexico / New Mexico State UNDER 56 -110 (Bookmaker)
Utah +7 -110 (5 Dimes)
Nevada / Hawaii UNDER 62 -110 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 16-13, +3.56

CFB Card Complete