1. #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov(June 20, 2020)



    ESPN 8:00 pm ET
    Curtis Blaydes vs Alexander Volko
    Shane Burgos vs. Josh Emmett
    Raquel Pennington vs. Marion Reneau
    Lyman Good vs. Belal Muhammad
    Jim Miller vs. Roosevelt Roberts

    ESPN+ 5:00 pm ET
    Bobby Green vs. Clay Guida
    Tecia Torres vs Brianna Van Buren
    Marc-Andre Barriault vs Oskar Piechota
    Courtney Casey vs Gillian Robertson
    Frank Camacho vs Matt Frevola
    Roxanne Modafferi vs Lauren Murphy
    Austin Hubbard vs Joe Solecki



    Last edited by THE_LOCKSMITH; 06-15-20 at 03:46 PM.
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  2. #2
    Hugo de Naranja
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    I think Solecki vs. Hubbard is off
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  3. #3
    rsynweap84
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    Sorry in advance, not really, but Reneau has made me so much money in the past, I cannot bet against her, especially against "rocky-no-'s" pennington...

  4. #4
    frankieunits2685
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    It doesn’t stop! Keep them cards coming!

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    PaperTrail07
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  6. #6
    Demonata
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    One of these days I'm going to make profit on a card

  7. #7
    ichiro4thehall
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    What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

    Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

    The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

    Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?

  8. #8
    Demonata
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    Quote Originally Posted by ichiro4thehall View Post
    What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

    Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

    The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

    Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?
    Here's one thing that will convince you to unload on it, it's a womens ufc fight. Those are always scary as f. Seems like nothing makes sense when trying to cap them.
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  9. #9
    WolfTicketDealer
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    Might be max bet season on Burgos.
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  10. #10
    PaperTrail07
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    cant hate on that...
    Quote Originally Posted by WolfTicketDealer View Post
    Might be max bet season on Burgos.
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  11. #11
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by WolfTicketDealer View Post
    Might be max bet season on Burgos.
    Any concerns about his chin?
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  12. #12
    JIBBBY
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    Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

    Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

    I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

    Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




    Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

    1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-15-20 at 05:59 PM.

  13. #13
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

    Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

    I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

    Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




    Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

    1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
    Blaydes going to take him down over and over again. Hard to win rounds like that.
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  14. #14
    Thrilla
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    Papertrail?

  15. #15
    Demonata
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    So far I like volkov. I think odds should be closer. Deserves more respect.

  16. #16
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    So far I like volkov. I think odds should be closer. Deserves more respect.
    What's his path to victory? I think the odds are a bit wide now but think Volkov really has to walk a narrow tightrope to win this fight.
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  17. #17
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by ichiro4thehall View Post
    What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

    Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

    The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

    Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?
    People said the same when Torres was favored against Marina Rodriguez. Van Buren is a solid prospect but I get where you're coming from. Personally though, I need to see Torres win again before I can back her.
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  18. #18
    Demonata
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    What's his path to victory? I think the odds are a bit wide now but think Volkov really has to walk a narrow tightrope to win this fight.
    I think the derrick lewis fight was a learning experience for him, he was even winning that fight before the knockout. He also has excellent cardio. I see him out pointing blaydes. He has beaten some good fighters as well. I just don't see blaydes being a lock at all. If it goes to decision i see volkov also a possible knock out.

  19. #19
    WolfTicketDealer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Any concerns about his chin?
    It's a slight concern, but I see KO as being Emmett's only path to victory in this one (unless he rocks/drops Burgos multiple times, but even then, KO is still a more likely outcome). Think Burgos will have a solid speed and volume edge here. Emmett was on his way to losing against Michael Johnson before landing a late KO, and got finished against Jeremy Stephens, so there is reasoning to believe Emmett struggles against strikers.

    Only hesitation is that Burgos loves to trade in the pocket. Fighting "long" would help Burgos tremendously, but he's never done that in his career and I doubt he will for this one either. It is worth noting that his only KO loss came to Kattar who is a much better boxer, although Burgos did get dropped by Holobaugh.
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  20. #20
    WolfTicketDealer
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

    Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

    I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

    Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




    Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

    1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
    Blegh, last thing I needed to see was a reminder of that Volkov/Lewis fight....
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  21. #21
    PaperTrail07
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    Liking Jim Miller +200 He has fought people WAY better stronger and faster....RR-this is a huge up step in skills
    Burgos-guys an animal lol....could he get slept-sure-but he wont be outworked...
    Green- Guida on a paycheck collection tour-pushing 40 with very though fights....just don't see a win here for him.....Green will clown around to a decision...
    Torres +175....active enough to steal one-also used to fighting a way higher level of competition

    Its cashing season boys





    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    Papertrail?
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  22. #22
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Liking Jim Miller +200 He has fought people WAY better stronger and faster....RR-this is a huge up step in skills
    Burgos-guys an animal lol....could he get slept-sure-but he wont be outworked...
    Green- Guida on a paycheck collection tour-pushing 40 with very though fights....just don't see a win here for him.....Green will clown around to a decision...
    Torres +175....active enough to steal one-also used to fighting a way higher level of competition

    Its cashing season boys
    Its not about who you have fought, its how good you are!

    Standing Roosevelt robert is the better man. Longer the fight goes the better it is for Roosevelt. Maybe an early sub for jim miller?

    round 2 and round 3, just forget it. Jim miller will fall off a clip. Like he always does man.

  23. #23
    PaperTrail07
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    Swimming with the sharks helps...and I agree he is not as good on he feet....but he can grapple has good legs kicks and is not slow....and the cage is smaller...+200 just seemed a bit wide IMO.....
    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Its not about who you have fought, its how good you are!

    Standing Roosevelt robert is the better man. Longer the fight goes the better it is for Roosevelt. Maybe an early sub for jim miller?

    round 2 and round 3, just forget it. Jim miller will fall off a clip. Like he always does man.
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  24. #24
    Demonata
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    If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
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  25. #25
    WolfTicketDealer
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    Feels like it's R1 or bust for Miller. He hasn't won a later round since the Poirier fight (and even then that is arguable as R3 was close) and Roberts is definitely a better round winner at this stage of Miller's career.
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  26. #26
    PaperTrail07
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    Miller decision is + 600......consider me dumb but I'm taking a shot at that lol...
    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
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  27. #27
    Demonata
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Miller decision is + 600......consider me dumb but I'm taking a shot at that lol...
    Well I'm on volkov so not like I have any room to talk either. lol

  28. #28
    PaperTrail07
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    This is all true I'm just going on the price and the fact that JM is pretty skilled.......I just see him using his hands as a way to get inside--cage push ect....just a close fight imo....as it goes does he fade......damn right he does lol....
    Quote Originally Posted by WolfTicketDealer View Post
    Feels like it's R1 or bust for Miller. He hasn't won a later round since the Poirier fight (and even then that is arguable as R3 was close) and Roberts is definitely a better round winner at this stage of Miller's career.
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  29. #29
    PaperTrail07
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    no doubt...I have by no means locked in these bets----good chatter .
    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    Well I'm on volkov so not like I have any room to talk either. lol
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  30. #30
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
    Jim Miller is a tricky bet always, he likes to stand and bang, gasses late when facing wrestlers and ends up losing decisions by being taken down and put on his back..

    If Jim Miller does win it's usually in the 1st round and by Submission lately.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jim-Miller-14463

    Roosevelt to fast and young for Miller.. Probably wins by decision or KO if I had to guess.. I can't bet on Miller in this fight but if I had to it would be by sub.. Roosevelt never sub'd and 26 years old.. Reach, length and speed in his favor..
    https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Roos...Roberts-191653

    I'm going Roosevelt by decision myself.. Roberts could finish though, no guarantees with this..

    Pending 6/20/2020 9:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1411 Roberts wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Roberts by 3 round decision

  31. #31
    Demonata
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    Risk: $100.00 - Win: $310.00

    Alexander Volkov +310 - (Alexander Volkov vrs Curtis Blaydes)

    Game Start 06/20/2020 @ 09:00 PM

  32. #32
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    busy 14 days coming up in July on fight island....

    July 11 UFC 251 Usman v Burns
    July 15 UFC Fight Night Kattar v Ige
    July 18 UFC Fight Night Figueiredo v Benavidez
    July 25 UFC Fight Night Till v Whittaker
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  33. #33
    JC2008
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    Kattar/Ige?!! Awesome!!

  34. #34
    WolfTicketDealer
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    Frevola out, disappointing since that fight was guaranteed to be exciting. Hopefully they find a good replacement for Camacho if possible.
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  35. #35
    frankieunits2685
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    that blaydes line is getting hit

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