UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi | 14.01.2018 (St. Louis, Missouri)

[Thrilla]

Heathen lit up Korean Super boy.. .. Cash it!!!

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahah aha!

Always fade Asians in full effect!

Jibbylicious so so delicous!

[turbozed]

Well that was a good scrap. Sad that Choi got into a slugfest and lost it. Hope he goes back to the drawing board and improves.

[JIBBBY]

Glad to hear it. I think I had a small win myself but did poorly on picks.

Win is a win.. Some are big and some are small but it's ok... Just keep winning Hugo that's all I try to do!!!

[TPowell]

I really think Stephens can have a resurgence of sorts if he sticks to those straight punches like he started throwing late there. Nice and quick without loading up and they connected very well. Noticeable change from earlier in the fight.

[TPowell]

Up right at 10 units on 45 units bet so far since I started tracking on Bet MMA. VERY easy to use, much more so than CapperTek

http://www.betmma.tips/TPowell90

[JC2008]

Did you convert to Islam yet JC? ...

Nah... but I'll be converting to Cameroon after FN does the job on Stipe this Saturday!

[TPowell]

Nah... but I'll be converting to Cameroon after FN does the job on Stipe this Saturday!

Gonna be waiting a while. Hopefully over 5 minutes

[tailingcuzisuck]

Was going to bet Choi but saw Jibbys post about fading Asians lol and changed my bet. Thanks for the cash Jibby! Nice hit!

[Thrilla]

Was going to bet Choi but saw Jibbys post about fading Asians lol and changed my bet. Thanks for the cash Jibby! Nice hit!

The asian fade theory/formula has been around for a while now. Created by mastermind capper Jibbby aka Jibbby. He saw the light one day. Glad he shared it. Ive been implying it in other sports aswell, mainly tennis.

P.S. Jibbby is also the founder of the "always bet on black theory"

[JIBBBY]

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahah aha!

Always fade Asians in full effect!

Jibbylicious so so delicous!

Thrilla what's up? You've been a no show for while now in these MMA threads.. What's up bra? You good?

[TPowell]

The asian fade theory/formula has been around for a while now. Created by mastermind capper Jibbby aka Jibbby. He saw the light one day. Glad he shared it. Ive been implying it in other sports aswell, mainly tennis.

P.S. Jibbby is also the founder of the "always bet on black theory"

Another good one is to blindly fade guys that are good wrestling/BJJ guys from countries that don't have strong backgrounds like European wrestlers (not Russians obviously) and BJJ guys. You can definitely use nationalities to your advantage if the guy grew up training there and hasn't left for America/Brazil/Canada yet.

[rsynweap84]

penetrate always do this...had individual bet on Elkins sub but not in parlay fml...

478165356-1	1/14/18 7:24pm	$2.50	$430.32	$432.82	Win	4 Team Parlay
					Win	1/14/18 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Darren Elkins +165* vs Michael Johnson
					Win	1/14/18 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1037 Stephens wins by TKO/KO +327* vs Any other result
					Win	1/14/18 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1529 Reyes wins by TKO/KO +410* vs Any other result
					Win	1/14/18 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1731 Kang wins by submission +200* vs Any other result

[Hugo de Naranja]

penetrate always do this...had individual bet on Elkins sub but not in parlay fml...

478165356-1	1/14/18 7:24pm	$2.50	$430.32	$432.82	Win	4 Team Parlay
					Win	1/14/18 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Darren Elkins +165* vs Michael Johnson
					Win	1/14/18 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1037 Stephens wins by TKO/KO +327* vs Any other result
					Win	1/14/18 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1529 Reyes wins by TKO/KO +410* vs Any other result
					Win	1/14/18 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1731 Kang wins by submission +200* vs Any other result

Still an amazing prop parlay hit rsyn!

[rsynweap84]

Still an amazing prop parlay hit rsyn!

Yea but I got scared cuz event was small and ppls was doggin elkins...

I mean fight before this this guy had his jaw beat f*ckin crooked...it was horrible but beautiful, MJ is done to anyone that can eat a punch or pressure him...shoulda dropped more in parlays but f*cked meself...oh well next fight is one I been lookin forward to, gonna be fireworks

[Thrilla]

Thrilla what's up? You've been a no show for while now in these MMA threads.. What's up bra? You good?

Good. Was occupied with life outside of sportsbetting.
Betting wise less focus on combatsports. Not effective keeping track of athletes who you can fade or back once a year. More fight capping now though, must mix it up.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Here are the results for POTN/FOTN

FOTN: Stephens+Choi
POTN: Elkins, Polo Reyes

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi Picks:
Mike Santiago Round 1 TKO (Punches)
J.J. Aldrich Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Kalindra Faria Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Kyung Ho Kang Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Irene Aldana Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Matt Frevola Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Alex White Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Darren Elkins Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Kamaru Usman Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Jessica-Rose Clark Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Doo Ho Choi Unanimous Decision (49-46 x3)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Santiago vs. Burnell
Santiago ITD (+217) -1u
Santiago Submission (+613) -.5u

Hedge:
Burnell Submission (+490) -.5u

Result: Mads Burnell Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -2u
Card: -2u

Fight #2: Taylor vs. Aldrich
No Bet

Result: J.J. Aldrich Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Fight #3: Faria vs. Eye
No Bet

Result: Jessica Eye Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #4: Kang vs. Cannetti
Kang Submission (+259) +3.88u

Result: Kyung Ho Kang Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
Fight: +3.88u
Card: +1.88u

Fight #5: Aldana vs. Bernardo
Aldana ITD (+293) -1.5u

Hedge:
Bernardo ITD (+475) -.5u

Result: Irene Aldana Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -2u
Card: -0.12u

Fight #6: Frevola (DEBUT) vs. Polo Reyes
Frevola Submission (+832) -1u

Hedge:
Reyes ITD (+349) +3.49u

Result: Marco Polo Reyes Round 1 KO (Punch)
Fight: +2.49u
Card: +2.37u

Fight #7: White vs. Krause
White ITD (+395) -1u

Result: James Krause Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -1u
Card: +1.37u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Elkins vs. Johnson
Elkins (+140) +2.1u
Elkins Submission (+1305) +3.2625u
Elkins Round 3 (+2325) -.25u
Elkins+Johnson (+7500) -.1u

Added Hedge:
Johnson KO/TKO (+205) -1u

Result: Darren Elkins Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +4.0125u
Card: +5.3825u

Fight #9: Usman vs. Meek
Usman KO/TKO (+270) -1u
Usman Round 2 (+500) -1u
Usman Round 3 (+900) -.5u

Hedge:
Meek KO/TKO (+1049) -1u

Added Hedge:
Meek Submission (+2265) -.25u

Result: Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -3.75u
Card: +1.6325u

Fight #10: Clark vs. VanZant
Clark+VanZant WGD (+210) -.5u
VanZant ITD (+499) -1u

Hedge:
Clark Submission (+1450) -.5u

Added:
Clark (-105) +1u

Result: Jessica-Rose Clark Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: -1u
Card: +0.6325u

Fight #11: Choi vs. Stephens
Choi+Stephens Goes Distance (+235) -2u
Choi Decision (+449) -2u
Choi Round 1 (+388) -1u

Added Hedge:
Stephens KO/TKO (+327) +3.27u

Result: Jeremy Stephens Round 2 TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Fight: -1.73u
Card: -1.0975u

Straight Parlays:
Aldana/Clark (+225) +2.25u
White/Clark (+369) -.5u
White/Elkins (+536) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +1.5u
Card: +0.4025u

Prop Parlays:
Santiago/Hall -3.5 (+147) -1u
Usman -3.5/Clark/Choi (+315) -.25u
Kang+Canneti WGD/Aldana/Frevola -3.5 (+351) -.25u
Santiago+Burnell WGD/Aldrich/Faria (+566) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.75u
Card: -1.3475u

Live-Betting:
Usman+Meek Goes Distance (+100) +1u
Bernardo (+280) -.5u
Elkins (+350) +3.5u

Results: Elkins Wins, Usman+Meek Goes Distance, Bernardo Loses
Fights: +4u
Card: +2.6525u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+129) +1.6125u
Choi+Stephens FOTN (+250) +2.5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+413) -.5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1288) -.25u

FOTN: Stephens+Choi
POTN: Elkins, Polo Reyes
Fastest Submission: Kang R1 (4:53)
Fastest KO: Polo Reyes R1 (1:00)
Decisions: 7
Results: See Above
Fights: +3.3625u
Final Card Total = +6.015u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Usman -3.5/Open (+xxx) 5u

Results: Usman Wins Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fights: +0u, Carries Over
Multi-Event Parlays = Carries Over to a Future Event

[Hugo de Naranja]

After calculating everything up I did better than expected on my bets with a little over 6u in profits as well as a 5u MEP of Usman -3.5 (-275) that will carry over to a future event. Thank you Darren Elkins!

[firekillex]

jeremy stephens saved my night to go even with the TKO prop and straight up .. thank god

man elkins , hes like dan kelly i feel like he is absolutely trash and always is losing but somehow pulls WS outta his ass.... gotta give him props but ill keep fading him tbh i just feel like his standup is so terrible and gets tagged way to much... wonder who hell get next though should get a top 5 guy imo

[Thor4140]

Turbo i tailed two of ur chick picks and won how did u do with all four? I hit the page fight and the one with the tall skinny chick fighting the Brazilian. Alanda or some shit like that.

[Thor4140]

jeremy stephens saved my night to go even with the TKO prop and straight up .. thank god

man elkins , hes like dan kelly i feel like he is absolutely trash and always is losing but somehow pulls WS outta his ass.... gotta give him props but ill keep fading him tbh i just feel like his standup is so terrible and gets tagged way to much... wonder who hell get next though should get a top 5 guy imo

These 145 most hit like Holly Holmes. A guy like Stevens or mini Mendez would finally knock his head off. I was all set to bet Johnson to but backed off the last second.

[Hugo de Naranja]

jeremy stephens saved my night to go even with the TKO prop and straight up .. thank god

man elkins , hes like dan kelly i feel like he is absolutely trash and always is losing but somehow pulls WS outta his ass.... gotta give him props but ill keep fading him tbh i just feel like his standup is so terrible and gets tagged way to much... wonder who hell get next though should get a top 5 guy imo

Elkins has taken Dan Kelly's throne as king of the underdogs. I love the guy.

[firekillex]

These 145 most hit like Holly Holmes. A guy like Stevens or mini Mendez would finally knock his head off. I was all set to bet Johnson to but backed off the last second.

bro.... if elkins gets chad mendes ill empty everything into mendes mark my words
but they fight at the same camp now so i cant see that happening... excited to see mendes back soon hes a darkhorse at 145 if he comes back looking like his old self

give elkins jeremy stephens ... both won tonight and whoever wins that fight gets a top 5 contender scrap possibly next 9/10 ranking matchup... RIP elkins

[TPowell]

Next card only has 1 chick fight but its an interesting one. Moroz opened even money against Jamie Moyle and is now up to -135. Still seems short to me. Not sure Moyle has proved she's a UFC level fighter yet while Moroz has experienced top flight competition and beat UFC level competition as well. I do worry about the takedown threat since Moroz is so tall but Moyle struggles to get inside against bigger girls and this should be a real issue.

[Sanity Check]

Wish I had gone heavy on this event, almost all my picks were correct(with the exception of Michael Johnson beating Darren Elkins)

I thought about going all in on JJ Aldrich and Irene Aldana but didn't pull the trigger on anything.

Hope you all did better than I did.

[Demonata]

I can't believe I fell asleep and missed the whole main card!!!! All I hit was polo Reyes.I made good profit but fell asleep so Damn early. So passed! I hope fox sports shows a replay of main card. I wanted to bet it but at least get to watch it would be cool.

[Shagdogy]

Fight Night 124 Bets:

Aldrich -115, 1.15u
Eye -120, 1.2u
Kang/Aldana parlay +113, 1u
Reyes +185, .54u
White +140, 1.5u
Clark -110, 2u

Good luck everyone!

I'm sure you guys can forgive, but for accurate record keeping, I realized that my Clark bet was actually 2.5u, so I'm going to count it in my total as such. Nice start to the year - looks like many did well. Cheers everyone. Love it when the research pays off.

Card Total: 5-1, +4.90u
YTD: 5-1, +4.90u

YTD Event Total: 1-0

[JIBBBY]

Great night from start to finish.. Lost the Van Zant and Elkins by decision props but that's about it.. Didn't do alot of hedging just played these props straight up.. Worked out well....

Won these -

$100.00

$307.00

Win

1/14/18 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Stephens wins inside distance +307* vs Not Stephens inside distance

$100.00

$410.00

Win

1/14/18 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1529 Reyes wins by TKO/KO +410* vs Any other result

$50.00

$100.00

Win

1/14/18 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1731 Kang wins by submission +200* vs Any other result

$100.00

$128.00

Win

1/14/18 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1211 Usman wins by 3 round decision +128* vs Not Usman by 3 round decision

$100.00

$165.00

Win

1/14/18 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1811 Eye wins by 3 round decision +165* vs Not Eye by 3 round decision

$170.00

$100.00

Win

1/14/18 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 James Krause -170* vs Alex White

$50.00

$73.00

Win

1/14/18 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Aldrich wins by 3 round decision +146* vs Not Aldrich by 3 round decision

Lost these -

$59.00

$106.80

Loss

1/14/18 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 VanZant wins by 3 round decision +181* vs Not VanZant by 3 round decision

$100.00

$250.00

Loss

1/14/18 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1307 Elkins wins by 3 round decision +250* vs Not Elkins by 3 round decision

Profit was around $1000.00 for this event on Dimes.. I'm very pleased.. Next...

[JIBBBY]

Good. Was occupied with life outside of sportsbetting.
Betting wise less focus on combatsports. Not effective keeping track of athletes who you can fade or back once a year. More fight capping now though, must mix it up.

Yup, I've been focused in on NBA as that's been my bread and butter this year so far for sports gambling and profits.. NFL hit and miss but that's been my interest as well of late....

MMA has kinda taken a back seat for now.. Been breaking even with alot of these UFC events lately so my focus changed a bit.. This event was a break out win though so hopefully it will continue...

Take it easy Thrilla, glad to see you are still popping in from time to time..

[PaperTrail07]

I shoulda have hedged Stevens by KO.....had a lot of parlays tailing into that last fight and didn't hedge.....started off nice with a +155 on Burnell...hit elkins....whiffed over 1.5 polo frev fight and took Frev lol...kid was a fish out of water lol..whiffed alex white....hit elkins clark but lost choi ....that rooster_eater lol...

[PaperTrail07]

overall.....entertaining card...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Great night from start to finish.. Lost the Van Zant and Elkins by decision props but that's about it.. Didn't do alot of hedging just played these props straight up.. Worked out well....

Won these -

$100.00

$307.00

Win

1/14/18 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Stephens wins inside distance +307* vs Not Stephens inside distance

$100.00

$410.00

Win

1/14/18 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1529 Reyes wins by TKO/KO +410* vs Any other result

$50.00

$100.00

Win

1/14/18 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1731 Kang wins by submission +200* vs Any other result

$100.00

$128.00

Win

1/14/18 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1211 Usman wins by 3 round decision +128* vs Not Usman by 3 round decision

$100.00

$165.00

Win

1/14/18 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1811 Eye wins by 3 round decision +165* vs Not Eye by 3 round decision

$170.00

$100.00

Win

1/14/18 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 James Krause -170* vs Alex White

$50.00

$73.00

Win

1/14/18 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Aldrich wins by 3 round decision +146* vs Not Aldrich by 3 round decision

Lost these -

$59.00

$106.80

Loss

1/14/18 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 VanZant wins by 3 round decision +181* vs Not VanZant by 3 round decision

$100.00

$250.00

Loss

1/14/18 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1307 Elkins wins by 3 round decision +250* vs Not Elkins by 3 round decision

Profit was around $1000.00 for this event on Dimes.. I'm very pleased.. Next...

Awesome job Jibster!

[TPowell]

Wow I'm really liking Moroz over Moyle at the short price. This fight has Moroz/Taylor 2 written all over it as long as she doesn't get taken down like crazy which I don't think she will. Moroz is long and pretty decent on the feet but slow. Moyle is the short and tiny in and out striker who struggles against length. I think we get a staring contest here folks and the SUB is the only thing that can beat us but neither girl has been subbed before and Moroz survived on the ground with Esparza without getting subbed (I know she isn't a finisher but still). The OVER is priced at -270 which is right at normal for the division going OVER 2.5 rounds (71% of the time= -245). I really like -270 because its only about a quarter above what normally happens price wise and these girls are definitely not finishers. I think this could close around -350 or so.

[TPowell]

Seeing some early angles already on the 4 upcoming chick fights. Nothing as safe as the Moroz/Moyle OVER but here it is. Keep in mind I still need to chew on these. Kim may stand out to some but she's NEVER fought at 125 pounds before (always 135) and Kish relies on being the bigger and more physical fighter A LOT. If she comes forward like crazy against Kim, she'll probably get picked apart because Kim moves well and has a pretty good jab. Her strike defense and chin is a little worrisome but keep in mind we are getting +200 here and she's the stronger woman going up against a girl that relies on barreling forward and being very aggressive. Kish's cardio at 115 was very poor as well. Maybe at 125 it will improve but probably not with clinch battles against girls like Kim. If Kim is able to use her strength against the cage and not be tentative herself, she could easily steal this one.

Markos/Lima OVER 2.5 (-230)
Moroz ML (-130)
Ji Yeon Kim ML (+200)