PuckIt - Fade the Pirates Remainder of Season

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  • PuckIt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-11-12
    • 9416

    #1
    PuckIt - Fade the Pirates Remainder of Season
    Hey All - it's becoming obvious that the Pirates are playing, well, like the pirates. This is the point in the season that they go downhill each year, and I will attempt to profit on it. I started this last week against the Astros. Each game I will play the ML of the opposing team, and the RL or reverse RL of the opposing team and will keep track of it here. I will be risking 1u on the ML and 0.5u on the RL.

    Here are results thus far:

    1. Astros ML +180 (W)
    2. Astros RRL +280 (W)
    3. Cubs ML +160 (W)
    4. Cubs RRL +240 (L)
    5. Cubs ML +155 (W)
    6. Cubs RRL +260 (W)

    Will be playing Reds ML and Reds RL tomorrow.

    Fade the Pirates ML/RL Record: 5-1 (+7.15u)
  • face
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-11
    • 14740

    #2
    might be on to something here
    Comment
    • PuckIt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-11-12
      • 9416

      #3
      we shall see - I think it will be profitable as long as the linemakers still consider the buccos to be favorites ever again after going 2-4 against the Astros/Cubs at home.
      Comment
      • Nova99
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-31-12
        • 428

        #4
        Nice hits on the cubs i dont think anyone thought the cubs wouldve taken 3 of 3 against anyone due to their awful away form.
        Comment
        • PuckIt
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-11-12
          • 9416

          #5
          Thanks, and yeah I agree. I just have no faith left in the buccos.

          Locked in for tomorrow:

          7. 1x Reds ML -162
          8. 0.5x Reds RL +140
          Comment
          • ColdBeerHere
            SBR MVP
            • 03-25-11
            • 3626

            #6
            Nice catch...Might want to look up fading the mets as well - looks like they threw in the towel
            Comment
            • PuckIt
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-11-12
              • 9416

              #7
              Glad I got that line in last night - Reds are now -173 and +125
              Comment
              • face
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-31-11
                • 14740

                #8
                let the fades begin!! reds -162
                Comment
                • PuckIt
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-11-12
                  • 9416

                  #9
                  I'm considering putting 1/4u on the -2.5 line also - i might be getting greedy though
                  Comment
                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 19734

                    #10
                    isn't wandy the ace for pitt at the moment?
                    Comment
                    • PuckIt
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-11-12
                      • 9416

                      #11
                      He's been decent as of late, but the Pirates bats haven't been doing it. I expect a Cinci win under the posted total. I will fade them every game from now on regardless of who is pitching
                      Comment
                      • Riceboi
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-03-11
                        • 857

                        #12
                        Reds
                        Comment
                        • PuckIt
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-11-12
                          • 9416

                          #13
                          Are you KIDDING ME!?!?!
                          Comment
                          • vikingfan101
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-04-12
                            • 475

                            #14
                            Ugh, can't believe they blew that. Glad I bet the ML and RL now, either way still need a win.
                            Comment
                            • drfunkmaster
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-29-08
                              • 11162

                              #15
                              reds not gonna win
                              Comment
                              • Lakey
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-06-12
                                • 430

                                #16
                                How many chances do Cinci need.
                                Comment
                                • vikingfan101
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-04-12
                                  • 475

                                  #17
                                  Two innings in a row man on 3rd and they choke .. come the **** on.
                                  Comment
                                  • PuckIt
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-11-12
                                    • 9416

                                    #18
                                    Eeked out a W last night but lost the RL for a small profit.

                                    Fade the Pirates Record:
                                    ML: 4-0
                                    RL: 1-2

                                    Total: 6-2 (+7.27u)
                                    Comment
                                    • face
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-11
                                      • 14740

                                      #19
                                      books not making this project easy, juicing mike leake up to -151. but reds -151 it is, gl
                                      Comment
                                      • PuckIt
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-11-12
                                        • 9416

                                        #20
                                        Yup. Due to the juice tonight I am putting 1/4u on the RL at +150 and the same 1u risk on the ML at -153 in the hopes to avoid a close win eating my profit.

                                        BOL tonight!
                                        Comment
                                        • PuckIt
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-11-12
                                          • 9416

                                          #21
                                          I knew everything was going too well...
                                          Comment
                                          • PuckIt
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-11-12
                                            • 9416

                                            #22
                                            Nice win!

                                            Fade the buccos Record: 8-2 / +8.3u
                                            Comment
                                            • face
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-31-11
                                              • 14740

                                              #23
                                              streak continues, glad i jumped on board (might look into fading mets some too)
                                              Comment
                                              • PuckIt
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-11-12
                                                • 9416

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by face
                                                streak continues, glad i jumped on board (might look into fading mets some too)
                                                Yessir! I actually played the Nats today too. Zimmerman on the mound at +$$$ against a cold mets team was too easy!
                                                Comment
                                                • Nova99
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-31-12
                                                  • 428

                                                  #25
                                                  man ur really onto something here... watched part of the game pirates just cannot get a break hah keep it up and keep cashing!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PuckIt
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-11-12
                                                    • 9416

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Nova99
                                                    man ur really onto something here... watched part of the game pirates just cannot get a break hah keep it up and keep cashing!!
                                                    Thanks! I'm a Buccos fan, but I like money better. The fade is the play right now and will be for the rest of the season I suspect! I would be amazed if they finish over .500.

                                                    Hopefully they still have some respect with the books and they wont get too juicy for at least a few more games.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PuckIt
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-11-12
                                                      • 9416

                                                      #27
                                                      You can get the Reds ML at -130 for tomorrow's game right now, and the RL at +165.

                                                      1x Reds ML -130
                                                      0.25x Reds RL +165
                                                      Comment
                                                      • face
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-31-11
                                                        • 14740

                                                        #28
                                                        might lay off tomorrow, or just go small. GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PuckIt
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-11-12
                                                          • 9416

                                                          #29
                                                          No way to win the RL now, but let's hope for ML here...2 more outs.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PuckIt
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-11-12
                                                            • 9416

                                                            #30
                                                            May have to stop playing the RL's, they're eating up my profit!

                                                            ML record moves to 6-0.

                                                            9-3 +8.82u
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Nova99
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-31-12
                                                              • 428

                                                              #31
                                                              new day same result haha that suicide squeeze pretty much just sums up the pirates the last few weeks. Cubs for 4, this will be interesting!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • face
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-31-11
                                                                • 14740

                                                                #32
                                                                chickened out, don't know why. of course they lost
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PuckIt
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-11-12
                                                                  • 9416

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yup! No fade tomorrow...no bucs, no mets. King Felix at +EV U7.5 looks nice though! Enjoy the day off!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PuckIt
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-11-12
                                                                    • 9416

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Finally, some +$$$ odds!

                                                                    Cubs ML +130
                                                                    Cubs Reverse RL -1.5 TBD
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PuckIt
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-11-12
                                                                      • 9416

                                                                      #35
                                                                      1x Cubs ML +130
                                                                      0.25x Cubs -1.5 +270
                                                                      Comment
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