How do you read this line? Sea @ Min o/u

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  • EXhoosier10
    SBR MVP
    • 07-06-09
    • 3122

    #1
    How do you read this line? Sea @ Min o/u
    Line opens at 8.5 -105/-105. By morning, it's at 9 -105/-105 with 60% on the under. Day goes on and the line is still at 9, but the under is juiced to -115.

    Game line opened as a toss up, and has remained around there with 65%+ on Seattle.

    Team totals are both at 4 with overs juiced at -120 and -125.

    ERA's hover around a total of 8, advanced metrics more towards 9. Recent performances aren't very different, lean towards 9 more than 8.

    Hitting is average on the road for the M's, terrible at home. Say they're below average. Twins bats are about league average against lefties.

    Umpire is Doug Eddings. Has one of the highest strike percentages in the league over the past 4 years, top 5 in high K rate & bottom 10 in walks.

    The line movement says to play the over, but all stats point towards the under.

    Any other way to read this? Am I missing something?
  • EXhoosier10
    SBR MVP
    • 07-06-09
    • 3122

    #2
    all overs still juiced as game time gets closer
    Comment
    • SBRMAN23
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-07-11
      • 6906

      #3
      BEen wondering same thing staying away
      Comment
      • El Nino
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-03-12
        • 18426

        #4
        Was leaning under before more research, Vargas can be pretty bad on the road. Twinkies should wake up and take this.
        Comment
        • EVPlus
          SBR MVP
          • 04-07-12
          • 1111

          #5
          When the various indicators just make my head spin, I pass.
          Comment
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