Astros vs. Cards UNDER 7.5

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  • Mantle7
    SBR MVP
    • 08-05-12
    • 3138

    #1
    Astros vs. Cards UNDER 7.5
    I love this play. Norris takes the bump for the Astros and he's got great numbers vs. the Red Birds. "Among active pitchers with at least 10 starts against the Cardinals, Norris ranks first in ERA (2.47)". That information provided by Jeff Grant. He's also has an impressive record against them but Lohse is pitching and you just can't trust the Astros bats to make a play on them at +240. Lohse is Lohse... Best pitcher for the Cards this year and I don't anticipate the Stros giving him much trouble.

    I might do a little Cubs/Stros hailmary parlay because of course... This is Baseball.

    Good luck today, Gentleman.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    wainwright is best pitcher for cards by far, loshe is very good tho, you can pretty much chalk up 7ip and 2er against these scrubs... Norris hasnt fared as well as of late against stl (he owned them when he couldnt beat anyone else early in career), my biggest worry with bud is that he coming off long rest in which he has been terrible throughout his career.... i agree under is way to go, especially if you can get plus money, i actually split it with stl rl , i might be setting myself up for split but while i can easily see both hitting im very confident if it goes over cards cover rl (prob -2.5 line)..
    Comment
    • Mantle7
      SBR MVP
      • 08-05-12
      • 3138

      #3
      I dont know, 2D... Lohse is 12-2 with a 2.61 E.R.A. Wainwright is 12-10 with a 3.69 E.R.A. Numbers clearly show Lohse having the better year, Bud.
      Comment
      • nVinyl
        SBR Rookie
        • 06-23-12
        • 32

        #4
        Nice info Mantle i'm on it too.

        I also read:

        * Lohse @ home vs Houston: under in 4 of 5 home starts
        * Lohse @ home: under in 7 of his last 8 overall at home
        * Norris @ STL: under in 5 of 6 away starts

        Let's hope the numbers pay off. GL dude.

        Comment
        • Omaga
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-10-12
          • 460

          #5
          M7 & 2D nice write-up here. It looks like the public like the over 7.5 early. However I wouldn't be surprised just before game time this gets bump down to 7 with sharp money; thats when I'll pull the trigger on the over 7.
          Comment
          • Mantle7
            SBR MVP
            • 08-05-12
            • 3138

            #6
            Had the Under yesterday and was really confident in it. Harrell and Wainright two Aces, but Harrell, very uncharacteristicaly, gave up 4 in the first. Ended up with a push 7-0. So I like the fact that other then that 1 bad inning the Cards were only able to get 3 runs off mid relief and they didn't even bring in their strongest closers because game was out reach.

            Every single trend is pointing towards the Under here. I'm hoping we see a 3-1 or 4-1 game. Gonna stand by this play regardless of where the line moves. Good luck, Gentleman.

            I see a lot of UNDERS hitting today... These 3 are not posted plays yet bit will be considering later on today.

            Tampa Bay/KC
            LAA/Bos
            LAD/SF.
            Comment
            • Mantle7
              SBR MVP
              • 08-05-12
              • 3138

              #7
              [QUOTE=nVinyl;15743766]Nice info Mantle i'm on it too.

              I also read:

              * Lohse @ home vs Houston: under in 4 of 5 home starts
              * Lohse @ home: under in 7 of his last 8 overall at home
              * Norris @ STL: under in 5 of 6 away starts

              Let's hope the numbers pay off. GL dude.

              [QUOTE]

              Very nice info. Let's hope old Bud got some much need rest and just gives up a couple runs.
              Comment
              • Mantle7
                SBR MVP
                • 08-05-12
                • 3138

                #8
                Adding Angels to posted plays.
                Comment
                • R.P. McMurphy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-15-12
                  • 9654

                  #9
                  Like this as well Mantle I was looking at some stuff earlier and def. leaning heavy on the un. GL
                  Comment
                  • Mantle7
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-05-12
                    • 3138

                    #10
                    Nice Bud... You like any other games today?
                    Comment
                    • R.P. McMurphy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-15-12
                      • 9654

                      #11
                      Yeah Mantle I like Boston, Natties, ov in Detroit
                      Comment
                      • Mantle7
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-05-12
                        • 3138

                        #12
                        Cool... Good luck with Boston game... Fukker.

                        J.k. You think Weaver gets blown up again?
                        Comment
                        • R.P. McMurphy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-15-12
                          • 9654

                          #13
                          You're the big Halo fan... tell me? Did'nt you say something appears to be wrong with him after the Rays loss? I also looked at these 2 pitchers stats vs. these teams and have to side with Buch. Neither team looking good of late but at this price and the pitchers history vs. the opposition I gotta side with the home squad here.
                          Comment
                          • Mantle7
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-05-12
                            • 3138

                            #14
                            Yah, but he's healthy. I thought maybe he was hiding an injury or something. His career numbers vs. Bosox aren't good but they're not even close to the same team they were last year. He ran into Tampa Bay who is by far the hottest team in Baseball right now. I just can't see him come out and be anything less then dominant. Bucholz is good though and the hotter pitcher. It's a coin flip.Man. I'm rolling with Weaver @ a great price.
                            Comment
                            • Mantle7
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-05-12
                              • 3138

                              #15
                              Cool went 2-0 today. $witty 0-2 and a push yesterday. That brings my posted plays to 16-6.
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Mantle7
                                I dont know, 2D... Lohse is 12-2 with a 2.61 E.R.A. Wainwright is 12-10 with a 3.69 E.R.A. Numbers clearly show Lohse having the better year, Bud.
                                look at advanced or better yet watch them both and tell me who has the better stuff...lets also not forget waino was only a yr removed from tommy john to start season and like the warrior he is he pitched w/o having nearly his best stuff, just really started getting back right before all-star break, this is not even debatable my friend trust me... i mean advanced stats will clearly tell you im spot on here but in all fairness metrics will always hate loshe cause for some reason they dont think a guy can locate and make batters hit his pitches for outs, but botom line is wainwright is the ace of this staff by a country mile bro..

                                think i had Loshe stat line nailed
                                Comment
                                • Mantle7
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-05-12
                                  • 3138

                                  #17
                                  I respect your opinion, Bud but I still gotta go with Lohse. You got a 13-2 record and a 12-10 record with Lohses ERA a run better then Wainwright. Even when Lohse loses its because the bats aren't supporting him and he just gives up.a couple runs. Wainwright has been blow out several times this season. Whatever Dude Fuk it.. we both won. Haha.. nice call on that runline bet too. Angels are back! I swear to God I can cap all night but gut plays are the best...
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    you out of your rabid ass mind..wouldnt any manager in gm start loshe ahead of wainwright in a must win gm, that a fact....but to each is own i suppose and you are correct Loshe should prob be like 18-2 as he has left gms with leads so many times, prematurely leaving in plenty of them, i mean i cant argue he is having the better yr but wainwright on anothe level since he has regained form, i mean the dude has 63ks and 10 walks since break, not to mention even the "blowouts" you speak of if you saw gm instead of stat line it was mostly some piss poor d behind him in key spots...Loshe better seasonsure, waino will start the play-in gm should cards get a wild card spot, which should say it all....

                                    anyways, congrats on the nice day..


                                    btw cards gm going over 8.5 2marro and it plus money...
                                    Comment
                                    • Mantle7
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-05-12
                                      • 3138

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Omaga
                                      M7 & 2D nice write-up here. It looks like the public like the over 7.5 early. However I wouldn't be surprised just before game time this gets bump down to 7 with sharp money; thats when I'll pull the trigger on the over 7.
                                      Never fade me in my own thread... It's never good.
                                      Comment
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