MLB - Sunday, 8/5/12

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Sunday, 8/5/12
    1 MLB Play Sunday


    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
  • PRIMO99
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-21-12
    • 110

    #2
    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
    milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

    stymied on this one..
    Comment
    • scottsins
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-05-11
      • 103

      #3
      Originally posted by PRIMO99
      LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...
      Ummm....yeah. The ML pay/price determines the value of the bet. +150 is substantially higher than where it should be.
      Comment
      • StackinGreen
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-09-10
        • 12140

        #4
        If Cespedes isn't in the lineup again, this is a no-brainer. Oakland is just a decent team who got hot because their pitching is solid. Their O is anemic, however.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by PRIMO99
          LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
          milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

          stymied on this one..
          Comment
          • 40ozfreedom
            SBR Rookie
            • 08-03-12
            • 19

            #6
            Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

            The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

            Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
            Comment
            • PRIMO99
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-21-12
              • 110

              #7
              again its all IMO, good arguments....
              at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

              but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
              and i know laffey
              despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

              and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

              so betting the jays
              and right now especially
              sucks !
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by 40ozfreedom
                Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

                The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

                Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
                Originally posted by PRIMO99
                again its all IMO, good arguments....
                at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

                but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
                and i know laffey
                despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

                and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

                so betting the jays
                and right now especially
                sucks !
                This game is a toss up at best so +150 is the right play. No team that is dead last in the Major Leagues in batting should be favored by this much.
                Comment
                • PolishSensation
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-03-11
                  • 132

                  #9
                  Athletics should win, but the Jays @ +150 is a +ev play. +EV plays will make you money in the long-run.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    MLB 5-Pack

                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    1 MLB Play Sunday


                    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


                    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
                    Adding:

                    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
                    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
                    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
                    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


                    MLB Card complete
                    Comment
                    • Koldazzice
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-08-11
                      • 2392

                      #11
                      I have over 10.5 in red sox -
                      but can't argue with your other plays and their value - at +150 you only need to win 41% of the time and I think toronto wins 5 outta 10 in this spot. I'm gonna wait a few days and watch the A's but going to be considering a huge A's fade train soon. Basically labby them not to win 3 in a row for the next month. They have been a bank roll builder for me so its only smart to build more on their regression.
                      Comment
                      • Seto
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-16-11
                        • 12906

                        #12
                        Good luck

                        Been following your plays very solid stuff
                        Comment
                        • freakydave
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-23-11
                          • 1106

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Adding:

                          Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
                          Orioles +215 (Heritage)
                          Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
                          Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


                          MLB Card complete
                          GL to you
                          I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by freakydave
                            GL to you
                            I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
                            Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
                            Comment
                            • starbuck2233
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 02-02-11
                              • 54

                              #15
                              Jays

                              I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a hot team right now to boot....
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by starbuck2233
                                I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a lucky team right now to boot....
                                Fixed. Oakland leads the world in walk-off wins and they are 18-12 in one-run games. They are not a legit second place team.
                                Comment
                                • Vinnie Paz
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-27-12
                                  • 12177

                                  #17
                                  The mans record speaks for itself
                                  I dont agree with 70% of his plays but at the end of the night the guy wins me bets so i cant complain
                                  Comment
                                  • BigD46
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 07-25-12
                                    • 123

                                    #18
                                    Cespedes in but I believe in LT!

                                    Good start.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Adding:

                                      Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
                                      Orioles +215 (Heritage)
                                      Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
                                      Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


                                      MLB Card complete
                                      Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
                                      Comment
                                      • bigant78
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-13-12
                                        • 185

                                        #20
                                        Damn LT, you stay killing it. A 200 plus underdog who the hell cares about the jays.
                                        Comment
                                        • altieriflyers
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-23-12
                                          • 777

                                          #21
                                          LT
                                          Comment
                                          • darrell74
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-16-07
                                            • 14648

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
                                            Good day.
                                            Taking a chance on the O's was the big one. Great value. 1-0 in 10 innings
                                            Royals walk off in 10 on an error
                                            Alfredo slammed the door in the ninth after getting shelled the night before.

                                            A win is a win regardless.
                                            L.T. is the best on here, nevertheless.
                                            Comment
                                            • mncosoldier
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 3215

                                              #23
                                              Lt didnt u work for a paysite
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mncosoldier
                                                Lt didnt u work for a paysite
                                                Yes but no longer as of yesterday.
                                                Comment
                                                • Winner211
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 11-23-11
                                                  • 30

                                                  #25
                                                  good 1.8 win...i follow and learn...thanks!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shimeon40
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-15-12
                                                    • 2319

                                                    #26
                                                    LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • freakydave
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-23-11
                                                      • 1106

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
                                                      You are good 4-1- congrats.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by shimeon40
                                                        LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
                                                        No not a thing. But I do have Arizona Cardinals Money Line in NFLX.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vinnie Paz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-27-12
                                                          • 12177

                                                          #29
                                                          Lt is the king of underdog bets
                                                          Been doin it all year
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NewYorkKnicks87
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-31-11
                                                            • 410

                                                            #30
                                                            Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EastSideLV
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-11-11
                                                              • 106

                                                              #31
                                                              Well done LT.. hope you lose the Cardinals pick tho = )
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JimmyG_415
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 02-19-12
                                                                • 83

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by NewYorkKnicks87
                                                                Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
                                                                Yup,
                                                                They hate before the game, tell him he will lose, and they are fading him.
                                                                Only one guy has the guts to come back and tell him good job.

                                                                They will be ripping his plays tomorrow, too.
                                                                Good job, LT.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • scottsins
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-05-11
                                                                  • 103

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Great day.
                                                                  I've also had great results playing a round robin parlay when you show three recommended underdog plays. 3 for 3 yesterday on those dogs paid +500 at least yesterday. With the large payoffs, hitting 2/3 is way into plus money for the round robin with 3 live dogs.
                                                                  Comment
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