LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,
stymied on this one..
Comment
scottsins
SBR High Roller
12-05-11
103
#3
Originally posted by PRIMO99
LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...
Ummm....yeah. The ML pay/price determines the value of the bet. +150 is substantially higher than where it should be.
Comment
StackinGreen
SBR Posting Legend
10-09-10
12140
#4
If Cespedes isn't in the lineup again, this is a no-brainer. Oakland is just a decent team who got hot because their pitching is solid. Their O is anemic, however.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#5
Originally posted by PRIMO99
LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,
Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.
The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.
Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
Comment
PRIMO99
SBR High Roller
07-21-12
110
#7
again its all IMO, good arguments....
at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...
but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
and i know laffey
despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...
and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....
so betting the jays
and right now especially
sucks !
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#8
Originally posted by 40ozfreedom
Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.
The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.
Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
Originally posted by PRIMO99
again its all IMO, good arguments....
at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...
but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
and i know laffey
despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...
and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....
so betting the jays
and right now especially
sucks !
This game is a toss up at best so +150 is the right play. No team that is dead last in the Major Leagues in batting should be favored by this much.
Comment
PolishSensation
SBR High Roller
10-03-11
132
#9
Athletics should win, but the Jays @ +150 is a +ev play. +EV plays will make you money in the long-run.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#10
MLB 5-Pack
Originally posted by LT Profits
1 MLB Play Sunday
Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)
YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
Adding:
Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
Orioles +215 (Heritage)
Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)
MLB Card complete
Comment
Koldazzice
SBR MVP
11-08-11
2392
#11
I have over 10.5 in red sox -
but can't argue with your other plays and their value - at +150 you only need to win 41% of the time and I think toronto wins 5 outta 10 in this spot. I'm gonna wait a few days and watch the A's but going to be considering a huge A's fade train soon. Basically labby them not to win 3 in a row for the next month. They have been a bank roll builder for me so its only smart to build more on their regression.
Comment
Seto
SBR Posting Legend
12-16-11
12906
#12
Good luck
Been following your plays very solid stuff
Comment
freakydave
SBR MVP
02-23-11
1106
#13
Originally posted by LT Profits
Adding:
Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
Orioles +215 (Heritage)
Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)
MLB Card complete
GL to you
I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#14
Originally posted by freakydave
GL to you
I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
Comment
starbuck2233
SBR Hustler
02-02-11
54
#15
Jays
I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a hot team right now to boot....
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#16
Originally posted by starbuck2233
I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a lucky team right now to boot....
Fixed. Oakland leads the world in walk-off wins and they are 18-12 in one-run games. They are not a legit second place team.
Comment
Vinnie Paz
SBR Posting Legend
03-27-12
12177
#17
The mans record speaks for itself
I dont agree with 70% of his plays but at the end of the night the guy wins me bets so i cant complain
Comment
BigD46
SBR High Roller
07-25-12
123
#18
Cespedes in but I believe in LT!
Good start.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#19
Originally posted by LT Profits
Adding:
Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage) Orioles +215 (Heritage)
Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)
MLB Card complete
Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
Comment
bigant78
SBR High Roller
04-13-12
185
#20
Damn LT, you stay killing it. A 200 plus underdog who the hell cares about the jays.
Comment
altieriflyers
SBR Wise Guy
07-23-12
777
#21
LT
Comment
darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#22
Originally posted by LT Profits
Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
Good day.
Taking a chance on the O's was the big one. Great value. 1-0 in 10 innings
Royals walk off in 10 on an error
Alfredo slammed the door in the ninth after getting shelled the night before.
A win is a win regardless.
L.T. is the best on here, nevertheless.
Comment
mncosoldier
SBR MVP
11-26-09
3215
#23
Lt didnt u work for a paysite
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#24
Originally posted by mncosoldier
Lt didnt u work for a paysite
Yes but no longer as of yesterday.
Comment
Winner211
SBR Rookie
11-23-11
30
#25
good 1.8 win...i follow and learn...thanks!
Comment
shimeon40
SBR MVP
03-15-12
2319
#26
LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
Comment
freakydave
SBR MVP
02-23-11
1106
#27
Originally posted by LT Profits
Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
You are good 4-1- congrats.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#28
Originally posted by shimeon40
LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
No not a thing. But I do have Arizona Cardinals Money Line in NFLX.
Comment
Vinnie Paz
SBR Posting Legend
03-27-12
12177
#29
Lt is the king of underdog bets
Been doin it all year
Comment
NewYorkKnicks87
SBR Sharp
08-31-11
410
#30
Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
Comment
EastSideLV
SBR High Roller
09-11-11
106
#31
Well done LT.. hope you lose the Cardinals pick tho = )
Comment
JimmyG_415
SBR Hustler
02-19-12
83
#32
Originally posted by NewYorkKnicks87
Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
Yup,
They hate before the game, tell him he will lose, and they are fading him.
Only one guy has the guts to come back and tell him good job.
They will be ripping his plays tomorrow, too.
Good job, LT.
Comment
scottsins
SBR High Roller
12-05-11
103
#33
Great day.
I've also had great results playing a round robin parlay when you show three recommended underdog plays. 3 for 3 yesterday on those dogs paid +500 at least yesterday. With the large payoffs, hitting 2/3 is way into plus money for the round robin with 3 live dogs.