MLB - Wednesday, 8/1/12

MCOZONE · 08-01-12, 11:42 AM

My 3 books had this at 7.5 by the time I saw this. Alas. I'm getting +190 fading Ben Sheets though. Might toss 1x on that.

underal · 08-01-12, 11:47 AM

looking to fade sheets also, but not tonight against the fish who have clearly thrown in the towel.

LT Profits · 08-01-12, 05:26 PM

MLB 4-Play

Originally posted by LT Profits

1 MLB Play Wednesday

Marlins / Braves UNDER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 216-179-16, +45.08

Adding:

Phillies / Nationals RHE UNDER 26.5 +107 (Heritage)
Marlins / Braves RHE UNDER 26 -125 (Heritage)
Giants UNDER 3.5 -105 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)

MLB Card complete

cankid · 08-01-12, 05:58 PM

gl thx for posting

LT Profits · 08-02-12, 02:19 AM

Somehow lost the Under 26 in a 4-2 game but I'll take 3-1.

PRIMO99 · 08-02-12, 04:52 AM

Lt profits.....thats primo cappin right there

(thumbs up)
what ur standard unit??

LT Profits · 08-02-12, 05:00 AM

Originally posted by PRIMO99

Lt profits.....thats primo cappin right there

(thumbs up)
what ur standard unit??

Usually 2.5% of bankroll

underal · 08-02-12, 05:20 AM

nice job LT
how did you come up with that giants tt under 3.5? the mets starter was not in good form and their bullpen is what it is. just curious to know what you saw there.

LT Profits · 08-02-12, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by underal

nice job LT
how did you come up with that giants tt under 3.5? the mets starter was not in good form and their bullpen is what it is. just curious to know what you saw there.

Niese has an xFIP of 3.54 and he was pitching in a pitcher's park, he had pitched well in his previous starts vs. the Giants. Thought the Giants TT had better value than game total.

Vasco · 08-02-12, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Somehow lost the Under 26 in a 4-2 game but I'll take 3-1.

LT, curious when do you see more value in the under RHE as opposed to under for the game total? In this case, the under for game total won while the RHE lost. Of course the opposite can happen, game can end something like 5 9 0 vs 3 8 0 where the RHE would win and under game total loses. How do you determine when there is more value on the RHE as opposed to the under on the total? Thanks for the input.

LT Profits · 08-02-12, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by Vasco

LT, curious when do you see more value in the under RHE as opposed to under for the game total? In this case, the under for game total won while the RHE lost. Of course the opposite can happen, game can end something like 5 9 0 vs 3 8 0 where the RHE would win and under game total loses. How do you determine when there is more value on the RHE as opposed to the under on the total? Thanks for the input.

I had BOTH in that game.

And in all honesty, the only reason I played the two RHEs were because I got roguish lines at the sites I played them at and either liked (Atlanta) or had a lean (Washington) to the straight unders anyway.