Wednesday MLB Handicapper Report - 8/1

Jeff Grant · 08-01-12, 10:09 AM

Baltimore Orioles
-Split the first 10 meetings with the Yankees this year (4-1 in the Bronx)
-Seven of the last 17 games in the series have been decided by one run
-Hitting .319 with 32 runs scored over the past five games
-Gone 8-8 in road series finales this year
-SP Zach Britton has allowed 13 runs (10 earned) in 5.1 career innings in the Bronx
-Britton is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA in eight career daytime outings

New York Yankees
-Lost a season-high-tying four straight games
-Not suffered a sweep by the Orioles of at least three games since 2005
-Haven’t suffered a home sweep by the Orioles of at least three games since June 1986
-Gone 21-12 in series finales, winning seven of the last 10
-Enter with a 21-14 record against left-handed starters, but have lost their last three games
-SP Phil Hughes is 22-13 with a 4.07 ERA in 75 career games (39 starts) following the All-Star break
-Hughes is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA in seven home starts against the Orioles

The Yankees are currently -180 home favorites at Pinnacle Sports

Jeff Grant · 08-01-12, 10:39 AM

With the MLB trade deadline now in the rear view mirror and the NFL preseason whetting our pigskin appetite, the month of August sets the table for the stretch run of the baseball season. Which pitchers can we count on to satisfy our tastes, and which ones figure to turn our stomach? Take a look below.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of August. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in August team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each August over the last three years. I’ll be back next month with September’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy…

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Hernandez, Felix • 12-6
After lacking a lively fastball in the first part of the season, Hernandez has returned to “King” status in lowering his earned runs average almost a full run since June 12. Though Seattle has given up on the season, the “King” has clearly not.

Kuroda, Hiroki • 10-5
The Yankees wanted a dependable starter when they went after Kuroda and after four months of the season, the right-hander is right on career norms in ERA, WHIP and ground ball/fly ball ratios. Playing with a lineup that can score runs has helped Kuroda’s win percentage and he’s been tough on right-hand hitters who are batting just .213 against him.

Oswalt, Roy • 10-5
Oswalt has again been experiencing tightness in his lower back causing him to miss a start at the end of July. To date, he’s not been much help to the depleted Texas starting staff and you have to wonder if he’s going have similar previous results as he’s had this month in the past.

Porcello, Rick • 12-6
The Detroit righty is not fooling many hitters this season, with teams batting a crisp .309 against his efforts. On days when Porcello is on top of his game, he still permits a lot of hits but works out of trouble. Otherwise, when the opposing batting order flips a third time, the New Jersey native gives up hits in bunches.

Sabathia, CC • 14-4
The Yankees ace has gotten into a nice groove (except against the Red Sox) and he’ll look to continue his expert pitching into August. Manager Joe Girardi monitored Sabathia’s pitch counts after he came off the DL, but his groin issue has not been a conundrum and he should be ready for another high quality month.

Santana, Ervin • 13-4
Maybe this month will change the Angels pitcher’s luck, as Santana has been ineffective all season – especially of late. The L.A. righty has always allowed a large volume of home runs, but he’s almost at a career-high with two months to go. If Santana is going to pitch as well as in the past, he will need to improve in two areas immediately. Entering his Monday, July 30 start, with runners in scoring position, his ERA is 19.08 (not a misprint) and with two outs, he’s conceded 35 runs in 33 innings.

Shields, James • 12-6
Has last year’s career-high 249 innings taken a toll on Shields? It seems like it with an ERA 1.70 higher to date compared to last year and opposing batters swatting at .281 versus .218 in 2011. Shields will have to elevate his game if Tampa Bay is going to make the postseason.

Wolf, Randy • 13-6
The good news is the Milwaukee left-hander has dropped his ERA a half a run in his last five starts. The bad news is Wolf’s earned run average sits at 5.45 for the year. Wolf needs more sink on his tosses as right-hand batters are at a robust .322 average against him.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Billingsley, Chad • 5-10
Billingsley has failed live up to the promise he showed in his rookie season of 2006. Since 2009, the Dodger hurler has been essentially a .500 pitcher and seldom consistent. If his club is going to catch San Francisco, Billingsley cannot have the type of record he’s shown in the eighth month of the year in the past.

Blackburn, Nick • 4-8
Come on, seriously, what is Nick Blackburn even doing pitching in the major leagues? In his previous 10 starts, his ERA is… drum roll please… an 8.83 car-wreck. For left-handed swingers, their batting practice pitcher is harder to hit, as they rip Blackburn all around the yard at a .379 pace.

Burnett, A. J. • 4-12
If there is one slinger that could break type for having horrible history this month, it is Burnett. Having arguably the best season of his career, the Pittsburgh chucker is 10-for-10 in starts at PNC Park with a 2.00 ERA and a puny WHIP of 1.05. His secret has been inducing ground ball outs, averaging 13 per nine innings.

Cook, Aaron • 2-8
Boston has been so desperate to fill out their rotation; they have been forced to use Cook. To his credit, the former Rockies right-hander does throw strikes, with just four walks in 40 innings. Nonetheless, Cook will not be confused with Aroldis Chapman, with a mere four strikeouts in the same span of time. Twice thru the lineup is about all you can expect from Cook to retire many batters.

Garcia, Freddy • 3-7
After really struggling out of the gate, Garcia has been a reliable option for the Yankees with a 3.32 ERA in his past 10 outings (five starts). His failures this month could be traced to wearing down at his age from a long season. Garcia might not this year since he only has nine starts for the year and could be fresher. Time will tell.

Maholm, Pat • 3-13
In his career, Maholm has played on several pitiful Pittsburgh clubs, which in part speaks to his woes in August. The Cubs this year are about the same as those Pirates clubs, yet Maholm could have the first winning season of his career, having not lost since June 23, and sporting a sparkling 2.39 ERA in his last 10 outings. Can he keep his confidence up to change his prior fortunes?

Millwood, Kevin • 4-11
Having a 37-year old Millwood as one of your main cogs of the rotation tells you how pitching-thin Seattle is. His numbers are better than they were in Baltimore two years ago, nevertheless, Millwood has only four wins and the outlook is like a gloomy Seattle day.

Ohlendorf, Ross • 4-8
In spite of a 5.05 ERA this campaign, Ohlendorf has a 3-1 record. With opponents hitting .287 against his tosses, the Padres hurler’s winning record in unlikely to last too much longer.

Doug Upstone contributed to this article.