Large bet for me today....Indians over Twins

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  • Smutbucket
    SBR MVP
    • 03-14-08
    • 4000

    #1
    Large bet for me today....Indians over Twins
    Dont usually post plays but really love Masterson and Indians over Deduno and the twins.

    Mastersons location/pitching was amazing last game against toronto. He seems to pitch a lot better when hes focused/playing against the better hitting teams, he recently did terrible against the A's who were streaking and had an awful performance agaisnt seatttle. This year against minn he went 6 innings and gave up 3 runs....

    Deduno is AWFUL, dont see him being in the majors very long....Didnt watch him last game but game against baltimore he had absoultely 0 control and was also getting lucky with some bad calls.....Indians are also one of the best "plate discplined" teams, with a BB% of 9.3, second only to the Rays....

    hopefully cleveland can hold on but if you want a more sure bet take Clevland in First Five.....


    Thoughts/Comments/Disagreements?

    Been betting a lot more conservative lately (instead of betting 5-6 units of my roll a day Im only betting 1-2 units, but this bet is 2.5 units....)
  • Utah_Jay
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-01-11
    • 258

    #2
    Good luck Smut....hope you hit this

    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #3
      ya masterson has been on his game! go indians!
      Comment
      • Madison
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-16-11
        • 6467

        #4
        2 of Masterson's last 4 have been awful vs weak hitting TB. Just never sure what/when you'll get from him.

        I understand your logic just hope JM shows up for you. GL.
        Comment
        • Smutbucket
          SBR MVP
          • 03-14-08
          • 4000

          #5
          TB is a fairly decent fastball hitting team, and they are very discplined and masterson waas walking a lot/getting behind, missing strike zone a lot.

          Yes I agree, these are 2 teams with good plate discipline both have some of lowest swing %....dont know for sure if masterson will be on point but I know deduno shouldnt be. Also masterson is much more effective at getting ground balls with the type of pitches he throws....
          Comment
          • Madison
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-11
            • 6467

            #6
            Sounds like you're almost more fade DeDuno than pro Masterson. GL man.
            Comment
            • ShogunRua
              SBR MVP
              • 12-23-09
              • 4668

              #7
              Like this play as well. Main thing that worries me is my track record betting Cleveland so far this year. They tend to score 2 runs or less everytime I play them. Hope this isn't the case tonight.
              Comment
              • Smutbucket
                SBR MVP
                • 03-14-08
                • 4000

                #8
                2 walks and a run in the first..
                Comment
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