Which team to win do you think is the surest of them all?
I don't know sh*t about baseball (I'm trying to learn), but what I do know is David Price is a good pitcher. When he pitches, TB wins 67% of the time. When Jiminez pitches, CLE wins 53%.
Price's ERA is significantly better - 2.8 vs Jiminez's 5.09.
CLE's batting ave vs left handers is .225 (they do much better vs right handers).
TB's batting ave vs right handers is .236.
So given that CLE hits worse than TB (against L hander), and given that David Price wins often and is having a good year, and given that TB is playing at home, I think TB wins.
Am I missing the big picture? Are there other variables I should be looking at? Fancy formula I should be using?
I don't know sh*t about baseball (I'm trying to learn), but what I do know is David Price is a good pitcher. When he pitches, TB wins 67% of the time. When Jiminez pitches, CLE wins 53%.
Price's ERA is significantly better - 2.8 vs Jiminez's 5.09.
CLE's batting ave vs left handers is .225 (they do much better vs right handers).
TB's batting ave vs right handers is .236.
So given that CLE hits worse than TB (against L hander), and given that David Price wins often and is having a good year, and given that TB is playing at home, I think TB wins.
Am I missing the big picture? Are there other variables I should be looking at? Fancy formula I should be using?