Sunday MLB Handicapper Report - 7/16

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  • Jeff Grant
    SBR MVP
    • 05-13-11
    • 1715

    #1
    Sunday MLB Handicapper Report - 7/16
    Early Sunday MLB Info (Betting Odds - Matchup)

    -Red Sox SP Josh Beckett has a 2.46 ERA against the Rays since 2007, the best mark among MLB qualifiers over that span

    -Beckett is tied with Mike Mussina for the most ever starts allowing one run or less to Tampa Bay (11)
    -White Sox SP Chris Sale has a 1-3 record and 3.72 ERA over 12 career games (one start) against Kansas City
    -Indians SP Derek Lowe is 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in four career starts at the Rogers Centre
    -Lowe has won three of his last four decisions against the Blue Jays
    -Tigers SP Justin Verlander is 6-0 with a 3.05 ERA in nine career starts versus the Orioles
    -Royals SP Luis Mendoza is 3-1 in five career appearances (three starts) versus the White Sox
    -Mendoza has faced the White Sox twice during his time with the Royals, earning a win each time on the road
    -Yankees SP Ivan Nova is 2-0 with a 6.39 ERA in two starts against the Angels this year (3-1, 5.11 ERA in four career starts)
    -Jarrod Parker is the second SP since 1918 to allow two runs or fewer in 12 of his first 15 career games
    -Rays SP James Shields is 7-3 with a 3.08 ERA versus the Red Sox at Tropicana Field
    -Rangers SP Matt Harrison is 7-1 wit ha 1.52 ERA in his last nine starts
    -Harrison has won his last seven starts against the Mariners
    -Diamondbacks SP Trevor Cahill is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three road starts
    -Cahill has surrendered seven HRs in his last four starts (3 in previous 13)
    -Cubs SP Matt Garza is 2-6 with a 5.96 ERA in his last nine outings
    -Rockies SP Drew Pomeranz is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in two career starts versus NL East opponents
    -Astros SP Bud Norris is a native of the Bay Area, going 0-1 with a 4.35 ERA in two previous starts at AT&T Park
    -Norris is looking to snap a career-high five-game losing streak
    -Dodgers SP Chad Billingsley is 12-8 with a 2.62 ERA in 26 games (22 starts) versus the Padres
    -Marlins SP Rickey Nolasco has not defeated the Nationals in South Florida since June 29, 2009, going 0-2 with a 6.06 ERA
    -Nolasco has more victories (9) against the Nationals than any other opponent
    -Brewers SP Yovani Gallardo has won his last four starts against the Pirates (0.78 ERA)
    -Mets SP Johan Santana is 3-7 with a 2.53 ERA in 14 career starts versus the Braves
    -Pirates SP A.J. Burnett has won each of his last four starts on the road since surrendering 12 runs to the Cardinals on May 2
    -Padres SP Jason Marquis’ 2.55 ERA versus the Dodgers is the fifth-best among active pitchers with at least 10 starts against them
    -Marquis’ ERA versus the Dodgers is his second-best mark against any team (Mariners, 1.77)
    -Giants SP Matt Cain threw a perfect game the last time he faced the Astros
    -Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA in three career starts at the Great American Ball Park

    Make sure to check out Sunday's SBR Forum articles before placing your wagers
  • Jeff Grant
    SBR MVP
    • 05-13-11
    • 1715

    #2
    Saturday MLB Recap

    -Yankees closer Rafael Soriano has notched 22 saves in 23 opportunities
    -New York has hit a major league-high 138 home runs
    -The Yankees are 55-61 against the Angels since 2000
    -Cubs SP Ryan Dempster leads the majors with a 1.86 ERA
    -Baltimore improved to 35-0 when leading after eight innings
    -Mets bullpen is 11-18 this season, and the team is 15-37 when the unit allows a run
    -Braves closer Craig Kimbrel collected his 19th straight save (27 of 28 on the season)
    -The Royals and White Sox have gone to extra innings in eight of their last 22 games at Kauffman Stadium
    -Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen is batting .447 with 10 HRs and 30 RBIs in his last 28 games
    -Pittsburgh has hit a HR in five straight games, 16 of 18
    -Oakland has won eight of its last nine games, while hitting a HR in 19 of the past 20
    -The Athletics hast the major leagues worst batting average (.226), but have hit 88 HRs in 88 games
    -Twins OF Josh Willingham has gone deep five times in five games against his former team (Athletics)
    -Tampa Bay has scored more than four runs in four of its last 16 games
    -Giants OF Melky Cabrera has 40 multi-hit games, tops in the majors
    -Mariners SP Felix Hernandez has allowed one run in 17 innings against the Rangers this year
    -Five of Yu Darvish’s six losses are on the road
    -San Diego snapped a 10-game losing streak at Dodger Stadium
    -Padres closer Huston Street is 14-of-14 in save opportunities
    -Dodgers OF Matt Kemp has five hits in eight at-bats since returning from the DL
    -Saturday was the first time that the Padres’ 3-4 hitters homered in the same game
    Comment
    • Jeff Grant
      SBR MVP
      • 05-13-11
      • 1715

      #3
      Washington Nationals
      -Lead the majors with 18 stolen bases in July (Marlins, 15)
      -Averaging 6.4 runs and 11.4 hits over the last 14 games (9-5 record)
      -Won 14 of 17 series when winning the opener (17-7-4 series record overall)
      -In its final 77 games, Washington will play 42 games against teams that finished the first half with losing records
      -SP Stephen Strasburg has allowed one run or less in four of his five starts versus the Marlins


      New York Yankees
      -The Yankees are 15-5 at home since May 22, and are riding a season-high-tying four-game win streak at Yankee Stadium
      -Looking for their first sweep of the Angels in a series of at least three games since July 2003
      -Lead the majors with 138 HRs, most for the franchise through 87 games
      -Scored at least three runs in 38 consecutive games
      -SP Ivan Nova is 22-3 with a 3.59 ERA over his last 33 starts, trailing only Justin Verlander for most wins in the AL over that span (25)
      -Nova has lost just two of his 19 career games (18 starts) after the All-Star break
      -Nova is undefeated over his last 11 starts following the All-Star break (8-0, 3.18 ERA)
      -Nova has allowed 55 extra-base hits this season, second-most in the majors (Guthrie, 56)

      Read an SBR Forum article on the series finale between the Angels/Yankees



      Cleveland Indians
      -Lead the majors with 319 walks and rank fourth in on-base percentage (.334)
      -Cleveland has gone 38-24 in this series since 2004, which stands as its highest win percentage (.612) against any AL club in that span
      -Gone 6-6 in rubber games this year, including 3-1 on the road
      -The Indians are 13-15 in series finales, losing nine of their last 13
      -Hit 21 HRs in their last 13 games
      -SP Derek Lowe has allowed just six HRs in 101.2 IP, second-fewest among AL pitchers with at least 100 IP
      Comment
      • Hectorcist
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-12-12
        • 552

        #4
        Jeff, based on those stats would you lean with the Indians vs. Villanueva?
        Comment
        • Jeff Grant
          SBR MVP
          • 05-13-11
          • 1715

          #5
          Originally posted by Hectorcist
          Jeff, based on those stats would you lean with the Indians vs. Villanueva?
          I think the "under" is a solid play

          Both pitchers have demonstrated the ability to keep the ball in the park

          The "under" is 10-5-1 in umpire Alfonso Marquez's strike zone (6.62 rpg)

          Lowe has gone "under" in five of his six starts with Marquez behind the dish

          May be an inflated price after yesterday's slugfest
          Comment
          • Hectorcist
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-12-12
            • 552

            #6
            Jeff any info on the reds/cards game?
            Comment
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